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An El Niño has arrived — what will it mean for the Bay Area?


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On Thursday, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced that an El Niño, a recurring climate pattern that has tormented Northern California residents in past decades, was here again. Fortunately, forecasters say, this is expected to be a weak El Niño. Still, its effects will likely be in full display beyond California’s borders as it sends some wicked weather to parts east — and especially across the southern swath of the United States.

AccuWeather meteorologists describe El Niño as “a part of a routine climate pattern that occurs when sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean rise to above-normal levels for an extended period of time.”

“El Niño conditions across the equatorial Pacific have come together, and we can now announce its arrival,” said Mike Halpert, deputy director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “While sea surface temperatures are above average, current observations and climate models indicate that this El Niño will be weak, meaning we do not expect significant global impacts through the remainder of winter and into the spring.”

AccuWeather meteorologist Brett Rossio said that “despite being a weak El Niño, places in California and Texas will likely be rather wet as we get into the spring months. An active Pacific jet stream will provide deep Pacific moisture across much of the Lower 48, keeping it relatively mild, albeit the air will feel cooler on average across the South where heavy rain will persist and prevent strong warmups as we typically see in the spring months.”

 

Some parts of the country have already experienced the impact of this latest El Niño, Rossio said: “Very heavy rain across California has already been a strong indication that we have experienced the effects of El Niño.”

Posted
13 hours ago, Vaampire said:

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Posted
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Posted

Bay Area was safe when I was there.. Philly got safe  with Sandy while I was there with Zero impact. 

I need to stay in Kashmir for a while may be

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