Jump to content

September 2022 Visa bulletin Prediction , spillover update and more


Complex

Recommended Posts

52 minutes ago, familyman said:

@Iriswest she know better than anyone. Did more research I guess 

With new data coming into light, it looks like there is an impending retrogression in Q2/3/4. I can’t say for sure when coz it depends on ROW demand. contrary to the belief, ROW had more demand even in 2020 and 2021. This led to underestimating ROW usage and a huge setback in our calculations. 
 

Don’t lose all hope. If EB2/3 still manages to hit 120k target by September, we can expect forward movement until Q3 2015. Every 10k we we get less, the movement will be offset by a quarter,

  • Upvote 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

With new data coming into light, it looks like there is an impending retrogression in Q2/3/4. I can’t say for sure when coz it depends on ROW demand. contrary to the belief, ROW had more demand even in 2020 and 2021. This led to underestimating ROW usage and a huge setback in our calculations. 
 

Don’t lose all hope. If EB2/3 still manages to hit 120k target by September, we can expect forward movement until Q3 2015. Every 10k we we get less, the movement will be offset by a quarter,

Any chance for me to get atleast EAD in next 5 years. My PD Nov 2016

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, ARYA said:

teaser telugu GIF

Eb1 continuous ga 2 years current unna, almost 15k only india nunchi demand undi. Ide next year continue aithe, eb1 nunchi vacche SO kuda aagipoiddi. Fy21and 22 got 45k eb1 for india alone. I mean what the frock!!!!!!!!! Excel managers are consuming way too many GCs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, AgnathaVasii said:

Any chance for me to get atleast EAD in next 5 years. My PD Nov 2016

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

I thought eb2 will get at least 20k GCs every year is untill eb1 is current 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

Law change, maaku nammakam ledu 🙏

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, familyman said:

I thought eb2 will get at least 20k GCs every year is untill eb1 is current 

Let’s say we get 40k SO. Total in 180k. 
180*28.6= 51480. 
15k eb1 india + 7k eb1 china + 25k row eb1 = 47k eb1 consumed.

eb1 to eb2 SO is only 4.5k ( distributed among india and china). 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

55 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Any1 above q3 2015 should start looking for law change. The meager SOs are only going to help ROW. We will be back to 2800 visas per year. I say q3 2015 (dof) coz dos may be in a mood to gauge the demand for eb2i if it sees a little less demand from ROW in next 2 to 3 years. 

Law change picha lite, not gonna happen. Sep 2023 is the last hope for 2015 of folks. After that it will be stuck for a long long time. 2016 I don’t think will happen at all unless there is another travel ban.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

×
×
  • Create New...