485 (GC), Ead , AP, Spillover issues

[Thokkalee]

41 minutes ago, Spartan said:

cool will do then

do it asap.. if you are lucky, you may get a response before the new year.. who knows may be they pickup ur case in January.. 

In one of our rfe notice, I saw a weird statement asking us to send the response asap and not delay as there are limited visas available.. never seen that before in any immigration notices.. 

 

[spiral25]

11 hours ago, PrivacyPolicy said:

 

Vb aante enti bro

Visa bulletin

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-bulletin/2026/visa-bulletin-for-january-2026.html

[Sucker]

Aa love day lo H1B thed lepi 10ngandi. We are back to covid style SO. Pin cheyyandi inka mods 

[Moon_Walker]

On 1/5/2021 at 4:40 PM, Rebel_Uncle_Fans said:

dates move ainaka cheputha musali uncle. Naa PD 2017 

When do u think 2017 PD happens?

[jpismahatma]

43 minutes ago, Sucker said:

Aa love day lo H1B thed lepi 10ngandi. We are back to covid style SO. Pin cheyyandi inka mods 

Correct ana. But few people don’t listen. Advance congrats @Moon_Walker

[Moon_Walker]

10 minutes ago, jpismahatma said:

Correct ana. But few people don’t listen. Advance congrats @Moon_Walker

Why me man? I already have GC

[jpismahatma]

2 minutes ago, Moon_Walker said:

Why me man? I already have GC

I thought you were in 2017.

[Moon_Walker]

1 hour ago, jpismahatma said:

I thought you were in 2017.

Was checking for one of my relatives who is in 2017

[Sucker]

3 hours ago, Moon_Walker said:

Was checking for one of my relatives who is in 2017

Just Mexico list lo add chesthe gone case India kuda max FB ne aapestharu like theliviga immigrant visa ani so ikkkada vunna vaallaki benefit. Still F1 can come as non immigrant

That's what their plan to kill FB and give oxygen to EB. 

Yelagu merit based bill not able to pass so idhi inkoka dhari with president power to kill FB totally. Almost there matter of time. next 3 months lo almost 150 countries in the list India vunna no surprise means aa 7% FB will come to EB. 

So ee lekka na 2017 yendhi motham current ayye la vundhi EB. At least EAD confirm idhe speed tho pothe.

All just read the news properly only immigrant visa still non immigrant visa can apply adhe logic magic here to kill FB totally as Diversity visa. And any GC or citizen careful Indus nundi marriage cheskunte Assam list lo add avtharu very soon if they add Indus in banned country list 

Advance congratulations all

[akkum_bakkum]

12 minutes ago, Sucker said:

Just Mexico list lo add cgesthe gone case India kuda max FB ne aapestharu like theliviga immigrant visa ani so ikkkada vunna vaallaki benefit. Still F1 cone cone as non immigrant

That's what their plan to kill FB and give oxygen to EB. 

Yelagu merit based bill not able to pass so idhi inkoka dhari with president power to kill FB totally. Almost there matter of time. next 3 months lo almost 150 countries in the list India vunna no surprise means aa 7% FB will come to EB. 

So ee lekka na 2017 yendhi motham current ayye la vundhi EB. At least EAD confirm idhe speed tho pothe.

All just read the news properly only immigrant visa still non immigrant visa can apply adhe logic magic here to kill FB totally as Diversity visa. And any GC or citizen careful Indus nundi marriage cheskunte Assam list lo add avtharu very soon if they add Indus in banned country list 

Advance congratulations all

inka nuvvu racha leputhane vuntav ga....afternoon nunchi idee septhunnav. Oct 2026 VB appudu matladukundam le.

[Sucker]

10 minutes ago, akkum_bakkum said:

inka nuvvu racha leputhane vuntav ga....afternoon nunchi idee septhunnav. Oct 2026 VB appudu matladukundam le.

