Kk survey… predicted close in maharastra

[psycopk]

 

[CanadianMalodu]

12 minutes ago, psycopk said:

 

Eedi muDD_I. Eedi surveys lo number crunching thakkuva, hadavidi ekkuva. Edho oka face anthe leaks ivvadaniki.

[Teluguredu]

14 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Eedi muDD_I. Eedi surveys lo number crunching thakkuva, hadavidi ekkuva. Edho oka face anthe leaks ivvadaniki.

inke em survey 160 cheppale ,konni ycp ki 100-130 ichai ,konni tdp ki 100-130 ichai.ibdia axis 60-70 ichindhi ycp ki aara mastan 95-100 ichaadu.

JSP ki 12-13 paina ivvala ,veedokade correct ga to the mark ichaadu.

 

[CanadianMalodu]

8 minutes ago, Teluguredu said:

inke em survey 160 cheppale ,konni ycp ki 100-130 ichai ,konni tdp ki 100-130 ichai.ibdia axis 60-70 ichindhi ycp ki aara mastan 95-100 ichaadu.

JSP ki 12-13 paina ivvala ,veedokade correct ga to the mark ichaadu.

 

Vaadu survery lo sample size, spread, demographics etc lanti baseline factors em cheppatledhu. Let alone statistical rigour.

At least Aara Mastan did reveal those things. Aara Mastan is close to ground reality. KK oka actor, just a face to reveal the leaks to public to avoid skepticism. Nenu survery chesa, nenu cheppa correct ga ani janalani further confuse cheyyadaniki.

EVM magic valla lakkochesaru anthe. Aara Mastan TV show lo counting appude, he asked for more details and had to walk out of the show. He then kept quiet and was possibly told  to fall in line. 

[manadonga]

38 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Vaadu survery lo sample size, spread, demographics etc lanti baseline factors em cheppatledhu. Let alone statistical rigour.

At least Aara Mastan did reveal those things. Aara Mastan is close to ground reality. KK oka actor, just a face to reveal the leaks to public to avoid skepticism. Nenu survery chesa, nenu cheppa correct ga ani janalani further confuse cheyyadaniki.

EVM magic valla lakkochesaru anthe. Aara Mastan TV show lo counting appude, he asked for more details and had to walk out of the show. He then kept quiet and was possibly told  to fall in line. 

Business secret lu cheppestara andariki  

[CanadianMalodu]

1 hour ago, manadonga said:

Business secret lu cheppestara andariki  

Adhi business secret enti?any statistical analysis ki base line factors key. Nenu intha mandhi lo survey chesa. Ee areas cover chesam lanti basic things kooda reveal cheyyapothe nuvvemi pani chesinattu? Genuine survery evarina cheptharu ivi. 

[jalsa01]

15 hours ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Adhi business secret enti?any statistical analysis ki base line factors key. Nenu intha mandhi lo survey chesa. Ee areas cover chesam lanti basic things kooda reveal cheyyapothe nuvvemi pani chesinattu? Genuine survery evarina cheptharu ivi. 

adi survey ki pay chesinodiki istasu.. uthha comments chese vallaki kaadhu

[CanadianMalodu]

11 hours ago, jalsa01 said:

adi survey ki pay chesinodiki istasu.. uthha comments chese vallaki kaadhu

Aa survey prediction kooda vallake ivvochu kadha, inka TV lo koorchoni cheppadam endhuku? Pedda Pedda MNC chese clinical trial results ee patents unna public ki access istharu, at least abstract varaku, ee Pakodi analysis baseline characteristics business secret anta 😂

[Thokkalee]

Surveys are for news media to discuss.. they don’t give any insights or value to the leaders or parties.. sample sizes are too small.. 1 lakh voters unna constituency lo oka 300-500 voters ni adigi mothham constituency ela decide chestaru?? 

Even in US, where they follow highly scientific methods, the surveys were proved wrong many times, even in the recent elections 

[CanadianMalodu]

3 hours ago, Thokkalee said:

Surveys are for news media to discuss.. they don’t give any insights or value to the leaders or parties.. sample sizes are too small.. 1 lakh voters unna constituency lo oka 300-500 voters ni adigi mothham constituency ela decide chestaru?? 

Even in US, where they follow highly scientific methods, the surveys were proved wrong many times, even in the recent elections 

How do you arrive at this conclusion? Unless you know the baseline characteristics, Sample sizes, ANOVA you can't determine it. They never give any of that info.

US political  analysts are a joke. They just tell you script like KK.😂

[Thokkalee]

8 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

How do you arrive at this conclusion? Unless you know the baseline characteristics, Sample sizes, ANOVA you can't determine it. They never give any of that info.

US political  analysis are a joke. They just tell you script like KK.😂

Aara Masthan and KK both said in interviews that they survey 200-300 people in every constituency.. if they don’t get a clear idea or if that is a key constituency, they double the sample size to 500.. 

All these surveys are based on the basic assumption that the person they are talking to is telling the truth.. there is a 50-50 chance that they are wrong there.. why will someone tell an outsider who he is going to vote for.. 

[CanadianMalodu]

3 hours ago, Thokkalee said:

Aara Masthan and KK both said in interviews that they survey 200-300 people in every constituency.. if they don’t get a clear idea or if that is a key constituency, they double the sample size to 500.. 

All these surveys are based on the basic assumption that the person they are talking to is telling the truth.. there is a 50-50 chance that they are wrong there.. why will someone tell an outsider who he is going to vote for.. 

A similar sample size wouldn't give you two different conclusions. It's as simple as that. If AARA Mastan and other surveys have one type of results, KK can't have a different type of results in entirety. Margin of error exists, but entirely different result is not possible.  Either all others are doing something wrong or only KK is doing everything right. 

People tell you how they vote too. That's not necessarily a  secret. 

 

[Discotek]

On 11/23/2024 at 8:23 AM, CanadianMalodu said:

Eedi muDD_I. Eedi surveys lo number crunching thakkuva, hadavidi ekkuva. Edho oka face anthe leaks ivvadaniki.

Why would a national party give leaks to a local youtuber / poll watcher

They could do this with a national nees channel and easily influence voters know?

[CanadianMalodu]

57 minutes ago, Discotek said:

Why would a national party give leaks to a local youtuber / poll watcher

They could do this with a national nees channel and easily influence voters know?

KK is exclusively employed by TDP which is currently allied in Andhra with BJP. People use a lot of social media these days. Leaks are given to these guys so that they go on a narrative spin in the name of "predictions". The narrative spin is to confuse or at times  convince public.

BJP on its own has built a mainstream media network. It has Republic and now NDTV to safeguard it's  own interests just as how Congress has its own channels.