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Posted
What are the chances for CBN(TDP) retaining the CM post.
FYI: I am TDP sympathiser and wishing TDP to retain it's past glory.
 
But unfortunately the ground reality  seems to be different which means YSRCP might get a wide range majority over TDP. I wish the results could be 90 seats(YSCP)/70 seats(TDP) and this could be some kind of face saving result rather than getting 140(YSRCP)/34(TDP).
 
Below is my reasoning
 
YSRCP Strengths:
  • YSRCP will fetch majority of votes from SC,ST, Christian, minority and Reddy communities.
  • There were some schemes that YSR implemented which would polarize YSRCP with some solid votes.
    Ex: Runa maafeelu, Aarogyasree, Indramma illa padhakaalu, Fees reimbursement etc.
  • YS Jagan will gain from YSR image.....on whole YS Jagan is the strenght and weakness for YSRCP.
  • Majority of MLA contestants are young and new when compared to TDP.
  • TDP/BJP alliance nuisance damaged TDP image and this alliance will actually help YSRCP in gaining minority votes.
 
YSRCP Weakness:
  • Jaathi sampadani dochaadu
  • CBI cases were files against Jagan and was Jailed.
  • Anti YSR votes (majority of Kamma and Naidu votes)
 
what are TDP strenghts
  • Strong TDP cadre
  • I hope TDP/BJP alliance helps fetch some votes for TDP.
  • Pawan and Modi Image and support for TDP
  • Hoping BC and Kaapu communities would support TDP.
  • Good governance from past experience.
  • HYD development
 
TDP Weakness:
  • Majority of Congress leaders migrated to TDP and are contesting as MLA's and MP's. This actually damaged 
  • CBN - Lost people's of trust/back stabber/use and throw policy
  • State division - Dual stand
  • Ignoring Jr and projecting Lokesh as yuva neta
 
Bottom line: On whole the total voting percentage is 68%, out of which 40% are SC, ST, BC, Christians and minorities. These communities along with Reddy (Largest OC community) are more inclined towards YSRCP party. 
Unfortunately factors like CBI cases and Jagan looting the countries wealth won't impact Jagan's winning chances in this elections. My best guess is Jagan is going to form the Government in Seemandhra after 2nd June, 2014.
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Posted

 

What are the chances for CBN(TDP) retaining the CM post.
FYI: I am TDP sympathiser and wishing TDP to retain it's past glory.
 
But unfortunately the ground reality  seems to be different which means YSRCP might get a wide range majority over TDP. I wish the results could be 90 seats(YSCP)/70 seats(TDP) and this could be some kind of face saving result rather than getting 140(YSRCP)/34(TDP).
 
Below is my reasoning
 
YSRCP Strengths:
  • YSRCP will fetch majority of votes from SC,ST, Christian, minority and Reddy communities.
  • There were some schemes that YSR implemented which would polarize YSRCP with some solid votes.
    Ex: Runa maafeelu, Aarogyasree, Indramma illa padhakaalu, Fees reimbursement etc.
  • YS Jagan will gain from YSR image.....on whole YS Jagan is the strenght and weakness for YSRCP.
  • Majority of MLA contestants are young and new when compared to TDP.
  • TDP/BJP alliance nuisance damaged TDP image and this alliance will actually help YSRCP in gaining minority votes.
 
YSRCP Weakness:
  • Jaathi sampadani dochaadu
  • CBI cases were files against Jagan and was Jailed.
  • Anti YSR votes (majority of Kamma and Naidu votes)
 
what are TDP strenghts
  • Strong TDP cadre
  • I hope TDP/BJP alliance helps fetch some votes for TDP.
  • Pawan and Modi Image and support for TDP
  • Hoping BC and Kaapu communities would support TDP.
  • Good governance from past experience.
  • HYD development
 
TDP Weakness:
  • Majority of Congress leaders migrated to TDP and are contesting as MLA's and MP's. This actually damaged 
  • CBN - Lost people's of trust/back stabber/use and throw policy
  • State division - Dual stand
  • Ignoring Jr and projecting Lokesh as yuva neta
 
Bottom line: On whole the total voting percentage is 68%, out of which 40% are SC, ST, BC, Christians and minorities. These communities along with Reddy (Largest OC community) are more inclined towards YSRCP party. 
Unfortunately factors like CBI cases and Jagan looting the countries wealth won't impact Jagan's winning chances in this elections. My best guess is Jagan is going to form the Government in Seemandhra after 2nd June, 2014.

 

Nee assumption koncham tapanukunta....traditional ga TDP has BC+ST ( traditional rivarly to SC's) which itself is more than 55%.......But BC's lo konnni sections congress ke vestaaru.....same with Kapu's.......Divided between congress and TDP.......YSRCP vote bank is nothing but traditional congress vote bank.....Nothing new.......Naa guess prakaram TDP will end up somewhere between 110-120 seats and YSRCP between 45 to 55 seats........Lets wait until May 16th

Posted

ekkuva alochincaku man nijam ga support chesthe zenda pattukonni tirugu eee review llu makiu vadhu nuvve unchuko gif_257x187_807b0d.gif

Posted

What are the chances for CBN(TDP) retaining the CM post.
FYI: I am TDP sympathiser and wishing TDP to retain it's past glory.

But unfortunately the ground reality seems to be different which means YSRCP might get a wide range majority over TDP. I wish the results could be 90 seats(YSCP)/70 seats(TDP) and this could be some kind of face saving result rather than getting 140(YSRCP)/34(TDP).

