2019 election -Lok sabha analysis

[cellphone]

17 hours ago, batman2 said:

UP lo alliance work avvakunte bjp once again 272+

anna nuvvu badsha movie lo brami ekkina chair ekki matladutunnava, chair digi matladu 

[chilakottudu]

16 hours ago, Android_Halwa said:

I think in 2019, if it goes this way then BJP may be able to form the government with the help of allies...BJP may end up getting 220 and remaining by allies. 

But however, when it gets closer to the elections, Ram Mandir issue is one such issue which can tilt things in favour, atleast in the Hindi Belt. March 2019 is the final deadline set by Supreme Court and Govt may take the ordinance way, for Kerela and Ayodhya both.

And can expect some biggie freebies like farm loan waiver, housing scheme and health schemes which may do wonders for the party...remember, these are the guys in power and they have the flexiblity to announce freebies and turn the tables around.

How ram mandir is still going be a big issue ? that worked when emotions were at peak but now it is very different scenario , ppl are looking for jobs, better growth political context has changed  a lot

[batman2]

12 minutes ago, cellphone said:

anna nuvvu badsha movie lo brami ekkina chair ekki matladutunnava, chair digi matladu 

ha ha 2014 lo bjp own ga 272 ante kuda as it is same dialouge annaru

final ga nee lanti vallu VP ayyi musukunnaru

[DaleSteyn1]

BJP will end up around 200 --UP lo oka 35 seats ,RJ lo oka 15 ,Bihar lo oka 10 ,MP,Mh ,Guj lo 20 seats loose aitharu so around 190--200 untaru.Migithavi allies compensate chestharu like Naveen patnaik,Nitish kumar,Paswan,Akali dal,KCR,Shivasena,Jagan and PK,TN lo aidmk or rajnikanth poti chesina konni seats.thidthuna dmk kooda join avachu asharyamledhu.east lo assam,tripura itla eastern states will compensate  little bit around 5-10 seats anukovachu .Easy ga govt form chestharu but ippudu laga ishtam ochinattu mundhuku poleru  allies cheppinattu nadchukovali

[Android_Halwa]

22 minutes ago, chilakottudu said:

How ram mandir is still going be a big issue ? that worked when emotions were at peak but now it is very different scenario , ppl are looking for jobs, better growth political context has changed  a lot

Oh ok. I didn’t knew that..! 

[Kool_SRG]

17 hours ago, manadonga said:

Nuuvu bjp ki 272 enti 472 ani ayina chebtavu clear ga ee state lo enno possible ani veyyi 

350 + target vaa nuvvu mattadaku vooko vooko...Cheppindi inuko anthe.

[batman2]

14 minutes ago, DaleSteyn1 said:

BJP will end up around 200 --UP lo oka 35 seats ,RJ lo oka 15 ,Bihar lo oka 10 ,MP,Mh ,Guj lo 20 seats loose aitharu so around 190--200 untaru.Migithavi allies compensate chestharu like Naveen patnaik,Nitish kumar,Paswan,Akali dal,KCR,Shivasena,Jagan and PK,TN lo aidmk or rajnikanth poti chesina konni seats.thidthuna dmk kooda join avachu asharyamledhu.Easy ga govt form chestharu but ippudu laga ishtam ochinattu mundhuku poleru  allies cheppinattu nadchukovali

this is more realistic senario

but also assuming that SP-BSP alliance in UP works out on the ground. if it doesnt work then BJP will again get 70+ in UP

[CricPokChic]

Uttar Pradesh (80)

71

5

Name of Party	Vote Share %	Change	Seats won	Changes
Bharatiya Janata Party (NDA)	42.30%	+24.80	71	+61
Samajwadi Party	22.20%	-1.06	5	-18
Bahujan Samaj Party	19.60%	-7.82	0	-20
Indian National Congress	7.50%	-10.75	2	-19
Apna Dal (NDA)	1.00%		2	+2

[AndhraneedSCS]

With JDS and Congress alliance, they may lose up to 10 seats in Karnataka too 

[DaleSteyn1]

1 minute ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

With JDS and Congress alliance, they may lose up to 10 seats in Karnataka too 

karnataka ekkuva lose avvaru bjp is not doing bad there and east

 

9 minutes ago, batman2 said:

this is more realistic senario

but also assuming that SP-BSP alliance in UP works out on the ground. if it doesnt work then BJP will again get 70+ in UP

adding to this assam eastern states will compensate a little for bjp

[DaleSteyn1]

Post 2019 elections UP will be divided into three states by bjp and adhi ganaka successfully chesthe bjp ni dinchadam inka tough avthundhi.West bengal lo darjeeling aduguthunaru bjp vallu danni vidagottina kottachu just purepy political basis meedha 

[CricPokChic]

4 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

With JDS and Congress alliance, they may lose up to 10 seats in Karnataka too 

Karnataka (28)

1

Name of Party	Vote Share %	Change	Seats won	Changes
Bharatiya Janata Party	43.00%	-1.37	17	-2
Indian National Congress	40.80%	+3.15	9	+3
Janata Dal (Secular)	11.00%	-2.57%	2	-1

[batman2]

4 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

With JDS and Congress alliance, they may lose up to 10 seats in Karnataka too 

wrong. JDS has votes only in south KA. north,central and coastal it is non existent. alliance wont make any diff

in north and central KA lingayath will completely vote bjp. So bjp has good chances to improve on their 2014 tally here

[DaleSteyn1]

Just now, batman2 said:

wrong. JDS has votes only in south KA. north,central and coastal it is non existent. alliance wont make any diff

in north and central KA lingayath will completely vote bjp. So bjp has good chances to improve on their 2014 tally here

more or less bjp will get same number of seats as 2014 in ka

[boeing747]

Also depends how BJP will see their alliances... obviously lots of favors untai aa time lo