It's in front of your eyes vuncle. What you need inka proof ga 

Covid time lo thatha gaade continue ayyi vunte ippatiki China tho equal vunde vaallam.Thatha is good for backlog only just temp hiccups avi thattukunte GC pakka vaadi admin lo EB lo.100K rule good for inside ippudu ee ban good for inside. Thatha always think about H1B ne. He is God for H1B shield vesi maree protect chesthadu 

[akkum_bakkum]

5 minutes ago, Sucker said:

It's in front of your eyes vuncle. What you need inka proof ga 

Covid time lo thatha gaade continue ayyi vunte ippatiki China tho equal vunde vaallam.Thatha is good for backlog only just temp hiccups avi thattukunte GC pakka vaadi admin lo EB lo.100K rule good for inside ippudu ee ban good for inside. Thatha always think about H1B ne. He is God for H1B shield vesi maree protect chesthadu 

next bulletin vache daakanna aagu…endi nee aatgram aavesam aayaasam.

[Sucker]

42 minutes ago, akkum_bakkum said:

next bulletin vache daakanna aagu…endi nee aatgram aavesam aayaasam.

Simple calculations with Gemini. No brain needed. 

1. The "Spillover Math" (2026–2028)

Historically, these 75 countries consume approximately 95,000 to 110,000 family-based green cards per year.

• The Global Pool: The standard EB limit is 140,000.
• The Windfall: With the 75-country ban, the total EB pool for FY 2027 and FY 2028 is projected to swell to ~245,000 visas annually.
• India's Share: India is currently capped at 7% (~17,150) for the base EB pool. However, when there is "unreserved" spillover, the law allows backlogged countries like India to consume any visa that would otherwise go unused.

2. Projected Date Movement: India (3-Year Forecast)

If the ban on these 75 countries remains in effect through 2028, here is the recalculated movement for India.

 

Category	Current (Jan 2026)	Sept 2026 (Year 1)	Sept 2027 (Year 2)	Sept 2028 (Year 3)
EB-1 India	Feb 1, 2023	Current	Current	Current
EB-2 India	July 15, 2013	Jan - Apr 2015	May - Aug 2016	Feb - June 2017
EB-3 India	Nov 15, 2013	June - Oct 2015	Sept - Dec 2016	Jan - May 2017

[Sucker]

RIP FB and asylum and DV 

Thank you TACO antunna @Coconut

2. The Math Behind the 3-Year Leap

The reason we see a 4-year jump over only 3 years of time is due to the "Unconsumed Quota" effect:

• Total Annual FB Limit: 226,000.
• The 75-Country Share: Historically, the countries on your list (plus the 2026 additions like Brazil and Nigeria) consume roughly 45% of the family visas.
• The Spillover Logic: Since they are banned, ~101,000 visas move to the EB side.
• India's Take: When the 7% per-country cap is lifted (which happens when visas would otherwise go unused globally), India is allowed to consume a massive portion of this 101,000 surplus to clear its oldest backlogs.

3. Why it won't go to Mexico or Philippines Family-Based first

To address your previous point, it is helpful to look at INA Section 201(a)(1). While it seems the visas should stay "Family," the law states that any number by which the previous year's family-based level fell below 226,000 must be added to the following year's employment-based limit.

• The "Horizontal" Lock: Even if the Brazil F4 category is empty, a Mexican F4 applicant cannot use it because of INA 202(a)(2), which caps Mexico at 7% of the total Family pool.
• The "Vertical" Drain: Once the 7% cap is hit for Mexico/Philippines, the only way for the "extra" visas to be used is to "drain" into the Employment pool, where the law specifically allows for the suspension of per-country caps for backlogged workers.

4. Key Milestones for You

• 2026: EB-1 India will likely remain Current for most of the year.
• 2027: Applicants with 2015 Priority Dates in EB-2/3 will finally reach the "Final Action" stage.
• 2028: The 2016/2017 Priority Date group (which has been stuck for nearly a decade) will finally see their green cards approved.

The "Bottom Line": The 75-country ban is a disaster for family unity in those nations, but it is the single most significant factor in clearing the Indian employment backlog in over 15 years.

[Sucker]

Simple math in Gemini but all see a ray slow ga be patient don't forget to vote our republicans JD vance vasthe khatam motham current inka. 

I will stop my comments here over to @akkum_bakkum @csrcsr

Pin the thed..