Reasons for TDP loss and YCP win

[JambaKrantu]

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

Government employees like 2004 are tired of CBN's repetitive teleconferences, biometrics based time tracking etc..ABN RK referring to government employees as "aa naa kodukulaki anta ivvala" in one of the leaked tapes with CBN also did some damage.. Most of the government employees voted for YCP..

Neutral Andhra People living in Hyderabad voted for YCP mostly as they are afraid that CBN will damage their living conditions in Hyderabad and Telangana with locals because CBN mostly ran a negative campaign against Telangana and KCR..

[DrBeta]

You don't know what you're talking about. 

[JambaKrantu]

2 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

You don't know what you're talking about. 

As a matter of fact I do.. 

[pahelwan]

5 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

You don't know what you're talking about. 

Do you know?

[JAMBALHOT_RAJA]

polling ayipoyina tarvata enduku man ee essay lu..  hold it till may 23rd 

[DrBeta]

Syringe lo mandu load chese time pattadu, adi guchutaniki

[Sizzler]

14 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

Good and detailed analysis. This is the current expectation as of today. 

[Sizzler]

16 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

You don't know what you're talking about. 

You can disagree but ala kotti padayedam ela... 

Do you know who is going to win and the reasons for that party’s win? Curious to know your opinion and analysis. 

[MuPaGuNa]

only one reason. senndraal......

[TokyoJaani]

17 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

TG lo KCR gadu chesindhi enti Raitu Bandhu ani prior to early elections? 

[Sizzler]

Just now, TokyoJaani said:

TG lo KCR gadu chesindhi enti Raitu Bandhu ani prior to early elections? 

Dwacra 10k has definitely helped TDP cover some of the lost ground. One month mundu a schemes announce cheyakunte asalu contest kooda undedhi kadhu. 

[manadonga]

2 dsc notifation paddayi after 2014 in ap 

[TokyoJaani]

21 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Jagan unde 5 year term lo kids school finish ayyipodha man? idi too much comedy kakapothe. Gov schools sakkaga chesthe ekkuva, avi free schools ee indulo Jagan free ga education ichedhi enti? Sri Vidyaniketan, Narayana, Chaitanya lanti private schools ki pamputhada?

[Sizzler]

4 minutes ago, manadonga said:

2 dsc notifation paddayi after 2014 in ap 

Teachers , Contract Teachers , Aspirants are upset.. I can tell you that. 

Telangana lo contract teachers regularize chesadu KCR... But AP lo avvaledhu despite lot of experience for them. 

[JambaKrantu]

Just now, TokyoJaani said:

TG lo KCR gadu chesindhi enti Raitu Bandhu ani prior to early elections? 

So KCR only Raitu Bandu valla gelichadantava? Idi maree too much. The wave was clearly in favor of KCR anduke vadu early elections ki velladu. Also CBN velu petti last ki elections ni KCR vs CBN laga chesadu.. Janalu inka kasiga KCR ki guddi majority pencharu.. 60 to70 ravalsindi 80+ vachindi deeni valla..

Aina CBN em ichadu already promise chesina raitu runal oka installment ichadu adi kooda interest ki kooda saripodu

Jagan also announced similar schems

Rythu Bandhu scheme also Farmers’ Investment Support Scheme (FISS) is a welfare program to support farmer’s investment for two crops a year by the Government of Telangana.^[1] The government is providing 58.33 lakh farmers, ₹4000 per acre per season to support the farm investment, twice a year, for rabi and kharif seasons.

Look at the SOPs announced in YCP manifesto for farmers:-

1) Free borewells for farmers, and interest-free loans for tenant farmers

2) 9 hours of free electricity for farmers in morning times

3) With Rs, 3,000 crore price stabilization funds will be provided for farmers

4) For aqua farmers power will be given at Rs 1 per unit

5) Rs 12,500 investment support for farmers, in four terms Rs 50,000 will be provided

6) Rs 7 lakh insurance for the families of the farmers who committed suicide

7) Zero interest loans for farmers

https://www.thehansindia.com/andhra-pradesh/ys-jagan-releases-ysrcp-2019-elections-manifesto-518687