Reasons for TDP loss and YCP win

[JambaKrantu]

1 minute ago, TokyoJaani said:

vere points meeda kuda focus cheyyi kaka only one point meeda ekkuva lagaku tegudhi

ok

[solman]

 

[TokyoJaani]

1 minute ago, solman said:

 

enti man ee racha

[Sreeven]

7 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

read YCP manifesto once, Jagan said private schools also he will give reimbursement..

5 years lo engineering, medicine complete cheyachu.. ippudu AP lo engineering ante around 50000 per month.. ok auto driver 2 kids ni engineering chadivinche position ledu..

50k engineering per month e college saami..1lakh to 2 lakhs per year chaduvutunnaru ma cousins in one of the best college in guntur..

[solman]

2 minutes ago, TokyoJaani said:

enti man ee racha

oka jaffa gadu facebook lo share chesadu ee video .. nenu ikkada vesa 

[JambaKrantu]

1 minute ago, Sreeven said:

50k engineering per month e college saami..1lakh to 2 lakhs per year chaduvutunnaru ma cousins in one of the best college in guntur..

I meant per year. Typo adi..

[JambaKrantu]

6 minutes ago, mettastar said:

Avasaram ledule 

Avasaram radule.. anduke esta anna.. 

[OnlyonceFasak]

41 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

Pitchi pitchi Antaru denini ma vurlo 

[DrBeta]

38 minutes ago, pahelwan said:

Do you know?

 

29 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

You can disagree but ala kotti padayedam ela... 

Do you know who is going to win and the reasons for that party’s win? Curious to know your opinion and analysis. 

 

17 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

It would be presumptuous to assume that people of a given caste would vote for a certain party. I refuse to believe stats based on that. I still hope that people aren't stupid to choose based on the caste of a person/party. I usually find that constituencies where the MLAs worked over the period of their tenure seem to get re-elected. That kind of analysis would make more sense. 

 

[JambaKrantu]

5 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

 

It would be presumptuous to assume that people of a given caste would vote for a certain party. I refuse to believe stats based on that. I still hope that people aren't stupid to choose based on the caste of a person/party. I usually find that constituencies where the MLAs worked over the period of their tenure seem to get re-elected. That kind of analysis would make more sense. 

 

Welcome to India and AP..

[futureofandhra]

51 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

Sensible post compared to previous post

My opinion is this vote bank is ycp it's before n now too

Farm loan waiver cbn did in last minute too

 

Let's see what happens

[user789]

Bro- Jagan will win ani antha confident ya unnavu..? Gelusthe manchide

[Sizzler]

28 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

It would be presumptuous to assume that people of a given caste would vote for a certain party. I refuse to believe stats based on that. I still hope that people aren't stupid to choose based on the caste of a person/party. I usually find that constituencies where the MLAs worked over the period of their tenure seem to get re-elected. That kind of analysis would make more sense. 

I agree on the MLA’s performance during his tenure being a main factor for people to decide their choice. Unfortunately Caste polarization has been dominant in this election (Hope I am wrong on this). I won’t say the entire caste will vote for their candidate in a specific constituency. But you can sense the general tendency among that caste for their leader to become the CM of the state (OR) General tendency in a specific caste to root agaisnt a CM aspirant from another specific caste. Example - Majority of Rajus voted against Jagan in 2014 because they were mad about the Satya Rama Linga Raju issue. Democracy wins in the end. Everyone has to respect theopinion of people instead of making up silly excuses. 

[JambaKrantu]

1 minute ago, user789 said:

Bro- Jagan will win ani antha confident ya unnavu..? Gelusthe manchide

My confidence level is close to 90%. CBN ki last time unna advantages - Modi factor, state division and capital factor, PK combined votes.. Ee sari ivem levu, on top he has to deal with anti-incumbency, modi vote split, pk vote split etc.. CBN geliste it will be a miracle

[Mangalgiripappu]

1 hour ago, JambaKrantu said:

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

💯 % TRUE. Govt employees are also in favor for Jagan with some promises. Either way, looong shot for cbn. Tdp thinking only Pasupu kunkuma will get them over the hump is just not realistic.