Sam480 Posted June 2, 2024 Author Report Posted June 2, 2024 17 minutes ago, Bendapudi_english said: Yes anna, last time elections check TDP+JSP vote % in EG , WG and Vizag city , greater than 55% untadhi combined naku ekkado teda kodtundi anna 62.5% voting for JSP ante. I will reserve my comment post election results Quote
Bendapudi_english Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 Just now, Sam480 said: naku ekkado teda kodtundi anna 62.5% voting for JSP ante. I will reserve my comment post election results Wave undhi ani chala mandhiki thelusthundhi anna repu. Just an Example 2019 bandaru lo 53% TDP and jsp ki and isari inko 8 % add ayundachu, possible scenarrio Party Candidate Votes % ±% YSRCP Perni Venkataramaiah 66,141 44.36 TDP Kollu Ravindra 62,232 40.44 JSP Bandi Rama Krishna 18,807 12.61 Quote
akkum_bakkum Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 38 minutes ago, Sam480 said: Total polled votes in AP: 3.38 crs 7% of 3.38 = 23.7laks Total Polled votes in 21 JSP constituencies: 37.86L So JSP will get 23.7/37.86 = 62.5% votesshare in each of its 21 contesting seats Entha wave unda ? If JSP is getting 62.5% then YCP will only get 35% vote on an average, remaining 2.5% for cong, independents and NOTA mostly 55 minutes ago, Gaali_Gottam_Govinda said: if JSP wins 80-90% of their seats and TDP wins only 50-60% of seats contested. TDP days are numbered. PK will ask for 75 seats in 2029 for alliance. This 62.5% vote share is not for JSP alone. TDP and BJP voted and so there is vote transfer. You just cannot use this as a basis and come to conclusion. If TDP and BJP contest separately, obv janasena will have substantially lower vote share. in anycase, it is true that jsp took seats where they believe kapu vote bank is good and that consolidated the vote bank substantially in favor of alliance. Quote
Sam480 Posted June 2, 2024 Author Report Posted June 2, 2024 1 minute ago, Bendapudi_english said: Wave undhi ani chala mandhiki thelusthundhi anna repu. Just an Example 2019 bandaru lo 53% TDP and jsp ki and isari inko 8 % add ayundachu, possible scenarrio Party Candidate Votes % ±% YSRCP Perni Venkataramaiah 66,141 44.36 TDP Kollu Ravindra 62,232 40.44 JSP Bandi Rama Krishna 18,807 12.61 55% is possible for alliance in godavari districts but 62.5% average for Jsp is huge as JSP is contesting some seats in Seema and Vizianagaram Quote
ARYA Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 47 minutes ago, futureofandhra said: overall vote share 7% ichadu 7% state wide vote share consolidated to 21 constituencies ante, 63% ee kada..brain lo gujju konchem vaadu.. Quote
Sam480 Posted June 2, 2024 Author Report Posted June 2, 2024 1 minute ago, akkum_bakkum said: This 62.5% vote share is not for JSP alone. TDP and BJP voted and so there is vote transfer. You just cannot use this as a basis and come to conclusion. If TDP and BJP contest separately, obv janasena will have substantially lower vote share. in anycase, it is true that jsp took seats where they believe kapu vote bank is good and that consolidated the vote bank substantially in favor of alliance. I'm aware of this bro , I'm including the vote transfer from bjp and tdp as well. 36 hrs lo telustundi Quote
Bendapudi_english Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 31 minutes ago, Sam480 said: 55% is possible for alliance in godavari districts but 62.5% average for Jsp is huge as JSP is contesting some seats in Seema and Vizianagaram Another example of 58%, adhi kuda jagan wave lo 2019 Andhra Pradesh Legislative Assembly election: Gajuwaka Party Candidate Votes % ±% YSRCP Tippala Nagi Reddy 75,292 37.78 JSP Pawan Kalyan 58,539 29.37 TDP Palla Srinivasa Rao 56,642 28.42 typo edited 1 Quote
Sam480 Posted June 2, 2024 Author Report Posted June 2, 2024 5 minutes ago, Bendapudi_english said: Another example of 64%, adhi kuda jagan wave lo 2019 Andhra Pradesh Legislative Assembly election: Gajuwaka Party Candidate Votes % ±% YSRCP Tippala Nagi Reddy 75,292 37.78 JSP Pawan Kalyan 58,539 29.37 TDP Palla Srinivasa Rao 56,642 28.42 year Emo anna i really doubt that 62%. 36 hrs lo telustundi Quote
Bendapudi_english Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 2 minutes ago, Sam480 said: Emo anna i really doubt that 62%. 36 hrs lo telustundi Except 4 seats, it will be 65% anna you will see 1 Quote
socrates Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 1 hour ago, futureofandhra said: kk surveys cheppindhi adhey ga looks like massive wave i have doubts about this KK Survey, he is deeply underestimating jagan's electoral capabilities JSP may get good number of seats, but 21/21 is overwhelming jagan ruling may be bad, but he created huge polarization, resulting in these nail biting elections if jagan were truly weak enough to get just 14, all this high tension drama wouldn't have happened in the first place and alliance wouldn't have formed. Quote
Saivuncle Posted June 2, 2024 Report Posted June 2, 2024 1 hour ago, ARYA said: 7% state wide vote share consolidated to 21 constituencies ante, 63% ee kada..brain lo gujju konchem vaadu.. pulka slave dogs ki antha burra ekkada undi ley 1 Quote
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