Below is my reasoning

YSRCP Strengths:

  • YSRCP will fetch majority of votes from SC,ST, Christian, minority and Reddy communities.
  • There were some schemes that YSR implemented which would polarize YSRCP with some solid votes.
    Ex: Runa maafeelu, Aarogyasree, Indramma illa padhakaalu, Fees reimbursement etc.
  • YS Jagan will gain from YSR image.....on whole YS Jagan is the strenght and weakness for YSRCP.
  • Majority of MLA contestants are young and new when compared to TDP.
  • TDP/BJP alliance nuisance damaged TDP image and this alliance will actually help YSRCP in gaining minority votes.
YSRCP Weakness:
  • Jaathi sampadani dochaadu
  • CBI cases were files against Jagan and was Jailed.
  • Anti YSR votes (majority of Kamma and Naidu votes)
what are TDP strenghts
  • Strong TDP cadre
  • I hope TDP/BJP alliance helps fetch some votes for TDP.
  • Pawan and Modi Image and support for TDP
  • Hoping BC and Kaapu communities would support TDP.
  • Good governance from past experience.
  • HYD development
TDP Weakness:
  • Majority of Congress leaders migrated to TDP and are contesting as MLA's and MP's. This actually damaged
  • CBN - Lost people's of trust/back stabber/use and throw policy
  • State division - Dual stand
  • Ignoring Jr and projecting Lokesh as yuva neta
Bottom line: On whole the total voting percentage is 68%, out of which 40% are SC, ST, BC, Christians and minorities. These communities along with Reddy (Largest OC community) are more inclined towards YSRCP party.
Unfortunately factors like CBI cases and Jagan looting the countries wealth won't impact Jagan's winning chances in this elections. My best guess is Jagan is going to form the Government in Seemandhra after 2nd June, 2014.
GP result will be more like 130 YCP/45 TDp and TDP will be assamed no doubts..
Posted

GP result will be more like 130 YCP/45 TDp and TDP will be assamed no doubts..

Hi FjRV_C.gif

Posted

 

What are the chances for CBN(TDP) retaining the CM post.
FYI: I am TDP sympathiser and wishing TDP to retain it's past glory.
 
But unfortunately the ground reality  seems to be different which means YSRCP might get a wide range majority over TDP. I wish the results could be 90 seats(YSCP)/70 seats(TDP) and this could be some kind of face saving result rather than getting 140(YSRCP)/34(TDP).
 
Below is my reasoning
 
YSRCP Strengths:
  • YSRCP will fetch majority of votes from SC,ST, Christian, minority and Reddy communities.
  • There were some schemes that YSR implemented which would polarize YSRCP with some solid votes.
    Ex: Runa maafeelu, Aarogyasree, Indramma illa padhakaalu, Fees reimbursement etc.
  • YS Jagan will gain from YSR image.....on whole YS Jagan is the strenght and weakness for YSRCP.
  • Majority of MLA contestants are young and new when compared to TDP.
  • TDP/BJP alliance nuisance damaged TDP image and this alliance will actually help YSRCP in gaining minority votes.
 
YSRCP Weakness:
  • Jaathi sampadani dochaadu
  • CBI cases were files against Jagan and was Jailed.
  • Anti YSR votes (majority of Kamma and Naidu votes)
 
what are TDP strenghts
  • Strong TDP cadre
  • I hope TDP/BJP alliance helps fetch some votes for TDP.
  • Pawan and Modi Image and support for TDP
  • Hoping BC and Kaapu communities would support TDP.
  • Good governance from past experience.
  • HYD development
 
TDP Weakness:
  • Majority of Congress leaders migrated to TDP and are contesting as MLA's and MP's. This actually damaged 
  • CBN - Lost people's of trust/back stabber/use and throw policy
  • State division - Dual stand
  • Ignoring Jr and projecting Lokesh as yuva neta
 
Bottom line: On whole the total voting percentage is 68%, out of which 40% are SC, ST, BC, Christians and minorities. These communities along with Reddy (Largest OC community) are more inclined towards YSRCP party. 
Unfortunately factors like CBI cases and Jagan looting the countries wealth won't impact Jagan's winning chances in this elections. My best guess is Jagan is going to form the Government in Seemandhra after 2nd June, 2014.

 

 

Agreed anna. 

 

Same type facts 2009 elections time lo kuda ee DB lo racha chesayi.

Appudu TDP Weakness: Nil ani sankalu guddukuntu memu roju pandaga chesukunnam..

 

 

Posted

Agreed anna. 

 

Same type facts 2009 elections time lo kuda ee DB lo racha chesayi.

Appudu TDP Weakness: Nil ani sankalu guddukuntu memu roju pandaga chesukunnam..

1999 ,lo kuda ysr ilage egiraadu.......Nenu CM ane intiki painyings kuda veyichukunadanta......past is past.,,,,,,,

Posted

1999 ,lo kuda ysr ilage egiraadu.......Nenu CM ane intiki painyings kuda veyichukunadanta......past is past.,,,,,,,

maverick23 anna, 

YSR egiradu,cbn egiradu ani nenu cheppana..

 

ee DB lo rachaa , facts gurinchi cheppa.  

1999 lo ee db undo ledo teliyadu naku. 2009 lo ee DB lo ilanti discussions kuppalu teppalu ga jarigayi .

Ayina 2009 nunchi nuvvu direct ga 1999 loki vellav choodu super anna. 2004 lo kuda elections jarigayi .

Posted

maverick23 anna,
YSR egiradu,cbn egiradu ani nenu cheppana..

ee DB lo rachaa , facts gurinchi cheppa.
1999 lo ee db undo ledo teliyadu naku. 2009 lo ee DB lo ilanti discussions kuppalu teppalu ga jarigayi .
Ayina 2009 nunchi nuvvu direct ga 1999 loki vellav choodu super anna. 2004 lo kuda elections jarigayi .


Lol


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