manam anta anukunnattu kakunda, what if this is movie directed by BJP and CBN

[Android_Halwa]

2 minutes ago, Raithu_bidda_ said:

Add maharastra and Gujarat 

ka assembly elections lo telipotadi we will get a clarity 

KA assembly will be with congress...but when it comes to national elections, atleast 12-13 out of 19 seats will be with BJP. 

Maharastra lo except Konkan, ShivsSena ki support ledu...except traditional voters thappa...shiv sena is gone case and they will be restricted to only Konkan and state elections lo shiv sena won't be player anymore...their play ground is brihan mumbai corporation. 

NCP is a wise player...Sharad Rao may go independently this time or if he goes in coalition with Congress, majority seats will be contested by NCP which will benefit BJP. 

Remember, Congress does not have bargaining power in this elections. else where, It would be a minority player in the number of seats contested.

[boeing747]

6 minutes ago, Raithu_bidda_ said:

Lol it will happen 

antha guarantee ani ela cheppagalav...I doubt it highly..Dora mixing with CBN ante ekkado kodatandi, okarakanga YCP ki ekkuva incline avutadu if at all kcr wants alliance anipistandi..TDP is done deal in TG

[boeing747]

1 minute ago, Android_Halwa said:

Congress does not have bargaining power in this elections. else where, It would be a minority player in the number of seats contested.

silent wave undachu for congress, especially from minorities who rallied with BJP last time...also lower middle class and middle class janatha all clearly pissed off with BJP..ofcourse vellu andaru congress ke estaru ani ledu

[Android_Halwa]

With numbers clearly on Govt's side, all that BJP needs to make sure is to ask friendly parties to abstain from voting..thats it..! 

oka 10 MP's abstain aina sare, NCM is a cake walk for BJP and it does not even have to depend on allies. its so simple

NCM is a drama to gain credibility among voters in AP. First mover has the advantage and YSRCP seems to be at the front.

Round-1 : Advantage YSRCP

[Android_Halwa]

1 minute ago, boeing747 said:

silent wave undachu for congress, especially from minorities who rallied with BJP last time...also lower middle class and middle class janatha all clearly pissed off with BJP..ofcourse vellu andaru congress ke estaru ani ledu

People who got pissed of with BJP...will vote for regional parties but not congress...

BJP will project an image..Modi VS Rahul Gandhi...and obviously, who got little pissed off, will vote for BJP again rather than voting for Rahul Gandhi and people who got  pissed off, will vote for regional player. 

Congress is a gone case for 2019, Don't see its future turning around. May gain 20-30 additional seats than what they won previously.

[bhaigan]

2 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

With numbers clearly on Govt's side, all that BJP needs to make sure is to ask friendly parties to abstain from voting..thats it..! 

oka 10 MP's abstain aina sare, NCM is a cake walk for BJP and it does not even have to depend on allies. its so simple

NCM is a drama to gain credibility among voters in AP. First mover has the advantage and YSRCP seems to be at the front.

Round-1 : Advantage YSRCP

Round 2 ?

[Raithu_bidda_]

3 minutes ago, boeing747 said:

antha guarantee ani ela cheppagalav...I doubt it highly..Dora mixing with CBN ante ekkado kodatandi, okarakanga YCP ki ekkuva incline avutadu if at all kcr wants alliance anipistandi..TDP is done deal in TG

Mostly trs don’t have cadre in many districts in ts it has huge support in upper telangana when you come to kammam, Hyderabad and nalgonda they will need tdp to neutralize congress especially nalgonda and mahaboob nagar Congress is very strong it’s inposs for Dora to neutralize congress in these areas with out tdp already match fixed man abn lo kuda vachindi ga 

[Android_Halwa]

UP lo byelections la 2 seats poinanduku, BJP pani aipotundi anukuntunaru...

Remember, only 40% polling ae ayindi ...This time, general la expected polling will be at 80%

A sight on demographics :

130 million new voters are being added to already 700 million voters. First time millennial voters are really tricky

These first time voters, even parties have no idea which way these votes are gonna poll. These group do not have idea on actual problems and who ever can influence these voters through social media, will get majority of these votes. 

