Bihar election prediction

[Mancode]

What do u think ?,I think there is anti incumbency on nitish kumar for sure ,bcoz he is cm for almost 20 yrs now

Surprising element nitish kumar without not even 2% caste backing ,his caste kurmis are less than 2% ,could be able to be CM for so long , attracting women voters thro schemes and also he built social coalition consists of OBC(other than Y's) ,women votes,mahadalit(one section of dalit voters),and generally RJD's leaders seen as rowdy image, so women tend less to vote for rjd and more for jdu

NDA 's samrat chowdary, chirag paswan brings new votes to the alliance , upendra kushwaha has some support in koeri caste 

But opposition side ,tejaswi yadav couldn't come out of  MY (muslim - yadav) combination and not willing to grow his base, he is not charismatic like lalu yadav , tejaswi yadav is very avg politician ,he is just maintaining the party given by his father , without any major plus or minus since 2014.

Congress ki last time 70 seats icharu RJD vallu ,they won only 19 ,that would be a blunder if they do it again ,max 30-40 seats ,cong has no solid backing any caste in bihar,it's voters are split and scattered across 

Prashant kishor is contesting ,he may split anti incumbency youth vote of RJD and also some votes from NDA ,showing development model ,but overall he dents RJD-congress combo...

MIM may split votes like last time they did,won 5 seats. 

Overall I'm expecting NDA with slight edge ,they could ask nitish to step down ,he as CM has anti incumbency vote ,but not as NDA alliance , still NDA win ,will give number of seats to each party after seat sharing is finalized before any pre poll survey 

Bihar voters are like husband and wife with nitish kumar , they fight with him in house ,but ultimately vote him, bcoz fear RJD's jungle raj ruling in 90's & early 200's

@Android_Halwa @DuvvaAbbulu @Raisins_72 @Teluguredu @Sam480 @CanadianMalodu

[karna11]

Niches ki health problems, he may quit voluntarily 

[kevinUsa]

It depends of bjp wants to use to recent issue to its political advantage 

[DuvvaAbbulu]

4 hours ago, Mancode said:

What do u think ?,I think there is anti incumbency on nitish kumar for sure ,bcoz he is cm for almost 20 yrs now

Surprising element nitish kumar without not even 2% caste backing ,his caste kurmis are less than 2% ,could be able to be CM for so long , attracting women voters thro schemes and also he built social coalition consists of OBC(other than Y's) ,women votes,mahadalit(one section of dalit voters),and generally RJD's leaders seen as rowdy image, so women tend less to vote for rjd and more for jdu

NDA 's samrat chowdary, chirag paswan brings new votes to the alliance , upendra kushwaha has some support in koeri caste 

But opposition side ,tejaswi yadav couldn't come out of  MY (muslim - yadav) combination and not willing to grow his base, he is not charismatic like lalu yadav , tejaswi yadav is very avg politician ,he is just maintaining the party given by his father , without any major plus or minus since 2014.

Congress ki last time 70 seats icharu RJD vallu ,they won only 19 ,that would be a blunder if they do it again ,max 30-40 seats ,cong has no solid backing any caste in bihar,it's voters are split and scattered across 

Prashant kishor is contesting ,he may split anti incumbency youth vote of RJD and also some votes from NDA ,showing development model ,but overall he dents RJD-congress combo...

MIM may split votes like last time they did,won 5 seats. 

Overall I'm expecting NDA with slight edge ,they could ask nitish to step down ,he as CM has anti incumbency vote ,but not as NDA alliance , still NDA win ,will give number of seats to each party after seat sharing is finalized before any pre poll survey 

Bihar voters are like husband and wife with nitish kumar , they fight with him in house ,but ultimately vote him, bcoz fear RJD's jungle raj ruling in 90's & early 200's

@Android_Halwa @DuvvaAbbulu @Raisins_72 @Teluguredu @Sam480 @CanadianMalodu

Alliance evariho

[jalsa01]

mostly nda ki edge

[psycontr]

6 hours ago, Mancode said:

What do u think ?,I think there is anti incumbency on nitish kumar for sure ,bcoz he is cm for almost 20 yrs now

Surprising element nitish kumar without not even 2% caste backing ,his caste kurmis are less than 2% ,could be able to be CM for so long , attracting women voters thro schemes and also he built social coalition consists of OBC(other than Y's) ,women votes,mahadalit(one section of dalit voters),and generally RJD's leaders seen as rowdy image, so women tend less to vote for rjd and more for jdu

NDA 's samrat chowdary, chirag paswan brings new votes to the alliance , upendra kushwaha has some support in koeri caste 

But opposition side ,tejaswi yadav couldn't come out of  MY (muslim - yadav) combination and not willing to grow his base, he is not charismatic like lalu yadav , tejaswi yadav is very avg politician ,he is just maintaining the party given by his father , without any major plus or minus since 2014.

