LazyRohit Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 4 hours ago, Picheshwar said: carl shusterman sakka choodu 14 weeks not months Perception ante ide emo mind sees what it thinks haha 14 months ayite bagundu Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LazyRohit Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 25 minutes ago, ARYA said: Ne yavva 14 weeks annadu months kadu nijam anukunna inka 14 months ante Nenu ade anukunna Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Complex Posted August 2, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 59 minutes ago, Pavanonline said: these numbers give much more clarity on the pending inventory, so it's not as big as some folks in trackit are saying but not small as well. @csrcsr Whoever has already filed mostly will get by october, or even the next fiscal. And spillover, row demand will decide eb2 movement into 2015. Not looking good for 2015 i would say. ya, EB2 no movement this year ani hint isthunaru Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picheshwar Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 14 minutes ago, LazyRohit said: Perception ante ide emo mind sees what it thinks haha 14 months ayite bagundu emi perceptiono emo ikkada janala gundelu aagipotayi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARYA Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 Just now, Picheshwar said: emi perceptiono emo ikkada janala gundelu aagipotayi Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARYA Posted August 2, 2022 Report Share Posted August 2, 2022 15 minutes ago, Complex said: ya, EB2 no movement this year ani hint isthunaru Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
krrish4u Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 deshamuduru movie lo ali sequence la vundi every month e visa bulletin racha asalu feb 2015 atleast Oct bulletin lo ayina vastado leka retrogress avuthado…..okkokkaru okkko prediction cheptunnaru Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KiKiKi Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 58 minutes ago, krrish4u said: deshamuduru movie lo ali sequence la vundi every month e visa bulletin racha asalu feb 2015 atleast Oct bulletin lo ayina vastado leka retrogress avuthado…..okkokkaru okkko prediction cheptunnaru 😭usche s manatho game adtunadu bro ..on same boat. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 We will see what happens in next 5 weeks. @ARYA @csrcsr 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARYA Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 28 minutes ago, Iriswest said: We will see what happens in next 5 weeks. @ARYA @csrcsr Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iriswest Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 11 minutes ago, ARYA said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csrcsr Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Iriswest said: We will see what happens in next 5 weeks. @ARYA @csrcsr 🙏🙏🙏 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ARYA Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 1 hour ago, Iriswest said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SwamyRaRa Posted August 3, 2022 Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 Keep the flow flowing Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Complex Posted August 3, 2022 Author Report Share Posted August 3, 2022 someone on trackitt did some analysis Getting back to the FOIA and I140 pending visa inventory from USCIS for EB2 and EB3. As of November 12, 2019 USCIS stated: EB2C 39,517, EB2I 284,207, EB2 total: 313,724. EB3C 8,930 EB3I 66,362 EB3P 5,262 EB3 total: 80,5554 EB3 other total was 1200 with 33 philipines and 230 India. EB4 total was 36,305 Elsalvador was 13,324 Guatemala was 11,171 Hondurals 9,835 Mexico 1,975 EB5 total was 27,931 EB5C 27,251 EB5I 189 Vietname 491 On November 16, 2020 this changed to: EB2C 31,390 EB2I 313,066 Everyone else wiped clean. EB3C 7068 EB3I 67,926 EB3 total 74,994 EB3C others 562 EB3I others 181 Total 743. EB4 total 45,476 Elsalvador 15,355 Gautemala 16,452 Honuras 11,103 Mexico 2,566 EB5 total 21,731 EB5C 21,253. EB5 Vietnam 478 Interestingly their multiplier for Eb2 was 1.0. This is based on the multitude of EB2 duplicates at least per 2016 data. So USCIS says, for every EB2 applicant I140 there is only one I140 pending including all dependents. For Eb3 the multiplier is 1.1 and for EB3 other 1.5. For Eb5 the multiplier is 1.9 EB4 the multiplier is 0.3. At the very least, we know that EB2I added 284,207 - 313,066. Approximately 30k more. Eb3I 66,362 - 67,926. Approximately 1.3 k more. Yes, this includes fresh I-140s and so on from 2020 or whatever. I am just pointing out the multiplier and the clean up of the ROW inventory as a result of the pandemic spillover. By November 2020 USCIS had no pending ROW inventory for the most part in Eb2 outside India and China and Eb3 except India, China, and philipines. Based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the family-based spillover to EB1 will be used by EB1I and Eb1C and any ROW per normal standards. Based on the 2020 November data, there are not that many ghosts waiting in EB1 to eat up 80k numbers. Additionally, based on this data, it is a reasonable assumption that most of the EB1 spillover to EB2 will be used by Eb2I after worst case EB2 ROW demand is met and China gets their 5600 visas or some number. So calculate the worst-case EB2 ROW usage of applications filed in 2021 and 2022 and set the visa bulletin in November 2021. This is why EB2I was given high priority this year by USCIS and they said they are focussing on this category. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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