TDP - PPT - Vizag FINTECH HUB --- dedciated to JANASENA

[ARYA]

6 minutes ago, Idassamed said:

okate thaadulo champesela unnav

[Android_Halwa]

1 hour ago, ARYA said:

nope bro...PK will contest in 10 assembly emo mostly anthe...he will be a campainer agiain for TDP...he is the deciding factor with those 20% kaapu vote bank and some youth voters

realistically speaking, PK will split votes...but whose votes is he going to split ? This is the big question. Majority of the vote split is going to happen in the godavari districts where YSRCP will concentrate least. Chittor and Kadapa will be tottally in favour of YSRCP except for 1- seats. Even in Anantapur and Kurnool, TDP will barely win in 3-5 seats and all other seats will go to YSRCP...same is the case with ongole ,nellore...

In the remaining districts, around 60 seats will be head to head where PK is expected to split and transfer votes. When it comes to vote transfer, it might not happen as it has happened in 014 where as when it comes to Janasena's direct contest, it would be in favour of Janasena but will fall short of the majority and barely will be able to win 10 seats..

This is the concept of vote split and vote transfer...where ultimate beneficiary of both the cases will be YSRCP and loser will be TDP....remember, vote split happens from ruling coalition and always in favour of opposition..

This is the reason why YSR won 2009...vote split effected TDP but Cobgress retained its vote and TDP vote was split by PRP...this time too, its Janasena replacing PRP...anthe..!

[TOM_BHAYYA]

7 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

realistically speaking, PK will split votes...but whose votes is he going to split ? This is the big question. Majority of the vote split is going to happen in the godavari districts where YSRCP will concentrate least. Chittor and Kadapa will be tottally in favour of YSRCP except for 1- seats. Even in Anantapur and Kurnool, TDP will barely win in 3-5 seats and all other seats will go to YSRCP...same is the case with ongole ,nellore...

In the remaining districts, around 60 seats will be head to head where PK is expected to split and transfer votes. When it comes to vote transfer, it might not happen as it has happened in 014 where as when it comes to Janasena's direct contest, it would be in favour of Janasena but will fall short of the majority and barely will be able to win 10 seats..

This is the concept of vote split and vote transfer...where ultimate beneficiary of both the cases will be YSRCP and loser will be TDP....remember, vote split happens from ruling coalition and always in favour of opposition..

This is the reason why YSR won 2009...vote split effected TDP but Cobgress retained its vote and TDP vote was split by PRP...this time too, its Janasena replacing PRP...anthe..!

There is another theory .. usual ga  incumbent vote share opp ki povaali adhi opp pokunda pk ki poye chance undhi .. 2009 lo konchem

 Alaa ne aindhi ga 

[ARYA]

2 minutes ago, TOM_BHAYYA said:

There is another theory .. usual ga  incumbent vote share opp ki povaali adhi opp pokunda pk ki poye chance undhi .. 2009 lo konchem

 Alaa ne aindhi ga 

 

11 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

realistically speaking, PK will split votes...but whose votes is he going to split ? This is the big question. Majority of the vote split is going to happen in the godavari districts where YSRCP will concentrate least. Chittor and Kadapa will be tottally in favour of YSRCP except for 1- seats. Even in Anantapur and Kurnool, TDP will barely win in 3-5 seats and all other seats will go to YSRCP...same is the case with ongole ,nellore...

In the remaining districts, around 60 seats will be head to head where PK is expected to split and transfer votes. When it comes to vote transfer, it might not happen as it has happened in 014 where as when it comes to Janasena's direct contest, it would be in favour of Janasena but will fall short of the majority and barely will be able to win 10 seats..

This is the concept of vote split and vote transfer...where ultimate beneficiary of both the cases will be YSRCP and loser will be TDP....remember, vote split happens from ruling coalition and always in favour of opposition..

This is the reason why YSR won 2009...vote split effected TDP but Cobgress retained its vote and TDP vote was split by PRP...this time too, its Janasena replacing PRP...anthe..!

[Android_Halwa]

18 hours ago, TOM_BHAYYA said:

There is another theory .. usual ga  incumbent vote share opp ki povaali adhi opp pokunda pk ki poye chance undhi .. 2009 lo konchem

 Alaa ne aindhi ga 

2009 lo Congress has held up to its vote bank...although lost 1-3% of the vote share and so called anti-incumbancy vote has actually gone to PRP and resulted in those 18 seats and more over, the winning margins were less. 

Incumbancy vote usually grows up when there is dissatisfaction on the government and in 2009, it was barely visible as leadership was strong and opposition was divided...take the classic case of Rajasthan where sitting CM Ashok Gehlot was ousted with massive loss and for the other way, take the example of shivraj singh chouhan of Madhya Pradesh whi is about to run for 4th term as CM and there is no anti-incumbancy on him yet...

leadership strong ga lekapothey, government athukulu vunte vastundi broderu ie so called anti-incumbancy anedi...2019 lo heavy ga vuntadi AP la..weak leadership,PPT's and failure in welfare schemes will cost massively to TDP