Whose vote share will be damaged by PK

[rrc_2015]

Ycp + anti incumbency 

TDP

[JambaKrantu]

TDP ki traditional gaa BC/Cops base baane undi.. Last election look at their performance in East and West Godavari districts.. This time they will end up winning may be 10 seats out of 35 seats combined in God zillas.. Primarily because of anti-incumbency and split of vote share by PK..

[AndhraneedSCS]

I think the most impact will be on TDP. Slight impact for YCP when it comes to anti incumbancy 

 

 

At the end of the day, people decide a few days before elections and it also depends on who distributes more money per vote 

[hyperbole]

7 minutes ago, rrc_2015 said:

Ycp + anti incumbency 

TDP

Jagan votes will remain intact,most probably  the people who voted for him last time will vote for him again since they were not swayed by PK  even under the emotional circumstances of the bifurcation.

PK fans/voters who voted for TDP are the ones who will come out on his side now.

[AndhraneedSCS]

2 minutes ago, hyperbole said:

Jagan votes will remain intact,most probably  the people who voted for him last time will vote for him again since they were not swayed by PK  even under the emotional circumstances of the bifurcation.

PK fans/voters who voted for TDP are the ones who will come out on his side now.

I think many people did not vote for CBN last time because of 3 reasons (other than political, caste affiliations)

1) YSR is the king of welfare schemes and CBN lacks in that. He kind of changed that this time around

2) Not in favour of farmers (irrigation projects). This was changed this time to some extent. 

3) Minorities as TDP has tie-up with BJP at that time

 

Some people will not vote for CBN this time because

1) not as stringent against Govt employees like his earlier regime. More govt employee corruption 

2) Most of the companies that had MOUs are taking time for construction and provide actual employment. 5 years is not enough in this aspect but people don't care 

[manadonga]

23 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

I think many people did not vote for CBN last time because of 3 reasons (other than political, caste affiliations)

1) YSR is the king of welfare schemes and CBN lacks in that. He kind of changed that this time around

2) Not in favour of farmers (irrigation projects). This was changed this time to some extent. 

3) Minorities as TDP has tie-up with BJP at that time

 

Some people will not vote for CBN this time because

1) not as stringent against Govt employees like his earlier regime. More govt employee corruption 

2) Most of the companies that had MOUs are taking time for construction and provide actual employment. 5 years is not enough in this aspect but people don't care 

Local candidates batti ycp have strong 50 seats and tdp have strong base of 50 seats migata 75 seats lo ivannicmatter pk plus candidate selection caste equation money 

[RGVzoomin]

14 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

I think many people did not vote for CBN last time because of 3 reasons (other than political, caste affiliations)

1) YSR is the king of welfare schemes and CBN lacks in that. He kind of changed that this time around

2) Not in favour of farmers (irrigation projects). This was changed this time to some extent. 

3) Minorities as TDP has tie-up with BJP at that time

 

Some people will not vote for CBN this time because

1) not as stringent against Govt employees like his earlier regime. More govt employee corruption 

2) Most of the companies that had MOUs are taking time for construction and provide actual employment. 5 years is not enough in this aspect but people don't care 

Good Analysis.. I think this is going to make a lot impact this time. TDP - may loose some cops (in godavari), other districts cops  always choose opposite of big caste dominance.  TDP may gain more in rayalasema and prakasam/nellor.  Fight in guntur/krishna.  PK may cause damage in both east and west(YCP may get few seats) and uttarandra YCP will get more seats because of vote split by PK in few places. Who swing rayalasema votes going to get into power, east/west wont give power this time to any party. 

[hyperbole]

36 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

I think many people did not vote for CBN last time because of 3 reasons (other than political, caste affiliations)

1) YSR is the king of welfare schemes and CBN lacks in that. He kind of changed that this time around

2) Not in favour of farmers (irrigation projects). This was changed this time to some extent. 

3) Minorities as TDP has tie-up with BJP at that time

 

Some people will not vote for CBN this time because

1) not as stringent against Govt employees like his earlier regime. More govt employee corruption 

2) Most of the companies that had MOUs are taking time for construction and provide actual employment. 5 years is not enough in this aspect but people don't care 

YSR charsima is still intact and that is the reason why we are seeing huge turn around at rallies. Minorities will still prefer YCP over TDp and same with farmers, TDP’s strong base is among the working class and the educated