Coronavirus crisis: Govt could extend lockdown till Sept, claims BCG report

[Kool_SRG]

The delay in lifting the restrictions was attributed to challenges faced by India in terms of health system preparedness and record of public policy effectiveness.

Last Updated: April 4, 2020  | 11:48 IST

 

Timeline of COVID 19 crisis in India

• India imposed nationwide lockdown on March 24
• Lockdown started on March 25 - the day 10th death was recorded
• Peak of new cases expected in third week of June
• Lockdown expected to be lifted between end of June and second week of September
• Longer range period due to challenge in India due to health system preparedness and record of public policy effectiveness

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India is unlikely to unwind its nationwide coronavirus lockdown on April 14, rather the restriction could be extended till the middle of September, according to a new study by American consulting firm Boston Consulting Group (BCG). India will start lifting COVID-19 lockdown only between the fourth week of June and the second week of September, says the report.

The delay in lifting the restrictions was attributed to challenges faced by India in terms of health system preparedness and record of public policy effectiveness. The report also suggested that India might witness a peak in the number of coronavirus cases by the third week of June.

The lockdown in India started in line with China's timing of the lockdown, the report said.

"The report represents estimates as of March 25, based on BCG predictive modelling leveraging John Hopkins University data," the American consultancy firm said.

Earlier on Monday, the Cabinet Secretary Rajiv Gauba had clarified that the government had no plan to further extend the 21-day nationwide lockdown, which ends on April 14.

 

After a day's Janata Curfew on March 22, Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced a countrywide lockdown for a period of 3 weeks, starting March 25, in line with similar restrictions imposed by China, where the coronavirus originated. The government ordered people to stay confined in their homes except for essential outings from March 25 until at least April 14 to control the spread of coronavirus pandemic in India.

So far, the cases of people suffering from coronavirus disease have risen to 2,088 in India, excluding 156 cured or discharged and 56 deaths, according to Health and Family Welfare Ministry data released on Friday. Worldwide, coronavirus has claimed over 55,000 lives with case count surpassing 10 lakh.

[Kool_SRG]

[Kool_SRG]

Idhi matuku nijam ayithe

[Catabolite]

Assam seems like a pretty safe place. 

[Sachin200]

8 minutes ago, Catabolite said:

Assam seems like a pretty safe place. 

International travelling Leni Chala places lo takkuva cases vunaye and domestic travel kooda takkuva ga Assam ki 

[Kool_SRG]

14 minutes ago, Catabolite said:

Assam seems like a pretty safe place. 

NE states starting lo takkuva, Assam has reprted few cases this week... Few NE states are there which haven't reported any cases till now.

3 minutes ago, Sachin200 said:

International travelling Leni Chala places lo takkuva cases vunaye and domestic travel kooda takkuva ga Assam ki 

Add to that unless we test we can't know if cases exists are not...

States like Maharashtra & Kerala have more international travel and more testing & tracing bringing in more numbers they are able to cure good number of cases too.

[supportamaravathi]

58 minutes ago, Catabolite said:

Assam seems like a pretty safe place. 

ite pora @pulkapappu

[johnydanylee]

Appati varaku 50% pay cut ante janalu thantaaru

[user789]

India will be one of the countries to come out of Covid soon..

[Hydrockers]

BCG na

Ante Jagan de kada

[JaiTDP]

1 hour ago, Hydrockers said:

BCG na

Ante Jagan de kada

Adhe anukunta 

[Hydrockers]

Just now, JaiTDP said:

Adhe anukunta 

Country ni destruct cheyataniki.kutra antunna pulkas 

[Sachin200]

Manalanti country extended lockdown avakoodadhu . Hope we will be out soon in 2-3 weeks .

[Kool_SRG]

3 minutes ago, Sachin200 said:

Manalanti country extended lockdown avakoodadhu . Hope we will be out soon in 2-3 weeks .

Yes ayithe chala kastam...Its kind of tough till April month end also but have to bear it but beyond it with full lock down as of now looks dangerous.

[Tomb__ayya]

23 minutes ago, Kool_SRG said:

Yes ayithe chala kastam...Its kind of tough till April month end also but have to bear it but beyond it with full lock down as of now looks dangerous.

April 15th tharuvatha complete lockdown and curfew type ante kastam, people will revolt.

Only Airlines, railways, and other public transport restrict chesi, 144 section petti, only groceries, hospitals ku ravachu people can come outside alone and not in groups, should not gather as groups outside and do mass meetings strictly, events ku no permission ani cheppi, light relaxation ivvali, like people can come out to buy groceries, like police will not question or stop you and question why did you come outside unlike the current complete curfew and forced lockdown.  All IT and other offices where people sit indoors closely and work should ask associates to WFH.

Farmers ku relaxation ivvali once the cases comes down and no new cases get registered and all suspected are quarantined.