no01 Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 9 minutes ago, Complex said: someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. peddollu and goppollu matladedhi emi ardam kaadu matter in 2 lines pls? EB2I retrogress avthunda leka further movement untada in fiscal yr 2023? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pavanonline Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 7 minutes ago, Complex said: someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. em chestaru ee endless analysis tho, none of this is reality Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Pavanonline Posted August 3, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 8 minutes ago, no01 said: peddollu and goppollu matladedhi emi ardam kaadu matter in 2 lines pls? EB2I retrogress avthunda leka further movement untada in fiscal yr 2023? evariki teliyadu kabatte so much analysis aak is pak, pak is aak so final result could be aak, pak or karepak. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Complex Posted August 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 36 minutes ago, no01 said: peddollu and goppollu matladedhi emi ardam kaadu matter in 2 lines pls? EB2I retrogress avthunda leka further movement untada in fiscal yr 2023? anduke esa brother, evvarana decode chesi cheptharu ani Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 55 minutes ago, Complex said: someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. Evaru bro ee mahanubhavudu. Visa laekkallo PHD chesada leka notikochindhi raasada. Vaammo endhi ee pichi. Ekkada Manam chesede athi ani anukuntunna but Ethanu evaro voopiri gaali water food Anni GC meedha ne depend la Lekka lu vesukunnadu. Antha chesi final ga conclusion ledu bongu ledu. Asalu athaniki Aina Ardham avvuthunda malli chadivithe a Lekka lu. I don't know his PD but Theda kotti date current avvakunte he will be in big disappointment e Lekka lu chusaka. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Complex said: someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. Ee lekkallo nee GC eppudu vasthundho chusuko @Iriswest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 1 hour ago, BacklogBadham said: Ee lekkallo nee GC eppudu vasthundho chusuko @Iriswest Nuvvu calculus algebra lekkalu chepte process chesentha opika ledu. Katte kotte tecche aithe cheppu. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 1 hour ago, BacklogBadham said: Evaru bro ee mahanubhavudu. Visa laekkallo PHD chesada leka notikochindhi raasada. Vaammo endhi ee pichi. Ekkada Manam chesede athi ani anukuntunna but Ethanu evaro voopiri gaali water food Anni GC meedha ne depend la Lekka lu vesukunnadu. Antha chesi final ga conclusion ledu bongu ledu. Asalu athaniki Aina Ardham avvuthunda malli chadivithe a Lekka lu. I don't know his PD but Theda kotti date current avvakunte he will be in big disappointment e Lekka lu chusaka. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Pavanonline said: evariki teliyadu kabatte so much analysis aak is pak, pak is aak so final result could be aak, pak or karepak. Edaithe adi. Maaku oka paccha aaku ade cardu vaste chaalu. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 19 hours ago, Complex said: someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. ee buddy interesting unnadu ani chusa trackitt lo buddy ki PHD korika lu unnai anta. sare entha lekka lu vesi thelchindi enti ante for 2015 AUG PD ki So anywhere from 8 to 12 years. So my plan in life is a Phd. I am sticking to that. And I do not know, because of confirmation bias since you are in the same boat as I am. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
argadorn Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 @Iriswest flow chusthay ekada varaku vellachu anukuntunavu last time eppudo 2023 lo vasthadhi annatu unavu adey ayyatu undhi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 10 minutes ago, argadorn said: @Iriswest flow chusthay ekada varaku vellachu anukuntunavu last time eppudo 2023 lo vasthadhi annatu unavu adey ayyatu undhi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Complex Posted August 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 mostly next Thursday release Sept VB. From what I have seen in various forum's , sep VB ki mostly no change in EB2 dates. Need to wait for oct VB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 4, 2022 Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 30 minutes ago, Complex said: mostly next Thursday release Sept VB. From what I have seen in various forum's , sep VB ki mostly no change in EB2 dates. Need to wait for oct VB. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Complex Posted August 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 4, 2022 Akka prediction lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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