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Predictions for EB-2/3 Cut off date in July Bulletin


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Posted
4 minutes ago, krishna0125 said:

total GC 140,000 for principles and their dependents

EB1 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eb4 and eb5

EB2 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eb1

EB3 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eba and eb2

EB4 = 140,000 * 7.1%=9940

EB5 = 140,000 * 7.1%=9940

There is 7% annual cap imposed on these numbers for each country

so for this year India =37520*7%=2626 eb2 visa

so each months only 2626/12=219 GC for eb2+any spill over which will be in 10's lets say

in this they will count all in family so on avg 240/3=80 h1b holders/families  will get GC every month.

2008 and 2009 lo rescission time and not many people applied GC that time,still date monthly 1 week kuda move avvatam ledhu..2010-2012 lo month ki konni vella h1b holders GC apply chesaru so its like each week will take year to clear from now on..

so forget about GC's just concentrate on h1b extensions..

Please correct me if I am wrong in these calculations

thoda kottu chinna

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Posted
35 minutes ago, Bestguy said:

Its optisim plus i watch GC things closely in all forums..Gained exp reaidng froums..

Nee date ki EAD eppudu vastundo cheppu nee guess.... Naadi nee taravtha 3 moths bhayya!!

Posted
1 hour ago, tacobell fan said:

Early 2012. inko 25 - 30 years undi anukunta to get my date

mine may 2012

Posted

EB3 has good Chances.

EB2I waiting after May bulletin is 216k (just  primaries) add dependents 1 on avg so total 432k waiting in queue.

EB3I waiting after May bulletin is 55k (just primaries).  add dependents 1.1 pk avg so total 110k+ waiting in queue. Of those, Some could have dual 140 (porters) etc. EB3 phillipines will be current soon, same with EB3 ROW. So EB3 rest to EB31 influx will be more in coming years. However, EB2I to EB3 porting will increase if EB3I dates cross EB2I just like China. Let’s see how this goes.

This year or next year EB3I will touch EB2I dates

Perm Numbers:

2009 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 11,387 
2010 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 28,930 
2011 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 31,273 
2012 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 30,278 
2013 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 20,930 
2014 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 35,092 
2015 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 45,776 
2016 India (EB2I + EB3I) = 65,095

Posted
26 minutes ago, krishna0125 said:

total GC 140,000 for principles and their dependents

EB1 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eb4 and eb5

EB2 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eb1

EB3 = 140,000 * 28.6%=37520+any unsed from eba and eb2

EB4 = 140,000 * 7.1%=9940

EB5 = 140,000 * 7.1%=9940

There is 7% annual cap imposed on these numbers for each country

so for this year India =37520*7%=2626 eb2 visa

so each months only 2626/12=219 GC for eb2+any spill over which will be in 10's lets say

in this they will count all in family so on avg 240/3=80 h1b holders/families  will get GC every month.

2008 and 2009 lo rescission time and not many people applied GC that time,still date monthly 1 week kuda move avvatam ledhu..2010-2012 lo month ki konni vella h1b holders GC apply chesaru so its like each week will take year to clear from now on..

so forget about GC's just concentrate on h1b extensions..

Please correct me if I am wrong in these calculations

idi antha ok, two charts ga split chesaru kada. How those chart movements are calculated? Koncham idea unte adi kuda explain chesi punyam kattuko. EAD chart is what most of us care at this moment. GC inko 5 years pattina no issue.

Posted
4 minutes ago, tacobell fan said:

idi antha ok, two charts ga split chesaru kada. How those chart movements are calculated? Koncham idea unte adi kuda explain chesi punyam kattuko. EAD chart is what most of us care at this moment. GC inko 5 years pattina no issue.

USCIS not accepting that chart so no point even you are current .. you can’t apply 485. So Ignore second  chart.

Posted

If i'm not wrong, no one is really waiting on the dates to move as per the rule book. Some miracle might happen by gov to make it current (most likely may or may not happen).

Posted
2 minutes ago, President said:

USCIS not accepting that chart so no point even you are current .. you can’t apply 485. So Ignore second  chart.

which chart bro? EAD dates current aithe they won't let you apply for it? 

Posted
11 minutes ago, tacobell fan said:

If i'm not wrong, no one is really waiting on the dates to move as per the rule book. Some miracle might happen by gov to make it current (most likely may or may not happen).

@gr33d

Posted
6 hours ago, tacobell fan said:

around Sep 2018 time frame ki current avvudhi anta. Vadi lafoot predictions lo part idi. 

Oh ok gud to know

5 hours ago, siru said:

are u eb1?

Not for me, a friend of mine is post doc ;) 

Posted
59 minutes ago, perugu_vada said:

Oh ok gud to know

Not for me, a friend of mine is post doc ;) 

 

 

Posted
2 hours ago, ronitreddy said:

inka bulletins vesthunara

@ronitreddy uncle bitcoin thread lo kakunda pakka threads lo kuda participating ah nuvu :o 

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