Arey mutton mastan nuvu psephologist aa YCP campaigner va

[Naaperushiva]

14 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

Not sure why Axis gave less number of seats. Aara, Parth Doss predicted women vote being the key. Only god knows until June 4th. 

 

39 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

 

i feel the same but kootami is going to win for sure ...landslide ayithe ee Axis vallu cheppinattu avvakapovacchu

BTW bihar lo LJP contest chesindhi 5 seats ayithe predictions lo 4-6 iccharu ani ycp fans raccha choosa

 

[Sam480]

9 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said:

Bro, my guess 2 possibilities 

1. They are too much fixated on women voting

2. This is what I think could be the reason for YCP narrative and has high possibility ——- YCP should have collected the data of non voting ladies in the past 2/3 elections straight and were able to rig them in the 11th hour which if true explains many things

      They building the narrative of women voter favorites

      Increase in voting % in general and women in particular

and leaders at all level including jagan time and again talking about women voting after 6pm

if #2 is true then all other exit polls are out of the window and congratulations to you

see below as an example 

      https://www.eenadu.net/telugu-news/politics/chevireddy-bhaskar-reddy-threatening-ro-srilekha/0500/124103993

Interesting Analysis, Might be true. They are so confident of women voting

[Sam480]

7 minutes ago, Naaperushiva said:

 

i feel the same but kootami is going to win for sure ...landslide ayithe ee Axis vallu cheppinattu avvakapovacchu

BTW bihar lo LJP contest chesindhi 5 seats ayithe predictions lo 4-6 iccharu ani ycp fans raccha choosa

 

India today 12% vote share difference chupistunnadu between Alliance and YCP. 

Antha difference unte election aypoyina day ne prathi okarki telsede who is winning example :2019 election

I still feel that the vote share % between both parties will be <=3

Remember i said you previously "YCP CAN ONLY WIN IF 55% OF WOMEN VOTE THEM" Eroju AARA Mastan adey reason cheppadu 

[letstalk2024]

2 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

Interesting Analysis, Might be true. They are so confident of women voting

Highly possible and this explains many things 

Jagans confidence 

CBNs lack of confidence 

Jagan drilling it down from top to bottom as this would have been planned and executed at the highest level and the actual ground level leaders being unaware. And eventually gaining confidence as days passed and preparing ground for swearing in 

employees still being calm as they might have known it at the last hour of election

we will only know on 4th 

 

[Bendapudi_english]

2 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

India today 12% vote share difference chupistunnadu between Alliance and YCP. 

Antha difference unte election aypoyina day ne prathi okarki telsede who is winning example :2019 election

I still feel that the vote share % between both parties will be <=3

Remember i said you previously "YCP CAN ONLY WIN IF 55% OF WOMEN VOTE THEM" Eroju AARA Mastan adey reason cheppadu 

Only 60 lakhs women ki benefits andhayi, rest 1 crore endhuku voteveyali anna. Tight fight undadhu you will see it will be landslide to alliance like never before 

[Sizzler]

13 minutes ago, Naaperushiva said:

 

i feel the same but kootami is going to win for sure ...landslide ayithe ee Axis vallu cheppinattu avvakapovacchu

BTW bihar lo LJP contest chesindhi 5 seats ayithe predictions lo 4-6 iccharu ani ycp fans raccha choosa

 

YCP needs to win at least 20-25 seats from East, West, Krishna, Guntur. There is too much polarization especially in East & West. I am unsure about the outcome in those places. West gave 0 seats in 2014. Expecting YCP to keep dominance in Kurnool, Kadapa but lose plenty in Chittoor, Anantapur, Nellore, Ongole. 
 

Rayalaseema lo one side seats vasthe caste antaru, curious to see what will be the excuse if the one side polarization happened in any of these 4 districts. 

[Sam480]

7 minutes ago, Bendapudi_english said:

Only 60 lakhs women ki benefits andhayi, rest 1 crore endhuku voteveyali anna. Tight fight undadhu you will see it will be landslide to alliance like never before 

Let's see anna, I just analyze data and want my predictions to be right anthe

Wrong ayte will learn something new.

Nenu ayte <3% e untadi anukuntunna . the difference in seats between both parties can be between 20-40

[Sam480]

21 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

I think the difference is mainly because of silent voting. Pollsters predicted different reasons for silent voting

Some pollsters predicted silent voting to benefit Alliance and some towards YCP

IMO Silent voting happens in 2 cases

1)When the people are voting for opposition and are afraid of the ruling party t, They don't disclose whom they voted for.  This benefits the alliance

2)When the people are voting for the government and their voting preference is different from the majority of the vocal section. Even in this case they don't disclose whom they voted for. This benefits YCP 

Ex: Telangana 2018, The opinion of the vocal section was Maha Kutami but the silent voters voted for TRS 

This is the reason i think there is vast difference between some pollsters

@Naaperushiva

[Sizzler]

19 minutes ago, Bendapudi_english said:

Men lo max 40 % untadhi anna ycp ki, mandhu babulu, un employed, govt male employees etc

If people are voting for liquor, I’d rather not have them vote for YCP at all. Some of the Govt Employees are riding on a high horse. They need CBN’s treatment again  to come down. I feel sympathetic with UnEmployed though.

[Sizzler]

25 minutes ago, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

Asalu men and women from same households vote similarly... Men lo leading but women lo trailing or vice versa anedi AP lo no way in my opinion. 56% women YCP ki vote veste atleast 50%+ men kuda would have voted for YCP but he says only 46% men voted for YCP. 

1999 - Women voters helped CBN win. They banked similarly in 2019 and failed. 

[Naaperushiva]

2 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

@Naaperushiva

lets see kaaka...inko 48 hrs 

for now YCP fans vallaithe gunde nibbaram chesukovalsindhe

 

[Sizzler]

28 minutes ago, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

Mastan will be a really good asset for YCP. The current candidates are mostly trash. 

YCP will continue to give decent number of seats for Muslims. I’d rather have someone like Aara Masthan as candidate from one of those places. 

[Sam480]

3 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

1999 - Women voters helped CBN win. They banked similarly in 2019 and failed. 

NTR ki kuda same, More women used to vote NTR than men

[letstalk2024]

2 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

If people are voting for liquor, I’d rather not have them vote for YCP at all. Some of the Govt Employees are riding on a high horse. They need CBN’s treatment again  to come down. I feel sympathetic with UnEmployed though.

Abba Emaina cheppava bro 

Anna emo liquor brands ammuthadanta

kaani liquor thaage vote bank vaddanta on the grounds of values

inkoti Enti govt employes should get CBN treatment to calm down aa

bro yes they came to reality

atleast CBN treated them with respect

liquor shops daggara line manage cheyyamani cheppaledu

he preserved their right by paying them promptly 

and what do you mean by CBN treatment?? Oh yeah he asks to perform 

not asking to perform is good as per you and employees should be saved from it 

great sensibilities 

[Sam480]

20 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said:

Highly possible and this explains many things 

Jagans confidence 

CBNs lack of confidence 

Jagan drilling it down from top to bottom as this would have been planned and executed at the highest level and the actual ground level leaders being unaware. And eventually gaining confidence as days passed and preparing ground for swearing in 

employees still being calm as they might have known it at the last hour of election

we will only know on 4th 

 

Jagan and CBN are both looking confident after their return. But one of them knows they are loosing

E survey's kanna Intelligence survey correct untadi. so they already know