Sam480 Posted May 15, 2024 Author Report Posted May 15, 2024 5 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said: my guess...women voter (Couldn't be all, those who benefited due to schemes) advantage to ycp was offset by land titling act scare which led to % increase YCP and TDP ki same % of Rural women voting oste than ycp is loosing. YCP ki atleast 3% edge undali TDP meda over women voting to win Quote
Sizzler Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Sam480 said: YCP and TDP ki same % of Rural women voting oste than ycp is loosing. YCP ki atleast 3% edge undali TDP meda over women voting to win Nobody knows the impact of LTA propaganda yet. All Yellow Cadre will believe in this. But that doesn’t add any votes. How many neutrals or undecided bought this idea and voted against needs to be seen..if they didn’t vote for YCP in 2019, they need to be discounted too. Quote
letstalk2024 Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 moreover 80% is a very high % ...similar to 2019 a high poll % will generally indicate anti incumbency...in this case it need not be any much higher than last time... Who and how can anybody quantify which sympathizers voted in what % to make up to this high poll % Quote
Naaperushiva Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 ee technical analysis ivanni makes it more complicated anukuntunna... body language batti choosthe konchem YCP back step medhunnaru the way valla nayakulu talking and also IPAC mooseyyatam ivanni choosthuntey i think already ready avuthunatunnaru 1 Quote
Sizzler Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 3 minutes ago, Sam480 said: YCP and TDP ki same % of Rural women voting oste than ycp is loosing. YCP ki atleast 3% edge undali TDP meda over women voting to win If TDP has edge only in Upper Caste, and Kapu community, how are they going to win the election? BCs are the deciding factor in this election. If Jagan’s social engineering worked to win more than 50% of their vote, I don’t see how they can lose. Quote
Naaperushiva Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, Sizzler said: Nobody knows the impact of LTA propaganda yet. All Yellow Cadre will believe in this. But that doesn’t add any votes. How many neutrals or undecided bought this idea and voted against needs to be seen..if they didn’t vote for YCP in 2019, they need to be discounted too. i feel at all depends on social engineering annaru gaa baa adhi work ayithe konni bc votes laagithe then anukuntunna ledantey dhokanam band Quote
Naaperushiva Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 Just now, Sizzler said: If TDP has edge only in Upper Caste, and Kapu community, how are they going to win the election? BCs are the deciding factor in this election. If Jagan’s social engineering worked to win more than 50% of their vote, I don’t see how they can lose. Just now, Naaperushiva said: i feel at all depends on social engineering annaru gaa baa adhi work ayithe konni bc votes laagithe then anukuntunna ledantey dhokanam band exactly my point too..he took a risk if it pays off then he'll win if not loose anthey anukunta Quote
Sizzler Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 1 minute ago, letstalk2024 said: moreover 80% is a very high % ...similar to 2019 a high poll % will generally indicate anti incumbency...in this case it need not be any much higher than last time... Who and how can anybody quantify which sympathizers voted in what % to make up to this high poll % Lot of vote mobilized this time… Postal Ballot needs to be considered too since the expectation is that 75% of that vote goes to TDP. At least Yellow Cadre need to admit Jagan has created close to 1.4 Lakh new jobs through Secretariats. If they don’t vote for Jagan either, what can you say… Quote
Sizzler Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Naaperushiva said: exactly my point too..he took a risk if it pays off then he'll win if not loose anthey anukunta That is the solution for him to counter the alliance… You can see how motivated people from certain districts against Jagan are. Dont be shocked if 99-100% of the vote from certain communities went against YCP. Quote
Naaperushiva Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 Just now, Sizzler said: That is the solution for him to counter the alliance… You can see how motivated people from certain districts against Jagan are. Dont be shocked if 99-100% of the vote from certain communities went against YCP. agreed...ee theory kooda vundhi land titling act bhayam rural area lo entha percentage debba kottindhi YCP anedhi also plays a part anukunta Quote
Sizzler Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Naaperushiva said: agreed...ee theory kooda vundhi land titling act bhayam rural area lo entha percentage debba kottindhi YCP anedhi also plays a part anukunta I think that is being little over blown bro… manam social media chestham.. obviously talk Antha dani needhe untundhi… but how many people have (enough) land to be worried about this law? Also, Jagan gave Land Pattas to Lakhs of people. Quote
letstalk2024 Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 2 minutes ago, Sizzler said: Lot of vote mobilized this time… Postal Ballot needs to be considered too since the expectation is that 75% of that vote goes to TDP. At least Yellow Cadre need to admit Jagan has created close to 1.4 Lakh new jobs through Secretariats. If they don’t vote for Jagan either, what can you say… he created his own parallel system at the expense of exchequer this along with volunteer system is an effort to build cader on govt payroll. we all know it and we selectively agree/disagree but the other side of the coin is, this lead to a disconnect of traditional cader.. panchayat presidents, rural leaders and influencers.... also irked govt employees to the core as their direct involvement with public is impacted big time Quote
Sam480 Posted May 15, 2024 Author Report Posted May 15, 2024 9 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said: moreover 80% is a very high % ...similar to 2019 a high poll % will generally indicate anti incumbency...in this case it need not be any much higher than last time... Who and how can anybody quantify which sympathizers voted in what % to make up to this high poll % I observed one thing in that Excel document, Most of the reserved seats have less voting percentage compared to 2019 or minimal increase in voting percentage compared to 2019 On top of that, I also observed that in most of the seats where JSP is contesting the Voting percentage is less compared to 2019 or minimal increase in voting percentage compared to 2019 Quote
letstalk2024 Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 BCs ki rvalsina funds annitini divert chesi ..BC commission loans emi ivvakunda chairmans ki proper powers lekunda 5 years run chesi last lo candidates ni pedithe vote vesesthara brooo... I dont think people are so easy to cheat Quote
letstalk2024 Posted May 15, 2024 Report Posted May 15, 2024 1 minute ago, Sam480 said: I observed one thing in that Excel document, Most of the reserved seats have less voting percentage compared to 2019 or minimal increase in voting percentage compared to 2019 On top of that, I also observed that in most of the seats where JSP is contesting the Voting percentage is less compared to 2019 or minimal increase in voting percentage compared to 2019 so what are implying with that? Quote
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