AP Politics for the next 5 years

[AndhraneedSCS]

YCP(and affiliates) realized that the main reason they lost elections is because of the alliance between TDP and JSP and wants them separated ASAP. To do this

 

1) Give as much credit as possible to Pawan Kalyan and make PK feel he is stronger.

2)Once he feels stronger, he will either demand more seats or want to contest on his own.

 

 

Reality:

1) Both CBN and PK have respective vote banks. There is a need for JSP to have a structure in all constituencies. This needs a lot of leaders who come with their followers. JSP with all the attention, can attract people from YCP.

2) Some of the existing YCP leaders may switch loyalties to BJP for protection from cases and this may make BJP stronger.

3) Sharmila and Congress may strengthen a bit due to the momentum they got in MP elections. 

4) By 2029, all the equations may change. If I read between the lines, BJP wants an alliance just with JSP. Not sure if BJP will continue the same alliance or if it will try and do it with just JSP

5) Congress needs an ally in AP. If JSP and BJP allies, then Congress will have to ally with either TDP or YCP. Not sure what will happen in this case. I think Jagan won't be willing to ally with Congress so it will be Congress alone or Congress + TDP. If this were to happen, it may dent Congress prospects in TG. Not sure what will happen as it depends on what happens in TG. Who knows what happens if KCR allies with Congress in TG for 2029?

 

 

 

All this will be utter nonsense if JSP and TDP continue their alliance for 10 years like PK mentioned. CBN will be CM as long as he is active but at some point, both parties should merge or there will be fights over CM position between the parties.

 

[r2d2]

25 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

BJP wants an alliance just with JSP