Modi , Anti Incumbency Benefit Bjp - Hindustan Times

[BobbyFischer]

[size=4]A sluggish economy and an untamable rise in prices can be sufficient reasons for public ire to turn against any incumbent government. In the case of the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA), there are more reasons than just the economy and prices. One, of course, is its long tenure—it is only the third government since Independence to be in power for nine years running.[/size]
[size=4]But, more important, it has been a tenure marked by a series of nation-rocking scams and corruption charges against its n=ministers and officials—phenomena that have been exacerbated by the ubiquitous reach of mainstream media as well as the explosive growth of social media, particularly in a nation where as much as 65 per cent of the population is under 35. Not surprisingly, the HT-GfK survey captures this strong anti-incumbency mood that is visible across India's regions, ages and economic categories.

However, the most remarkable finding of the survey is not that there is a nation-wide sentiment that is working against the Congress, but the fact that this is leading to a consolidation in favour of the BJP. This is the most worrisome signal for the Congress (and its allies) as it has always believed – or at least hoped - that the BJP, caught in its own internal mess, would not be able to mobilise anti-incumbency in its favour.[/size]
[size=4]The findings of this survey sharply question that premise. Substantially more people believe the BJP would be more capable of handling the seven issues that emerged as the key concerns of the electorate, including price rise, corruption, job creation, and law and order. This offers the BJP the window to project itself as the national alternative to Congress.

How would this sentiment work on the ground if parliamentary elections were to be held today? In states and regions where the BJP is present, it will straightaway translate into votes. It would mean that the voters may distinguish between the state and national elections; for instance, the BJP may not do as badly in Karnataka in 2014 as it did in the recent assembly election.[/size]
[size=4]In UP, it could do surprisingly well – as the Congress did in 2009 by winning 21 seats, just two less than SP, which comfortably won the assembly election in 2012. In strongholds such as Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Gujarat, the BJP could increase it tally. In states where the BJP does not exist, the situation will be more complex. Parties that are more anti-Congress are likely to find more support.[/size]
[size=4]If BJP emerges as the national alternative to Congress, the regional parties will be forced to rethink their strategies. For instance, it would become difficult for Bihar chief minister Nitish Kumar to dump the BJP as he may have planned.[/size]

[mukunda]

karnataka - few seats.....janatadal may support.
Tamilnaadu - need support from Aiadmk...
kerala - few seats.
Andhrapradesh - no prospects unless TDP or YSRCP supports
Maharastra - few seats, need support from shivsena.......
Gujarat - Clear Winner.

So above states will give 120 seats nearly..

no idea other states..............

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='mukunda' timestamp='1369702530' post='1303797978']
karnataka - few seats.....janatadal may support.
Tamilnaadu - need support from Aiadmk...
[b]kerala - few seats.[/b]
Andhrapradesh - no prospects unless TDP or YSRCP supports
Maharastra - few seats, need support from shivsena.......
Gujarat - Clear Winner.

So above states will give 120 seats nearly..

no idea other states..............
[/quote]

ivekkadi nundi vachai ?

U forgot UP...UP lo baga fare cheyochu antannaru e sari( around 20 seats) ... Rajasthan and MP lo kooda BJP will be the number 1 party

[mukunda]

[quote name='BobbyFischer' timestamp='1369702628' post='1303797980']

ivekkadi nundi vachai ?

U forgot UP...UP lo baga fare cheyochu antannaru e sari( around 20 seats) ... Rajasthan and MP lo kooda BJP will be the number 1 party
[/quote]

kerala is relieving from CPM rule.......there is chance for few seats like 5 or 6........BJP had good capture of votes in state elections..........

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='mukunda' timestamp='1369702924' post='1303797986']

kerala is relieving from CPM rule.......there is chance for few seats like 5 or 6........BJP had good capture of votes in state elections..........
[/quote]

no way...akkada congress lead udf and CPM lead LDF , ivi rende share cheskuntai seats ni....BJP akkadakkada local elections lo perform baga chesundochemo gani , MP seat gelichentha scene ledu..

