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September 2022 Visa bulletin Prediction , spillover update and more


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52 minutes ago, familyman said:

@Iriswest she know better than anyone. Did more research I guess 

With new data coming into light, it looks like there is an impending retrogression in Q2/3/4. I can’t say for sure when coz it depends on ROW demand. contrary to the belief, ROW had more demand even in 2020 and 2021. This led to underestimating ROW usage and a huge setback in our calculations. 
 

Don’t lose all hope. If EB2/3 still manages to hit 120k target by September, we can expect forward movement until Q3 2015. Every 10k we we get less, the movement will be offset by a quarter,

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8 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

With new data coming into light, it looks like there is an impending retrogression in Q2/3/4. I can’t say for sure when coz it depends on ROW demand. contrary to the belief, ROW had more demand even in 2020 and 2021. This led to underestimating ROW usage and a huge setback in our calculations. 
 

Don’t lose all hope. If EB2/3 still manages to hit 120k target by September, we can expect forward movement until Q3 2015. Every 10k we we get less, the movement will be offset by a quarter,

Any chance for me to get atleast EAD in next 5 years. My PD Nov 2016

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1 minute ago, AgnathaVasii said:

Any chance for me to get atleast EAD in next 5 years. My PD Nov 2016

Kastam bro.. it will take another 25 years. 

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2 minutes ago, ARYA said:

teaser telugu GIF

Eb1 continuous ga 2 years current unna, almost 15k only india nunchi demand undi. Ide next year continue aithe, eb1 nunchi vacche SO kuda aagipoiddi. Fy21and 22 got 45k eb1 for india alone. I mean what the frock!!!!!!!!! Excel managers are consuming way too many GCs.

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3 minutes ago, AgnathaVasii said:

Any chance for me to get atleast EAD in next 5 years. My PD Nov 2016

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

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11 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

I thought eb2 will get at least 20k GCs every year is untill eb1 is current 

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13 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

Law change, maaku nammakam ledu 🙏

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12 minutes ago, familyman said:

I thought eb2 will get at least 20k GCs every year is untill eb1 is current 

Let’s say we get 40k SO. Total in 180k. 
180*28.6= 51480. 
15k eb1 india + 7k eb1 china + 25k row eb1 = 47k eb1 consumed.

eb1 to eb2 SO is only 4.5k ( distributed among india and china). 

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55 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

Law change picha lite, not gonna happen. Sep 2023 is the last hope for 2015 of folks. After that it will be stuck for a long long time. 2016 I don’t think will happen at all unless there is another travel ban.

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