Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said: Most of the people dying are old and fragile people.. The average age of death in US because of coronavirus is 78. Most of these people are already out of the workforce..There will be very few deaths of young productive people.. I would say even if 200,000 people die the young people out of them will be like 1% which is 2000.. Not true at all... Many people from 25 to 45 also died Anyone who is having underlying health issues...and get infected are dying...irrespective of age. Quote
JambaKrantu Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, Gentle_Boy said: Not true at all... Many people from 25 to 45 also died Anyone who is having underlying health issues...and get infected are dying...irrespective of age. Go to CDC website and look at the ages of people dying..Look at the below link for Georgia. At the bottom they gave the age of every dead person. Copy them to an excel sheet and do the average. It comes to 75. For California it comes to 81. There are very few young people dying.. like 1% out of the whole deaths.. https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report Quote
MaZA Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 The projection was around 100k to 200k deaths that means at least 1-2 million people should get infected if you consider 1 or 2 percentage...ela tesuunna it is not that easy to handle the situation...doctors,nurses, hosptials and lot of things will come into picture.... This is not going to be easy man... Quote
Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said: Go to CDC website and look at the ages of people dying..Look at the below link for Georgia. At the bottom they gave the age of every dead person. Copy them to an excel sheet and do the average. It comes to 75. For California it comes to 81. There are very few young people dying.. like 1% out of the whole deaths.. https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report I hv seen...few states...where ....many younger age group....people are dying Quote
Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 2 minutes ago, MaZA said: The projection was around 100k to 200k deaths that means at least 1-2 million people should get infected if you consider 1 or 2 percentage...ela tesuunna it is not that easy to handle the situation...doctors,nurses, hosptials and lot of things will come into picture.... This is not going to be easy man... Yep.... True....agreed.... Predections was based on a model...designed by many doctors and health experts....same group who dealt with swine flu and ebola....ani....trumf told Quote
ring_master Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 3 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said: Go to CDC website and look at the ages of people dying..Look at the below link for Georgia. At the bottom they gave the age of every dead person. Copy them to an excel sheet and do the average. It comes to 75. For California it comes to 81. There are very few young people dying.. like 1% out of the whole deaths.. https://dph.georgia.gov/covid-19-daily-status-report There's a flaw in your analysis... Average will be skewed with the outliers of age....Check for median and mode and tell me if the number is same.. If it's still larger than nothing to worry much Quote
JambaKrantu Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 4 minutes ago, Gentle_Boy said: I hv seen...few states...where ....many younger age group....people are dying List the state. As of now on CDC brief the average age of death is above 70 years.. Quote
JambaKrantu Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 1 minute ago, ring_master said: There's a flaw in your analysis... Average will be skewed with the outliers of age....Check for median and mode and tell me if the number is same.. If it's still larger than nothing to worry much Median age is 72 for georgia.. 74 for the rest of the country as per CDC.. Quote
siru Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 18 minutes ago, Gentle_Boy said: Falling down...will be always a sudden....change Rising up....is always ...a slow and gradual process... Especially...during economic recession....situations No stimulus package ....can pump up...dow and nasdaq...to go up...with 10%....not a chance ..anymore so shorting stocks is the best move now? Quote
JambaKrantu Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 9 minutes ago, MaZA said: The projection was around 100k to 200k deaths that means at least 1-2 million people should get infected if you consider 1 or 2 percentage...ela tesuunna it is not that easy to handle the situation...doctors,nurses, hosptials and lot of things will come into picture.... This is not going to be easy man... Lol.. My guess is there are already close to 10 million people infected in the country. 95% of them are mild cases so they are not going to the doctor or hospital. Remaining 5% will need hospitalization and the hospital system will be overburdened but they will handle it.. Worst cases scenario Thatha will involve the army and build make shift hospitals.. Quote
Popkatapetapotapulti Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 monday motham blood bath? Quote
MaZA Posted March 30, 2020 Report Posted March 30, 2020 Just now, JambaKrantu said: Median age is 72 for georgia.. 74 for the rest of the country as per CDC.. Ok lets agree 74 over vallu dying..kani atleast 1 million affect itaru kada...and because of this already vere conditions unnav vallu effect itaru tesluaa because of not availability of hospitals....like cancer patients,hears attack and another condition unna vallu.. And lot of current conditons unna vallu like pending surgeries for different reasons will be post poned.. Quote
Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 8 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said: Median age is 72 for georgia.. 74 for the rest of the country as per CDC.. Okay..bro Let's see how many of this 100k...are around 70 years of age. Quote
Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 1 minute ago, MaZA said: Ok lets agree 74 over vallu dying..kani atleast 1 million affect itaru kada...and because of this already vere conditions unnav vallu effect itaru tesluaa because of not availability of hospitals....like cancer patients,hears attack and another condition unna vallu.. And lot of current conditons unna vallu like pending surgeries for different reasons will be post poned.. Yaa...that's the bigger part of the problem for sure. Quote
Gentle_Boy Posted March 30, 2020 Author Report Posted March 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, siru said: so shorting stocks is the best move now? Do ur own analysis and research....investing from here on. Quote
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