Arey mutton mastan nuvu psephologist aa YCP campaigner va

[Keth]

45 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if he joins YCP after elections. He will be a good asset. 

ee matram daniki @veerigadu ma masthan ycp gelustadi annadu ani oorantha chocalates panchi pedithe

papam veeri ga

[Sizzler]

44 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

Don't rule out his numbers anna, Elections tarvata numbers ivvadam valla credibility povatam tappa em undadu.

Money kosam chesedi unte elections mundu cheste inka ekkuva impact untadi and money kuda ekkuva ostay

May be he got the mood of the people wrong or right anedi 2 days lo telustundi

But He is very confident on the number. Endake Mahaa News lo interview chusa

Lagadapati has lot of money and surveys anedi just fun kosam chesevadu

veedi situation ala kaadu. may be he got the mood of the women voting incorrect

Partha Doss and Aara Mastan are firmly behind YCP. Let’s see if they come out right. If they do, they are going to be the most trusted ones for future elections. 

[Sizzler]

31 minutes ago, Keth said:

ee matram daniki @veerigadu ma masthan ycp gelustadi annadu ani oorantha chocalates panchi pedithe

papam veeri ga

If he fails with his prediction, it is better for him to be part of a political party instead. Just watched his news conference and he has good communication skills to drive point home. He seems very confident about the current exit poll  though. 

[Sam480]

45 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said:

My take:

YCP feels they can tilt seats that are close fights during counting with agents support

they want to keep the cader and agents engaged if that were to happen

Aara has credibility so by least keeping it close they wanted a positive outcome from this agency

now the way out for Aara is just putting it on +/- 3% error rate and say barring that we are close at least 

What you said may also be true

But He's saying that he gave lower no of seats to YCP  and they might win even more than he published in the exit poll ani.

E interview chudu anna he explained everything

 

[letstalk2024]

5 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

What you said may also be true

But He's saying that he gave lower no of seats to YCP  and they might win even more than he published in the exit poll ani.

E interview chudu anna he explained everything

 

kk inthakanna confident ga chepthunnadu mari

So with the current data we have majority are projecting alliance 

that’s the bottom line

[Sam480]

5 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said:

kk inthakanna confident ga chepthunnadu mari

So with the current data we have majority are projecting alliance 

that’s the bottom line

KK or AARA eddarlo evaro okaru VP Avtunnaru pakka . 2 days lo telustadi

KK = 21/21 to JSP and 7/10 to BJP ichadu anduke i'm doubtful on his numbers

[letstalk2024]

6 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

KK or AARA eddarlo evaro okaru VP Avtunnaru pakka . 2 days lo telustadi

KK = 21/21 to JSP and 7/10 to BJP ichadu anduke i'm doubtful on his numbers

Yeah if that happens KK will add another K this time KingKK of servers in AP

sounds exaggerated but he is the only one predicting too ahead and he is giving a number and not a range 

 

[Sam480]

5 hours ago, Sizzler said:

Partha Doss and Aara Mastan are firmly behind YCP. Let’s see if they come out right. If they do, they are going to be the most trusted ones for future elections. 

 

[Sizzler]

22 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

 

Not sure why Axis gave less number of seats. Aara, Parth Doss predicted women vote being the key. Only god knows until June 4th. 

[letstalk2024]

12 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

Not sure why Axis gave less number of seats. Aara, Parth Doss predicted women vote being the key. Only god knows until June 4th. 

Bro, my guess 2 possibilities 

1. They are too much fixated on women voting

2. This is what I think could be the reason for YCP narrative and has high possibility ——- YCP should have collected the data of non voting ladies in the past 2/3 elections straight and were able to rig them in the 11th hour which if true explains many things

      They building the narrative of women voter favorites

      Increase in voting % in general and women in particular

and leaders at all level including jagan time and again talking about women voting after 6pm

if #2 is true then all other exit polls are out of the window and congratulations to you

see below as an example 

      https://www.eenadu.net/telugu-news/politics/chevireddy-bhaskar-reddy-threatening-ro-srilekha/0500/124103993

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

7 hours ago, Sizzler said:

I wouldn’t be surprised if he joins YCP after elections. He will be a good asset. 

Mastan will be a really good asset for YCP. The current candidates are mostly trash. 

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

2 minutes ago, letstalk2024 said:

Bro, my guess 2 possibilities 

1. They are too much fixated on women voting

2. This is what I think could be the reason for YCP narrative and has high possibility is that YCP should have collected the data of non voting ladies in the past 2/3 elections straight and were able to rig them in the 11th hour which if true explains many things

      They building the narrative of women voter favorites

      Increase in voting % in general and women in particular

and leaders at all level including jagan time and again talking about women voting after 6pm

if #2 is true then all other exit polls are out of the window and congratulations to you

see below as an example 

      https://www.eenadu.net/telugu-news/politics/chevireddy-bhaskar-reddy-threatening-ro-srilekha/0500/124103993

Asalu men and women from same households vote similarly... Men lo leading but women lo trailing or vice versa anedi AP lo no way in my opinion. 56% women YCP ki vote veste atleast 50%+ men kuda would have voted for YCP but he says only 46% men voted for YCP. 

[letstalk2024]

Just now, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

Asalu men and women from same households vote similarly... Men lo leading but women lo trailing or vice versa anedi AP lo no way in my opinion. 56% women YCP ki vote veste atleast 50%+ men kuda would have voted for YCP but he says only 46% men voted for YCP. 

Ade kada bro cheppedi this if true can only be explained by scenario 2 In my post 

[Sam480]

15 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

Not sure why Axis gave less number of seats. Aara, Parth Doss predicted women vote being the key. Only god knows until June 4th. 

I think the difference is mainly because of silent voting. Pollsters predicted different reasons for silent voting

Some pollsters predicted silent voting to benefit Alliance and some towards YCP

IMO Silent voting happens in 2 cases

1)When the people are voting for opposition and are afraid of the ruling party t, They don't disclose whom they voted for.  This benefits the alliance

2)When the people are voting for the government and their voting preference is different from the majority of the vocal section. Even in this case they don't disclose whom they voted for. This benefits YCP 

Ex: Telangana 2018, The opinion of the vocal section was Maha Kutami but the silent voters voted for TRS 

This is the reason i think there is vast difference between some pollsters

[Bendapudi_english]

2 minutes ago, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

Asalu men and women from same households vote similarly... Men lo leading but women lo trailing or vice versa anedi AP lo no way in my opinion. 56% women YCP ki vote veste atleast 50%+ men kuda would have voted for YCP but he says only 46% men voted for YCP. 

Men lo max 40 % untadhi anna ycp ki, mandhu babulu, un employed, govt male employees etc