Guest Timmygot Posted June 10, 2025 Report darkmarket url nexus market darknet nexus darknet market Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report live roulette online casino high roller online casino bitcoin online casino real money [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]usdt casino real money[/url] online casino with live dealer online casino bonus codes casino best online blackjack real money Quote
Guest valtrex for sale Posted June 10, 2025 Report Pills information. Generic Name. valtrex for sale Some information about medication. Read now. Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report live roulette online casino crypto online casino online casino with no KYC [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]real money online casinos USA[/url] online casino no deposit bonus USA online casino credit card deposit online slots USA real money online casino slots real money Quote
Guest Michaelgig Posted June 10, 2025 Report There’s a ‘ghost hurricane’ in the forecast. It could help predict a real one [url=https://www.business-vector.info/vmesto-kvartir-stroili-piramidu-138071/]гей порно геей[/url] A scary-looking weather forecast showing a hurricane hitting the Gulf Coast in the second half of June swirled around social media this week—but don’t panic. It’s the season’s first “ghost hurricane.” Similar hype plays out every hurricane season, especially at the beginning: A cherry-picked, worst-case-scenario model run goes viral, but more often than not, will never come to fruition. Unofficially dubbed “ghost storms” or “ghost hurricanes,” these tropical systems regularly appear in weather models — computer simulations that help meteorologists forecast future conditions — but never seem to manifest in real life. The model responsible this week was the Global Forecast System, also known as the GFS or American model, run by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It’s one of many used by forecasters around the world. All models have known biases or “quirks” where they tend to overpredict or underpredict certain things. The GFS is known to overpredict tropical storms and hurricanes in longer-term forecasts that look more than a week into the future, which leads to these false alarms. The GFS isn’t alone in this — all models struggle to accurately predict tropical activity that far in advance — but it is notorious for doing so. For example, the GFS could spit out a prediction for a US hurricane landfall about 10 days from now, only to have that chance completely disappear as the forecast date draws closer. This can occur at any time of the year, but is most frequent during hurricane season — June through November. It’s exactly what’s been happening over the past week as forecasters keep an eye out for the first storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Why so many ghosts? No weather forecast model is designed in the exact same way as another, and that’s why each can generate different results with similar data. The reason the GFS has more false alarms when looking more than a week out than similar models – like Europe’s ECMWF, Canada’s CMC or the United Kingdom’s UKM – is because that’s exactly what it’s programmed to do, according to Alicia Bentley, the global verification project lead of NOAA’s Environmental Modeling Center. The GFS was built with a “weak parameterized cumulus convection scheme,” according to Bentley. In plain language, that means when the GFS thinks there could be thunderstorms developing in an area where tropical systems are possible – over the oceans – it’s more likely to jump to the conclusion that something tropical will develop than to ignore it. Other models aren’t built to be quite as sensitive to this phenomenon, and so they don’t show a tropical system until they’re more confident the right conditions are in place, which usually happens when the forecast gets closer in time. The western Caribbean Sea is one of the GFS’ favorite places to predict a ghost storm. That’s because of the Central American gyre: a large, disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms that rotates over the region and its surrounding water. Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report ethereum casino real money live casino online real money online casino minimum deposit [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]usdt casino real money[/url] online casino instant play fast withdrawal online casino best online craps real money bitcoin online casino real money Quote
Guest RebeccaTrade Posted June 10, 2025 Report На сайте PKP-RMS - https://pkp-rms.ru, вы сможете выбрать из более чем 1000 товаров. Наша компания - выдающийся поставщик на территории России, специализирующийся на поставке материалов наалучшего качества как для промышленных, так и исследовательских целей. Наш каталог товаров - это обширный источник информации о материалах для вашего бизнеса. Наши товары: Литий бромид Quote
