Reasons for TDP loss and YCP win

[Android_Halwa]

Nakenduko NRA’s kuda kasi mida YCP ki vote vesi vuntaru anukuntunna especially Hyderabad based NRA’s...!!! 

[JambaKrantu]

1 minute ago, Android_Halwa said:

Nakenduko NRA’s kuda kasi mida YCP ki vote vesi vuntaru anukuntunna especially Hyderabad based NRA’s...!!! 

possible malli CBN vaste TG lo unde AP vallaki anavasaram aina godavalu because of CBN's instigation..  In reality telugu people have moved on and they want to live peacefully as brothers..

[DrBeta]

54 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Welcome to India and AP..

 

1 hour ago, DrBeta said:

It would be presumptuous to assume that people of a given caste would vote for a certain party. I refuse to believe stats based on that. I still hope that people aren't stupid to choose based on the caste of a person/party. I usually find that constituencies where the MLAs worked over the period of their tenure seem to get re-elected. That kind of analysis would make more sense. 

Like I said, I refuse to believe that people are that stupid. Why would it matter, when your caste doesn't mean $hit about you. 

[Mangalgiripappu]

Just now, DrBeta said:

 

Like I said, I refuse to believe that people are that stupid. Why would it matter, when your caste doesn't mean $hit about you. 

Better to mind the language. Everyone has an opinion and if your opinion doesn’t match the majorities opinion, then put your 1 in your mouth 

[Kamarao65657]

1 hour ago, solman said:

oka jaffa gadu facebook lo share chesadu ee video .. nenu ikkada vesa 

Mari @vasundara_bellamkonda Video veyyaledha vastadi.. 

[DrBeta]

56 minutes ago, Sizzler said:

I agree on the MLA’s performance during his tenure being a main factor for people to decide their choice. Unfortunately Caste polarization has been dominant in this election (Hope I am wrong on this). I won’t say the entire caste will vote for their candidate in a specific constituency. But you can sense the general tendency among that caste for their leader to become the CM of the state (OR) General tendency in a specific caste to root agaisnt a CM aspirant from another specific caste. Example - Majority of Rajus voted against Jagan in 2014 because they were mad about the Satya Rama Linga Raju issue. Democracy wins in the end. Everyone has to respect theopinion of people instead of making up silly excuses. 

I don't quite understand what you are saying, but I guess it makes sense. 

[Kamarao65657]

5 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

 

Like I said, I refuse to believe that people are that stupid. Why would it matter, when your caste doesn't mean $hit about you. 

Bhaiya. So do you know what you are talking about. You look like a piece of using caste to arm lick tdp

[DrBeta]

4 minutes ago, Mangalgiripappu said:

Better to mind the language. Everyone has an opinion and if your opinion doesn’t match the majorities opinion, then put your 1 in your mouth 

Lol, maybe read what I said again. If you still don't understand what I said, that's okay. Not everyone is good at English. 

[DrBeta]

1 minute ago, Kamarao65657 said:

Bhaiya. So do you know what you are talking about. You look like a piece of using caste to arm lick tdp

 

1 hour ago, DrBeta said:

It would be presumptuous to assume that people of a given caste would vote for a certain party. I refuse to believe stats based on that. I still hope that people aren't stupid to choose based on the caste of a person/party. I usually find that constituencies where the MLAs worked over the period of their tenure seem to get re-elected. That kind of analysis would make more sense. 

Maybe try reading what I said again? I said I refuse to believe that people are stupid enough to vote for someone based on their caste. So, I refuse to believe this analysis. 

[JAMBALHOT_RAJA]

comedy antha ee thread lone Undi ga lol jaffas 

[Mangalgiripappu]

2 minutes ago, DrBeta said:

Lol, maybe read what I said again. If you still don't understand what I said, that's okay. Not everyone is good at English. 

Caste means everything in India. It’s a fact and it will be a fact. Denying a fact is foolishness 

[DrBeta]

Just now, Mangalgiripappu said:

Caste means everything in India. It’s a fact and it will be a fact. Denying a fact is foolishness 

Like I said before, you belonging to a caste doesn't mean anything about you. There are both responsible citizens as well as A grade a$$holes in every caste. Someone belonging to or not belonging to any caste doesn't mean $hit about them. 

