“What is carrying AP politics, whose cookie will crumble?”

[katharnak]

While the whole Nation is gearing up to celebrate the New Year, the apprehensions of emerging acrimonious polemics have dampened the spirits of both the people and their political representatives in Andhra Pradesh, a state which no more remains a strong bastion of Congress Party or it seems. The Congress Party is at cross roads while its credibility is on the decline as the days passed with speculations of Mid-term polls at any time by March 2011 in AP.[img]http://www.andhraheadlines.com/%5Cg6%5Cnews%5Cme%5C76884.JPG[/img]

Amidst scams and political chaos, the grand old party of Indian politics held its 83rd plenary which was notable for “what it left unsaid than what it said” particularly, when the politics in Andhra Pradesh are uprising. As a result it is being perceived by the political experts that it is a “party under seize” in AP.

The Congress has so far escaped from being blameworthy on its handling of various issues including the Telangana issue by using the popularity of YSR to cover its verruca. Post YSR, the credibility of Congress is coming under increasing strain. 

Kiran Kumar Reddy has “outright accountability but not absolute power”, while the High-command has “outright power but not an out and out accountability”, add to this is “the vapor thin majority” in the state. This particular situation lies at the heart of “Congress’ political deficit”. The Congress government responds lethargically to crises because its politics are more of “high-command led” which never misses an opportunity to miss an opportunity. The situation led to thousand mutinies within the party politics in AP which might result in mid-term elections.

The political scenario in the state is a “classic Congress dilemma”. The party has no leader of any importance in the State and in other states too, because that is how the high-command wants it to be. The high-command is in the habit of nipping in the bud the emergence of strong regional satraps independent of the Centre. YSR was an exception. The problem in the state has seen it install a politically novice Chief Minister with no base, let alone a State-wide standing.

The emerging scenario post December, has put the Congress leaders in confusion forcing them to search for new political platforms to pursue their political future. In this backdrop, the presence of at least 22 congress MLAs at Jaganmohan Reddy’s Fasting venue at Vijayawada is an indication that the Kiran Kumar Government is on the fringe of falling into minority.

Adding to the woes of Congress, Chandrababu Naidu, in what seemed to be a “realization of his follies” vis-à-vis his policies against farmers, embarked upon indefinite fast demanding better package to the rain-hit farmers. Not to lag behind, KCR, who is fast emerging a strong satrap in Telangana region, declared that he too would resort to fast unto death tactics, if needed post December.

The politics of all the three opponents are efforts to brace themselves for mid-term elections. While, KCR is on strong wicket to reap electoral gains in the event of mid-term elections, the chances of the other two would depend upon whose “political cookie crumbles first’.

The more the Congress tries to corner Jaganmohan Reddy, the more he gains. Indeed, its perceived “insults to the YSR legacy” began to translate into a matter of regional pride that started working in favor of the young rebel, whom everybody thought that he has become a “solitary wanderer”(isolated). He has managed to gain political sympathy and the Congress is unable to counter him, as more and more of its legislators began to share platform with him and express their solidarity with him at the cost of Congress discomfiture. More important, the public response to his visits has been impressive and, at least for now, appears to be growing. Sitting Congress MLAs show up at his meetings. Followers of other parties attend them in big numbers.

His supporters believe the number of MLAs affirming their faith in Jagan will only go up once he launches his party in a month or so. By participating in the hunger strike at Vijayawada, the Congress legislators sent signals that “either they are confident that the party high command can ill-afford to act against them or they simply don’t care for the consequences or they simply exposed the feebleness of the Congress high-command”.

At the same time the presence of the Congress legislators at Jagan’s program is simply an open defiance of the high-command and an indication that they are not backing Kiran Kumar any more.

The MLAs who are inclined to back Jagan are more than the number that has come out so far. And they cut across party lines - Telugu Desam and Praja Rajyam included. It is an open secret that quite a few PRP MLAs were planted in the party by Y S R before the 2009 elections.

The show of strength at defiant Jagan’s hunger strike is a preview of what his camp plans to do in the near future. The Jagan camp is more than aware that sustaining their sole agenda - drawing public support by harping on the YSR legacy - till the 2014 scheduled election would be difficult and is, therefore, keen on a mid-term. Therefore, the talk of Jagan’s group that it has no intention of destabilizing the Kiran Kumar government is nothing but exactly the opposite.

But the big question is will Chandrababu Naidu, a seasoned political strategist himself, calls the bluff if he knows it is Jagan and not he who will gain. Much will also depend on what course Chandrababu Naidu will take. Even if Jagan campers manage to get a no-confidence motion moved, it would not serve the intended purpose if the TDP does not sail along.

Everything, however, hinges on developments after Dec. 31. If the Congress decides against granting a Telangana state, the TRS will find it difficult to bail out Kiran’s government from a crisis.

If Congress feels cornered, it can scuttle everybody’s efforts, at least for time being, by keeping the assembly in “suspended animation” and recommending for “President Rule” citing law and order situation vis-à-vis intensified Telangana movement by first week of February 2011, a situation which might keep by-elections for Kadapa and Pulivendula constituencies at abeyance, so that it can be in a position to delay Jagan’s show of strength at the by-polls.

So “What is carrying AP politics, whose cookie will crumble?”  Wait and watch the interesting polemics that are inevitable.

[Subbulu]

telangana bomb
[img]http://www.bewarsetalk.net/discus/movieanimated8/tv.blast.gif[/img]

[Bhargav2010]

[quote author=Subbulu link=topic=136074.msg1530539#msg1530539 date=1293156130]
telangana bomb
[img]http://www.bewarsetalk.net/discus/movieanimated8/tv.blast.gif[/img]
[/quote] LoL.1q LoL.1q LoL.1q

[sandhya]

#$1 #$1 #$1 #$1 no comment

[PMREDDY19]

The Congress has so far escaped from being blameworthy on its handling of various issues including the Telangana issue by using the popularity of YSR to cover its verruca. Post YSR, the credibility of Congress is coming under increasing strain. 




you rock you rock


congress vallaki ila upayoga paddadu inni rojulu.

[bongule]

sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink

[PMREDDY19]

sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink







At the same time the presence of the Congress legislators at Jagan’s program is simply an open defiance of the high-command and an indication that they are not backing Kiran Kumar any more.

The MLAs who are inclined to back Jagan are more than the number that has come out so far. And they cut across party lines - Telugu Desam and Praja Rajyam included. It is an open secret that quite a few PRP MLAs were planted in the party by Y S R before the 2009 elections.




F@!n F@!n F@!n
T[b][color=#008000][size=3]he show of strength at defiant Jagan’s hunger strike is a preview of what his camp plans to do in the near future. The Jagan camp is more than aware that sustaining their sole agenda - drawing public support by harping on the YSR legacy - till the 2014 scheduled election would be difficult and is, therefore, keen on a mid-term. Therefore, the talk of Jagan’s group that it has no intention of destabilizing the Kiran Kumar government is nothing but exactly the opposite.[/size][/color][/b]