Guest JasonPah Posted June 10, 2025 Report Rei do Pitaco 2025: Guia Completo para Jogadores de Apostas no Brasil ReidoPitaco cassino [url=https://reidopitaco1.com/]rei do pitaco bet[/url] Em 2025, o Rei do Pitaco continua a ser uma das plataformas de apostas mais confiaveis e completas para jogadores de cassino e fas de esportes. Com um sistema simples de cadastro, pagamentos rapidos via PIX, e uma variedade de jogos de cassino e slots com altissimo retorno ao jogador (RTP), a plataforma oferece uma experiencia de apostas segura e eficiente. Neste post, vamos abordar as principais informacoes que voce precisa saber para aproveitar ao maximo o Rei do Pitaco, desde o processo de cadastro ate a recuperacao de conta, bonus e jogos. Cadastro na Plataforma Rei do Pitaco [url=https://reidopitaco1.com/]credito de aposta rei do pitaco[/url] Como fazer o cadastro no Rei do Pitaco? Para realizar o cadastro na plataforma Rei do Pitaco, o usuario deve acessar o site ou aplicativo da plataforma e preencher um formulario com informacoes pessoais essenciais. Isso inclui o nome completo, nacionalidade, CPF, data de nascimento, endereco, numero de telefone e e-mail. Alem disso, o cadastro exige a insercao dos dados bancarios, como banco, agencia e numero da conta, ou dados de pagamento via PIX. O processo tambem requer o envio de uma copia digitalizada de um documento de identificacao com foto (como RG, CNH ou Passaporte) e a realizacao de um reconhecimento facial. Todos esses dados sao fundamentais para garantir a seguranca e conformidade com as regulamentacoes legais da plataforma. [img]https://reidopitaco1.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/ReidoPitacocassino-1.png[/img] Como criar uma conta no Rei do Pitaco? A criacao de conta segue os mesmos passos descritos anteriormente. Ao preencher as informacoes no formulario de cadastro, o usuario sera solicitado a validar sua identidade por meio de um codigo enviado por SMS. Caso necessario, a plataforma pode solicitar o envio de documentos adicionais, como uma copia de documento de identificacao. Apos esse processo, a conta sera ativada, permitindo que o usuario aproveite todos os recursos oferecidos pela plataforma. Como se cadastrar na plataforma? O cadastro e um processo simples e acessivel. Acesse o site ou aplicativo do Rei do Pitaco, preencha o formulario com os dados solicitados e siga as instrucoes de validacao para concluir o processo. Apos a verificacao, sua conta estara pronta para uso. cupom rei do pitaco https://reidopitaco1.com/ Quote
Guest NikkyDiarf Posted June 10, 2025 Report dark market 2025 darknet marketplace darknet market list Quote
Guest stirkankmoR Posted June 10, 2025 Report Ремонт обслуживание бытовой техники у специалистов Стирка НК — это качество и скорость обслуживания. Наши эксперты устранят поломки любой степени. Используем только качественные запчасти. Гарантируем понятные цены. Выезд на дом по вашему графику. Подробнее на https://stirka-nk.ru/. Доверьте ремонт знатокам Стирка НК — ваша техника под защитой! Quote
Guest how to get cheap phe Posted June 10, 2025 Report Drug information. What side effects? how to get cheap phenytoin price All news about drug. Read information here. Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report online casino reload bonus online casino reload bonus online casino referral bonus [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]crypto online casino[/url] online casino tournaments online casino high roller usdt casino real money fast withdrawal online casino Quote
Guest заезд для машины_mrp Posted June 10, 2025 Report [url=https://www.zaezd-dlya-mashiny-1122.ru]zaezd-dlya-mashiny-1122.ru[/url] . Quote
Guest Jariorsys Posted June 10, 2025 Report Наша компания предлагает максимально быстро купить диплом, который выполняется на бланке ГОЗНАКа и заверен мокрыми печатями, штампами, подписями. Документ способен пройти лубую проверку, даже с применением специальных приборов. [url=http://babygirls017.copiny.com/question/details/id/1104281/]babygirls017.copiny.com/question/details/id/1104281[/url] Quote
Guest Juliusmourf Posted June 10, 2025 Report dark web market darknet markets links dark market list Quote
Guest Timmygot Posted June 10, 2025 Report dark web marketplaces dark markets 2025 dark web link Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report online casinos live blackjack online casino $20 deposit online casino [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]online casino high roller[/url] online casino sign up bonus mobile online casino real money casino online casino USA real money Quote
Guest Sazrsmv Posted June 10, 2025 Report Приобрести диплом о высшем образовании ! Приобретение диплома университета России в нашей компании - надежный процесс, потому что документ заносится в государственный реестр. Купить диплом об образовании [url=http://poluchidiplom.com/gde-kupit-diplom-s-provodkoj-2/]poluchidiplom.com/gde-kupit-diplom-s-provodkoj-2[/url] Quote
Guest KarenSig Posted June 10, 2025 Report best mobile casino real money iphone casino real money real money casino app [url=https://gamblingchooser.com/]progressive jackpot online slots[/url] online casino cashback online casino welcome bonus best online poker real money online casino sign up bonus Quote
Guest rijbewijs kopen Posted June 10, 2025 Report rijbewijs kopen, rijbewijs b kopen, vals rijbewijs kopen, rijbewijs b kopen in belgie, rijbewijs kopen prijs, rijbewijs kopen legaal, rijbewijs kopen 247 ervaringen, rijbewijs kopen online, rijbewijs kopen belgie, nep rijbewijs, motorrijbewijs kopen, kan je een rijbewijs kopen, koop een rijbewijs, motor rijbewijs kopen, rijbewijs kopen betrouwbaar, neppe rijbewijs kopen, auto zonder rijbewijs kopen belgie, rijbewijs koop, rijbewijs kopen nederland, auto zonder rijbewijs kopen, rijbewijs kopen belgië, rijbewijs kopen belgie, rijbewijs kopen in nederland, rijbewijs b belgie, rijbewijs kopen met registratie. 98u7ytgfvbv https://rijbewijskopenbetrouwbaar.com/ Quote
Guest Trefhih Posted June 10, 2025 Report диплом специалиста купить [url=www.diplom-groupik24.ru/]диплом специалиста купить[/url] . Quote
Recommended Comments
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.