veerigadu Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. Also he has more friends on YCP side. I’m not sure where this is going with AARA. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicating that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? 2 Quote
Keth Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 1 minute ago, veerigadu said: Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. I’m not sure. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicated that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? Quote
futureofandhra Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 1 minute ago, veerigadu said: Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. I’m not sure. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicated that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? This election result will definitely result in credibility questions Aara My axis Kk surveys Rise Aara correct ayithey jagan for 30 years confirm Quote
Keth Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, veerigadu said: Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. I’m not sure. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicated that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? aadoka labor yedava ani aadu vagindi chusthe ardam avtale? inka vadi meeda hopes ante proving at what level your gajji went anedi Quote
Popular Post Raja_Returns Posted June 3, 2024 Popular Post Report Posted June 3, 2024 Elections emo gani results valla DB ki manchi manushulu duram avutunaru Anna TG election results taruvatha ma @hyperbole Anna pathha ledu ipudu kootami gelusthe ninnu kuda pogottukuntam emo ani bayam ga undi 12 Quote
CanadianMalodu Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, veerigadu said: Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. Also he has more friends on YCP side. I’m not sure where this is going with AARA. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicating that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? My AXIS survey may have missed it this time (on purpose?). They projected 3% vote share to others and 2% vote share to Congress in Andhra. Who are those "others"? If I recall well, they said they said their sample size was 25,000 making it less than 150 per consistuency. If true there is a lot of room for statistical errors (alpha , beta) Quote
Keth Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 2 minutes ago, Raja_Returns said: Elections emo gani results valla DB ki manchi manushulu duram avutunaru Anna TG election results taruvatha ma @hyperbole Anna pathha ledu ipudu kootami gelusthe ninnu kuda pogottukuntam emo ani bayam ga undi @Vaaaampire anna patha ledu login avutundu but no replies. Quote
Teluguredu Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 1 minute ago, CanadianMalodu said: My AXIS survey may have missed it this time (on purpose?). They projected 3% vote share to others and 2% vote share to Congress in Andhra. Who are those "others"? If I recall well, they said they said their sample size was 25,000 making it less than 150 per consistuency. If true there is a lot of room for statistical errors (alpha , beta) Aara has told axis sample size is around 250 per parliament seat. Quote
veerigadu Posted June 3, 2024 Author Report Posted June 3, 2024 1 minute ago, Keth said: aadoka labor yedava ani aadu vagindi chusthe ardam avtale? inka vadi meeda hopes ante proving at what level your gajji went anedi AARA gadidhiii post poll. Whereas India today is exit poll. Aara started data collection 2 days after elections. Whereas exit poll is done on the same day. Since voting continued until midnight, they probably did not get right anssessment anntunnadu. India today will correct itself ani kuda antunnaduuu. Yevadi confidence valladhi. Just few more hours. My axis is national level. I’m more inclined to trust them. But let’s see. Quote
Keth Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 1 minute ago, CanadianMalodu said: My AXIS survey may have missed it this time (on purpose?). They projected 3% vote share to others and 2% vote share to Congress in Andhra. Who are those "others"? If I recall well, they said they said their sample size was 25,000 making it less than 150 per consistuency. If true there is a lot of room for statistical errors (alpha , beta) yes anna gama delta kuda missing . nenu adhe anukunna ycp ki 160 min undali kada ani Quote
veerigadu Posted June 3, 2024 Author Report Posted June 3, 2024 16 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said: My AXIS survey may have missed it this time (on purpose?). They projected 3% vote share to others and 2% vote share to Congress in Andhra. Who are those "others"? If I recall well, they said they said their sample size was 25,000 making it less than 150 per consistuency. If true there is a lot of room for statistical errors (alpha , beta) They got it wrong in Rajasthan and Chattisgarh recent times lo. But they were never wrong in the case of Telugu states. So their credibility is intact as of now. At the same time, AARA has predicted every election. Including dubbaka by election. He even mentioned that KCR will lose in NZMBD. Anyways, with these two agencies being on two completely different spectrums makes things weird now. Quote
Teluguredu Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 Just now, veerigadu said: They got wrong in Rajasthan and Chattisgarh recent times lo. But they were never wrong in the case of Telugu states. So their credibility is intact as of now. At the same time, AARA has predicted every election. Including dubbaka by election. He even mentioned that KCR will lose in NZMBD. Anyways, with these two agencies being on two completely different spectrums makes things weird now. I think aara has got it wrong in dubbaka ,even in ghmc he got the winner right but missed the seat count. Quote
TuesdayStories Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 18 minutes ago, veerigadu said: Two reliable agencies. Either my axis or AARA will lose its credibility at the end of the day. Aara guy sounds confident. But since he is a Muslim. He probably is biased. Also he has more friends on YCP side. I’m not sure where this is going with AARA. on the other hand, My axis gave 2-4 mp seats and yet they are giving more than 55 in assembly. That is slightly confusing. Are they indicating that there was huge cross voting for MP seats? https://www.instagram.com/reel/C7tCAhwBIoE/?igsh=M3A5b2p2b3Q5bm9l Quote
CanadianMalodu Posted June 3, 2024 Report Posted June 3, 2024 3 minutes ago, veerigadu said: They got wrong in Rajasthan and Chattisgarh recent times lo. But they were never wrong in the case of Telugu states. So their credibility is intact as of now. At the same time, AARA has predicted every election. Including dubbaka by election. He even mentioned that KCR will lose in NZMBD. Anyways, with these two agencies being on two completely different spectrums makes things weird now. It's just few hours anyway. I'm inclined to side with AARA as their sampling was consistent. For the reasons I stated above I think, AXIS may miss it this time. Quote
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