Green card backlog in new Trump administration

[KothaKurrodu]

13 minutes ago, Hello1234 said:

Emo bro let’s see how things will pan out this time. I know we have more population after 2014, but PD epudu aina mostly max 10- 12 years Kante backlog Epudu ledhu. Naadi PD April 2016. Sick and super tired staying on eh1. Chudali em aitado..

2014 ikkada. Alternate option em undhi wait cheyadam thappa

[pakeer_saab]

On 1/11/2025 at 12:02 PM, Hello1234 said:

Emo bro let’s see how things will pan out this time. I know we have more population after 2014, but EB2 PD epudu aina mostly max 10- 12 years Kante backlog Epudu ledhu. Naadi PD April 2016. Sick and super tired staying on eh1. Chudali em aitado..

there is nothing wrong in optimism, but it is a trap

 

2016 PD will have to wait for at least 10 yrs based on current system

DT might do a immigration ban for Islamic countries, so 2020 might repeat which mean 3 yrs

 

[futureofandhra]

1 minute ago, pakeer_saab said:

there is nothing wrong in optimism, but it is a trap

 

2016 PD will have to wait for at least 10 yrs based on current system

DT might do a immigration ban for Islamic countries, so 2020 might repeat which mean 3 yrs

 

7000 kadha yearly limit?

[Iriswest]

23 minutes ago, pakeer_saab said:

there is nothing wrong in optimism, but it is a trap

 

2016 PD will have to wait for at least 10 yrs based on current system

DT might do a immigration ban for Islamic countries, so 2020 might repeat which mean 3 yrs

 

Asalu muslim ban news ekkada undi? Source please 

[Sucker]

1 minute ago, Iriswest said:

Asalu muslim ban news ekkada undi? Source please 

It's on card from some countries but it never helps EB. Only total FB ban like COVID will help EB. Many don't know how this works unfortunately. Light thessko akka. 

[Hello1234]

1 hour ago, pakeer_saab said:

there is nothing wrong in optimism, but it is a trap

 

2016 PD will have to wait for at least 10 yrs based on current system

DT might do a immigration ban for Islamic countries, so 2020 might repeat which mean 3 yrs

 

I don't think it will be 10 years and may be 4-5 years. Trust me no body really knows what's coming. HR1535 unused GCs bills lantivi few more unnai kadha to get back around unused 240k GC's since 1992 . Edaina workout avochu asalu emi avakkapovachu kuda. so manam enni speculations lo unna things will unfold when it has to be.

[pakeer_saab]

On 1/12/2025 at 10:27 PM, Hello1234 said:

I don't think it will be 10 years and may be 4-5 years. Trust me no body really knows what's coming. HR1535 unused GCs bills lantivi few more unnai kadha to get back around unused 240k GC's since 1992 . Edaina workout avochu asalu emi avakkapovachu kuda. so manam enni speculations lo unna things will unfold when it has to be.

first learn to look at the data and then form your assumptions

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/i140_rec_by_class_country_fy2024_q1.xlsx

There are 1.4 million total approved 140's, even if one consider 50% are still in US, it would be 700K

even in highly optimistic scenario, 20K per is max india Eb2/EB3 can get

2014	2015	2016
87,020	102,924	147,613
79,383	94,051	134,170

 

Total 300K until 2016

even my 10 yrs is totally incorrect, where did you get your 4-5 yrs assumption from?

 

 

[pakeer_saab]

On 1/12/2025 at 9:29 PM, futureofandhra said:

7000 kadha yearly limit?

add spillover from FB or EB ROW

hardly 10K vaste too much for EB2/EB3

 

it is impossible to predict GC, do not base your life on this anymore

 

 

[Hello1234]

22 minutes ago, pakeer_saab said:

first learn to look at the data and then form your assumptions

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/document/data/i140_rec_by_class_country_fy2024_q1.xlsx

There are 1.4 million total approved 140's, even if one consider 50% are still in US, it would be 700K

even in highly optimistic scenario, 20K per is max india Eb2/EB3 can get

2014	2015	2016
87,020	102,924	147,613
79,383	94,051	134,170

 

Total 300K until 2016

even my 10 yrs is totally incorrect, where did you get your 4-5 yrs assumption from?

 

 

I have already crunched the numbers, That's the reason I mentioned other categories ni scrutiny cheyyadam like FB, refugee quota blah blah and also those unused GC Bill since 1992 which didn't worked out in the past and may be this time has some better chances of clearing it out and all of these can clear the backlog to some extent for sure. Max dates move aina 2015 varaku and early 2016 varaku move ayye chances unnai tarvata years chala kastam.. As I mentioned manam enni predictions eskunna, no body knows what's coming. 

[pakeer_saab]

35 minutes ago, Hello1234 said:

I have already crunched the numbers, That's the reason I mentioned other categories ni scrutiny cheyyadam like FB, refugee quota blah blah and also those unused GC Bill since 1992 which didn't worked out in the past and may be this time has some better chances of clearing it out and all of these can clear the backlog to some extent for sure. Max dates move aina 2015 varaku and early 2016 varaku move ayye chances unnai tarvata years chala kastam.. As I mentioned manam enni predictions eskunna, no body knows what's coming. 

unused GC bill.. lol 

there is virtually 0 support for anything to favor immigration

[akkum_bakkum]

On 1/12/2025 at 9:27 PM, pakeer_saab said:

there is nothing wrong in optimism, but it is a trap

 

2016 PD will have to wait for at least 10 yrs based on current system

DT might do a immigration ban for Islamic countries, so 2020 might repeat which mean 3 yrs

 

How does this help reduce backlog. 2017 infamous ban on 7 countries is related to all visas. Thy take up a fraction of EB visas if any and too consular processing. Those in US from 7 countries would more than likely do COS from within the country and still charge to those countries.