[chicago]

bjp should win in loksabha elections dyood....

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='m8espartan' timestamp='1369704298' post='1303798016']
bjp should win in loksabha elections dyood....
[/quote]

evadu gelchina US mundu world bank mundu vongune valle...diff em undadu...

[chicago]

[quote name='BobbyFischer' timestamp='1369704456' post='1303798020']

evadu gelchina US mundu world bank mundu vongune valle...diff em undadu...
[/quote]
nope...patriotism kanapaduthundhi jp rule lo....

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='m8espartan' timestamp='1369704527' post='1303798022']
nope...patriotism kanapaduthundhi jp rule lo....
[/quote]

Sare...Kargil war coffin scams appudu , Parliament lo questions adagataniki money teeskunnapudu , Gali Janardhan Reddy lanti lucha intlo Sushma Swaraj rest teeskunnapudu BJP patriotism baga kanapadindi naku...

[mukunda]

[quote name='BobbyFischer' timestamp='1369704456' post='1303798020']

evadu gelchina US mundu world bank mundu vongune valle...diff em undadu...
[/quote]

Adante bhayya.....its necessity of living.....otherwise see china's situation nowadays.......US is making china everywhere as emo......

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='mukunda' timestamp='1369704764' post='1303798032']

Adante bhayya.....its necessity of living.....otherwise see china's situation nowadays.......US is making china everywhere as emo......
[/quote]

dabbulu ichinantha matrana mana resources meeda unna rights valla ki ivalsina avasaram ledu...India lo jaruguthundi ade..

[mukunda]

[quote name='BobbyFischer' timestamp='1369705078' post='1303798037']

dabbulu ichinantha matrana mana resources meeda unna rights valla ki ivalsina avasaram ledu...India lo jaruguthundi ade..
[/quote]

mana resources ante.....vallaki business kavali.....manaki jobs kavali......vallemi free ga dochukoporu kadaa.........Jobs are needed in many places so badly in india to sustain inflation which is skyrocketing in UPA rule......for example...there is an area called Kadiri in anantapur dist.....there is no proper money rotation.....people live in so bad situations.......some people sell their daughters and sisters to mumbai areas for money......thats so desperate need for jobs.....

[chicago]

[quote name='BobbyFischer' timestamp='1369704644' post='1303798029']
Sare...Kargil war coffin scams appudu , Parliament lo questions adagataniki money teeskunnapudu , Gali Janardhan Reddy lanti lucha intlo Sushma Swaraj rest teeskunnapudu BJP patriotism baga kanapadindi naku...
[/quote]
patriotism antay mana india ani respect estharu china akramisthay chethulu muduchukoni kurchoru.....100 lo 70 manchi ga untay 50 unnadanni nenu enchukonu bhaiyya

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='mukunda' timestamp='1369705324' post='1303798044']

mana resources ante.....vallaki business kavali.....manaki jobs kavali......vallemi free ga dochukoporu kadaa.........Jobs are needed in many places so badly in india to sustain inflation which is skyrocketing in UPA rule......for example...there is an area called Kadiri in anantapur dist.....there is no proper money rotation.....people live in so bad situations.......some people sell their daughters and sisters to mumbai areas for money......thats so desperate need for jobs.....
[/quote]


UPA ni nenu support cheyaledu...UPA gurinchi enduku matladuthunnav ? nuv matlade vati anntiki answers anevi isthune vasthunna ! and one more point also is...nuv matladuthunnantha transparent ga undadu corporate world...

[BobbyFischer]

[quote name='m8espartan' timestamp='1369705414' post='1303798045']
patriotism antay mana india ani respect estharu china akramisthay chethulu muduchukoni kurchoru.....100 lo 70 manchi ga untay 50 unnadanni nenu enchukonu bhaiyya
[/quote]

BJP Congress ye kadu..alternative options unnai like 3rd front e sari...nuv evariki vote esthav anedi ne istam...na opinion nenu marchukonu , ninnu marchukomani adaganu...