Congress ki last time 70 seats icharu RJD vallu ,they won only 19 ,that would be a blunder if they do it again ,max 30-40 seats ,cong has no solid backing any caste in bihar,it's voters are split and scattered across 

Prashant kishor is contesting ,he may split anti incumbency youth vote of RJD and also some votes from NDA ,showing development model ,but overall he dents RJD-congress combo...

MIM may split votes like last time they did,won 5 seats. 

Overall I'm expecting NDA with slight edge ,they could ask nitish to step down ,he as CM has anti incumbency vote ,but not as NDA alliance , still NDA win ,will give number of seats to each party after seat sharing is finalized before any pre poll survey 

Bihar voters are like husband and wife with nitish kumar , they fight with him in house ,but ultimately vote him, bcoz fear RJD's jungle raj ruling in 90's & early 200's

@Android_Halwa @DuvvaAbbulu @Raisins_72 @Teluguredu @Sam480 @CanadianMalodu

We need nda one more term so we can get justice to sushant singh rajput

[CanadianMalodu]

3 hours ago, psycontr said:

We need nda one more term so we can get justice to sushant singh rajput

Sushant Singh justice won't happen. It's a clear case of minors trafficking to UAE (Ras Al Khaimah) by Thackerays (for ADRENOCHROME). No one will touch that case. 11 people were murdered in the cover up total, including one of friends who kept on leaking these things on Instagram, if I recall it correctly. 

[CanadianMalodu]

9 hours ago, Mancode said:

What do u think ?,I think there is anti incumbency on nitish kumar for sure ,bcoz he is cm for almost 20 yrs now

Surprising element nitish kumar without not even 2% caste backing ,his caste kurmis are less than 2% ,could be able to be CM for so long , attracting women voters thro schemes and also he built social coalition consists of OBC(other than Y's) ,women votes,mahadalit(one section of dalit voters),and generally RJD's leaders seen as rowdy image, so women tend less to vote for rjd and more for jdu

NDA 's samrat chowdary, chirag paswan brings new votes to the alliance , upendra kushwaha has some support in koeri caste 

But opposition side ,tejaswi yadav couldn't come out of  MY (muslim - yadav) combination and not willing to grow his base, he is not charismatic like lalu yadav , tejaswi yadav is very avg politician ,he is just maintaining the party given by his father , without any major plus or minus since 2014.

Congress ki last time 70 seats icharu RJD vallu ,they won only 19 ,that would be a blunder if they do it again ,max 30-40 seats ,cong has no solid backing any caste in bihar,it's voters are split and scattered across 

Prashant kishor is contesting ,he may split anti incumbency youth vote of RJD and also some votes from NDA ,showing development model ,but overall he dents RJD-congress combo...

MIM may split votes like last time they did,won 5 seats. 

Overall I'm expecting NDA with slight edge ,they could ask nitish to step down ,he as CM has anti incumbency vote ,but not as NDA alliance , still NDA win ,will give number of seats to each party after seat sharing is finalized before any pre poll survey 

Bihar voters are like husband and wife with nitish kumar , they fight with him in house ,but ultimately vote him, bcoz fear RJD's jungle raj ruling in 90's & early 200's

@Android_Halwa @DuvvaAbbulu @Raisins_72 @Teluguredu @Sam480 @CanadianMalodu

Quite possible. 

[Mancode]

7 hours ago, kevinUsa said:

It depends of bjp wants to use to recent issue to its political advantage 

Election in October, appatiki fade out aipodhi

[Mancode]

5 hours ago, DuvvaAbbulu said:

Alliance evariho

Nda( bjp, nitish,chirag,etc)

India (rjd,congress,left)

Prashant kishor single 

 

[Sucker]

5 minutes ago, Mancode said:

 

Prashant kishor single 

 

Veediki kuda party vundha 

 

[Khali_ista]

  @pk

[mazar]

5 hours ago, psycontr said:

We need nda one more term so we can get justice to sushant singh rajput

no this time lets get the 9th fail ipl bench player tejaswi yadav.....he promised 10 lakh govt jobs even though the state doesnt have money to pay salaries for existing employees

[mazar]

if you observe the kojj@ congress supporters they are quite silent nowadays...earlier election vasthundhi ante bajapa fatt thuss poyindhi ani threads vesevaru.....varasaga haryana maharastra delhi debbaki thoka mudichi silent ayyaru lol

@psycontr @kevinUsa @bhaigan @Teluguredu

they will now only come out after election loss to do kojj@ widow crying over evms