 

[bhaigan]

4 minutes ago, Raithu_bidda_ said:

Mostly trs don’t have cadre in many districts in ts it has huge support in upper telangana when you come to kammam, Hyderabad and nalgonda they will need tdp to neutralize congress especially nalgonda and mahaboob nagar Congress is very strong it’s inposs for Dora to neutralize congress in these areas with out tdp already match fixed man abn lo kuda vachindi ga 

agree TRS already match fixed with TDP in TG, mari @psycopk emnatdo chudali, lafangi anna notithone bava  or darling antado emo chudali

[Android_Halwa]

2 minutes ago, bhaigan said:

Round 2 ?

Round-2 : Will be fought on streets...

Protests..massive protests will happen in AP in the next few months. If CBN can control these protests, we would have the edge. Being in Govt, CBN cannot do protests.

Mostly, It will be in favour of YSRCP. state wide massive protests, may be mass hunger strikes, state shut downs, violence, hunger strikes by major leaders, etc.

[Raithu_bidda_]

2 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

UP lo byelections la 2 seats poinanduku, BJP pani aipotundi anukuntunaru...

Remember, only 40% polling ae ayindi ...This time, general la expected polling will be at 80%

A sight on demographics :

130 million new voters are being added to already 700 million voters. First time millennial voters are really tricky

These first time voters, even parties have no idea which way these votes are gonna poll. These group do not have idea on actual problems and who ever can influence these voters through social media, will get majority of these votes. 

 

Up lo sp plus bsp if they manage to get 35 plus then bjp ki mudinate 

[Raithu_bidda_]

1 minute ago, Android_Halwa said:

Round-2 : Will be fought on streets...

Protests..massive protests will happen in AP in the next few months. If CBN can control these protests, we would have the edge. Being in Govt, CBN cannot do protests.

Mostly, It will be in favour of YSRCP. state wide massive protests, may be mass hunger strikes, state shut downs, violence, hunger strikes by major leaders, etc.

Cbn will never let that happen he will use dog channels look at tuni incident how he neutralizes 

[Android_Halwa]

1 minute ago, Android_Halwa said:

UP lo byelections la 2 seats poinanduku, BJP pani aipotundi anukuntunaru...

Remember, only 40% polling ae ayindi ...This time, general la expected polling will be at 80%

A sight on demographics :

130 million new voters are being added to already 700 million voters. First time millennial voters are really tricky

These first time voters, even parties have no idea which way these votes are gonna poll. These group do not have idea on actual problems and who ever can influence these voters through social media, will get majority of these votes. 

 

These 130 million new voters, when distributed across 543 constituencies...on average of 1,00,000 new voters in sot so populous constituencies and upto 2 lakh new voters in populous constituencies.

Significance of these numbers : Winning margins are less than 1,00,000 in at least 300 constituencies. That means new voters are actually crucial in forming of next government. Influnece of religion,caste and local issues will be very low on this group and influence of social media will be very high on this particular group. 

Who ever can target this group through social media effectively, can win back most of these votes.

[Android_Halwa]

2 minutes ago, Raithu_bidda_ said:

Up lo sp plus bsp if they manage to get 35 plus then bjp ki mudinate 

SP+BSP...looks good arithmatically but both have enough candidates to field in all 80 seats. 

if an alliance is on the cards, the chance of vote transfer becomes tricky, threat of rebellions, caste lines, local leaders not supporting each other, and ram mandir votes will never poll for these parties. 

[Android_Halwa]

4 minutes ago, Raithu_bidda_ said:

Cbn will never let that happen he will use dog channels look at tuni incident how he neutralizes 

CBN can try to control the agitiations but cannot stop. 

Traditionally, opposition is always good at staging protest especially when there is a crisis environment like in AP.

If Jagan can stage protests effectively, CBN or PK...will not have any effect on his winning chances.