[Android_Halwa]

1 hour ago, JambaKrantu said:

possible malli CBN vaste TG lo unde AP vallaki anavasaram aina godavalu because of CBN's instigation..  In reality telugu people have moved on and they want to live peacefully as brothers..

What I heard is that after TDP's TG debacle especially in Kukatpally, mana NRA"s got frustrated as well as felt unnecessary fielding Nandamuri Suhasini in TG state elections and TG elections lo CBN unnecessary intervention, the frequent mentioning of KCR and TG in CBN's criticism whereas the reality is otherwise...

These people may have voted against TDP, of course except for that pulka batch.

[TOM_BHAYYA]

3 hours ago, JambaKrantu said:

Youth 100% YCP ki guddaru ee sari no doubts.. There are currently no jobs at all for youth in AP. Youth mottam visigi poyi undi..No DSC notification since 5 years.. All governments jobs are recruited on a contract basis, so no permanent jobs for youth in the last 5 years. 

Farmers majority YCP ki vote vesaru ee sari.. Runa mafi avvaledu anna kopam chala undi farmers lo. Vachina dabbulu interest ki kooda saripoledu.. Nava Ratnalu had some very good schemes for farmers.. Rayalaseema lo malli CBN vaste varshalu padavu ani strong talk nadchindi ee sari..

East West lo dogPK effect valla baga votes split ayyay.. Cross voting konchem jarigindi but still it's still hard to control the cadre's vote on a ground level.. Ento konta vote split aipotundi between TDP and dogPK..YCP will gain between 15 to 20 seats in GodZillas compared to last time..

High Voting percentage is a good indication of anti-incumbency usually.. Adollu and musalollu ekkuva vachina aallanta TDP ki em veyyaledu.. Jagan promised 3000 vruddapya pinchan and dwakra runa mafi.. Nakka did not even give 25 paise vaddi on dwakra loans.. Also gold loans anni inka atle unnay.. Pasupu kunkuma kinda vachina checks kooda interest ki deposit cheskuntunnaru in most of the banks and chala mandiki checks inka deposit avvaledu. It is very silly that TDP cadre is thinking that last minute pasupukunkuma deposits will save them..

Nakka paripalana chusam oka sari Jagan ki chance iddam ani konta mandi voted for YCP

Brahmins voted for TDP last time because of modi factor, all of them voted for YCP this time.Same with educated castes like Rajus that favor modi. Last time Raju's did not vote for YCP..

YCP core vote bank and strong districts are still intact like Kadapa, Nellore, Kurnool, Prakasam and Chittoor.. Last time TDP ki 90% vachina ATP and GodZillas it's impossible to repeat the same feat.. YCP will gain some seats in these districts and Uttarandhra. Total swing from TDP to YCP in ATP, GodZillas and Uttarandhra will be between 30 to 40 seats..

Lower middle class couples with 2 to 3 kids heavily favored YCP because of fee reimbursement with the hope that their kids can study in good schools and medicine/engineering with 100% fees paid..

Lower middle class people and old people with disabilities favored YCP because of aarogya sri..

Government employees like 2004 are tired of CBN's repetitive teleconferences, biometrics based time tracking etc..ABN RK referring to government employees as "aa naa kodukulaki anta ivvala" in one of the leaked tapes with CBN also did some damage.. Most of the government employees voted for YCP..

Neutral Andhra People living in Hyderabad voted for YCP mostly as they are afraid that CBN will damage their living conditions in Hyderabad and Telangana with locals because CBN mostly ran a negative campaign against Telangana and KCR..

Enti AP lo intha analyze chesi vote vesthurra??

thumb rule- manoda?

second rule- manollu support chese vada!

third- manollaki emaina chesthara?

last- minority aa paina nuv cheppina sodhi batch

[DrBeta]

3 minutes ago, TOM_BHAYYA said:

Enti AP lo intha analyze chesi vote vesthurra??

thumb rule- manoda?

second rule- manollu support chese vada!

third- manollaki emaina chesthara?

last- minority aa paina nuv cheppina sodhi batch

1. Constituency ki emanna panulu chesada? 

2. Edanna problem oste approachable aa?

3. Rashtram lo emanna marpulu ostunnaya?

4. Rashtranni emanna abhivrudhi chesara?