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Demand Data For November 2013 Visa Bulletin


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Posted

??

july-2013-demand-data-1.jpg

 

Let us use EB3 India category. EB3 India gets an annual quota of about 2802 visas per year. If demand is higher than 2802 visas, than a cut off date is established in Visa bulletin so that no more than 2802 visas are allocated per year.

In chart above, there are 9,725 (preadjudicated + consular processing) cases waiting for visa numbers till date prior to Jan 1, 2004.

This means that if the VB dates for EB3 India is Jan 2003 (per July VB), it could take around 3.4 years to reach Jan 2004 VB date (9725/2802 = 3.4).
It also means that if your PD is January 1, 2004, there are around 9,725 people in front of you.

Similarly the cumulative demand till Jan 1, 2005 is 20,975. This means it could take 7.48 years for EB3 India to reach Jan 2005 in Visa Bulletin (20975/2802 = 7.48).

 


 

Posted

Empl. first preference gurunchi any idea?

Posted

Empl. first preference gurunchi any idea?

 

 

EB1 eppudu current ee kadha irrespective of country cap...inka andhulo miginalavi...EB2/EB3 ki split chestharu appudappudu...

Posted

There are few important things to note:

 1. If EB category gets spillovers from FB category, the supply will be little higher than 2802 visas. In FY 2013, EB3 India will get additional 361 visas from FB category. This is because there were 18,000 visas unused in FB category in FY 2012.

2. If an EB categories gets spillovers from other EB categories, the supply quota would again be higher than 2802 visas. EB3 categories could get spillovers from EB2 category if there are any unused visas. Please see article.

3. Demand in each category could reduce due to "demand destruction".

Tip: Demand destruction could be due to multiple things: People changing jobs and filing the PERM again (not porting but starting the entire process again), people getting laid off and going back home, people abandoning their GC process because of frustration, people going back home due to better opportunities, multiple PERMs like husband and wife both have PERMs filed, people updating to EB1, people getting married to EB2ROW candidates (or GC holders, US citizens etc). 

4. Demand can also reduce due to porting to a different category (EB3 to EB2, etc). According to Charles Oppenheim, when an applicant ports from EB3 to EB2, they are counted twice. Only when the green card is approved does the duplicate file number go away. At that time, Mr. Oppenheim’s office is told by USCIS to cancel a pending EB-3 case. Please see article.

5. Demand Data includes primary applicants and all dependents.

6. USCIS/DOS could move dates faster in Visa Bulletin to create a pipeline of cases. This helps them understand the current/future demand.

6. The demand in table above only includes preadjudicated cases. This means it does not include cases where (a) I-140 is approved and I-485 application havent been filed yet or (b) I-485 application have been filed but has not been preadjudicated. Thus actual demand could be (much) higher than the table above.

Based on all these notes, the visa bulletin dates could move faster or slower than the data published in demand data.

 

Posted

cooooool ya...nice job...i like you some times..

 

$^^E

Posted

Fun fact: if ur PD is oct 23 2013......then this is the result

 

r2w8d4.jpg

Posted

$^^E

There are few important things to note:

 1. If EB category gets spillovers from FB category, the supply will be little higher than 2802 visas. In FY 2013, EB3 India will get additional 361 visas from FB category. This is because there were 18,000 visas unused in FB category in FY 2012.

2. If an EB categories gets spillovers from other EB categories, the supply quota would again be higher than 2802 visas. EB3 categories could get spillovers from EB2 category if there are any unused visas. Please see article.

3. Demand in each category could reduce due to "demand destruction".

Tip: Demand destruction could be due to multiple things: People changing jobs and filing the PERM again (not porting but starting the entire process again), people getting laid off and going back home, people abandoning their GC process because of frustration, people going back home due to better opportunities, multiple PERMs like husband and wife both have PERMs filed, people updating to EB1, people getting married to EB2ROW candidates (or GC holders, US citizens etc). 

4. Demand can also reduce due to porting to a different category (EB3 to EB2, etc). According to Charles Oppenheim, when an applicant ports from EB3 to EB2, they are counted twice. Only when the green card is approved does the duplicate file number go away. At that time, Mr. Oppenheim’s office is told by USCIS to cancel a pending EB-3 case. Please see article.

5. Demand Data includes primary applicants and all dependents.

6. USCIS/DOS could move dates faster in Visa Bulletin to create a pipeline of cases. This helps them understand the current/future demand.

6. The demand in table above only includes preadjudicated cases. This means it does not include cases where (a) I-140 is approved and I-485 application havent been filed yet or ( B) I-485 application have been filed but has not been preadjudicated. Thus actual demand could be (much) higher than the table above.

Based on all these notes, the visa bulletin dates could move faster or slower than the data published in demand data.

 

 

Posted

eb2 eppudu move avudi?? one line lo chepu

 

adi teliyake ee thread vesindi athanu....

 

Bemmilaughingonphone.gif

Posted

eb2 eppudu move avudi?? one line lo chepu

 

cumulativve demand prior to jan 2013=27,925

current Visa bulletin for EB2-JUNE 2008

YEARLY CAP FOR EB2=2800

 

 

SO 27925/2800=9 YEARS

 

This 9 years is to reach the date jan 2013..ante jan 2013 kante mundhu 27,925 cases uscis approve chesindhi but due to lack of visa number...vallaki GC ivvaledhu.......

Posted

2011-05 anuko naa PD for eb2.. eppatiki vastadi ippudu unna data prakaram

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