IIM study predicts 1.5 lakh Covid-19 cases by May first week as ‘result of Tablighi event’

[Sarvapindi]

20k kuda daatadhu ..irrespective of lockdown date

[Mirage]

6 minutes ago, Sarvapindi said:

20k kuda daatadhu ..irrespective of lockdown date

So panileka lockdown chesthunnaaru antav?

[Sarvapindi]

3 minutes ago, Mirage said:

So panileka lockdown chesthunnaaru antav?

After 14 th nunchi vaa..

[Mirage]

5 minutes ago, Sarvapindi said:

After 14 th nunchi vaa..

Konchem ardamayela cheppu babai

[LazyRohit]

pani M leda

[Sarvapindi]

14 minutes ago, Mirage said:

Konchem ardamayela cheppu babai

after 14 th lockdown unna lekapoina cases 20k daatav antunna

[Kool_SRG]

11 minutes ago, LazyRohit said:

pani M leda

Lock down kaada time pass ki 

[Mirage]

8 minutes ago, Sarvapindi said:

after 14 th lockdown unna lekapoina cases 20k daatav antunna

Chudaam kaka. Cases peragakapothe antha kante em kaavali... Kaakapothe 14th tarvaata lockdown extend chesi spread mitigate chedaam anukunedi based on some evidence kada.. 

[Sarvapindi]

2 minutes ago, Mirage said:

Chudaam kaka. Cases peragakapothe antha kante em kaavali... Kaakapothe 14th tarvaata lockdown extend chesi spread mitigate chedaam anukunedi based on some evidence kada.. 

Mostly extend chestaru lockdown until end of month with some exceptions ..india under control ba ..no worries 

[Mirage]

10 minutes ago, Sarvapindi said:

Mostly extend chestaru lockdown until end of month with some exceptions ..india under control ba ..no worries 

terey muh mein ghee shakkar

[LazyRohit]

1 hour ago, Kool_SRG said:

Lock down kaada time pass ki 

Sadivkoni 10gichkmanu bokka gallani

[Pitta]

3 hours ago, Vaampire said:

Thank you peaceful bros

[Mirage]

4 hours ago, LazyRohit said:

pani M leda

If it's about the study what's wrong with it? 

[Picheshwar]

5 hours ago, Kool_SRG said:

We shall LTT this thread by Mid may...Seriously doubt this.

+1

 

bookmark and set reminder

[Picheshwar]

5 hours ago, Mirage said:

IIM-Rohtak research team uses mathematical models to conclude coronavirus cases have increased by nearly 3 times in India after Tablighi Jamaat event in March.

 

 

 

5 hours ago, Mirage said:

New Delhi: The Indian Institute of Management (IIM) in Rohtak has predicted, using mathematical models, that the Tablighi Jamaat congregation held at its headquarters in Delhi from 13-15 March will increase coronavirus cases “exponentially” — with Delhi and Mumbai to emerge as the most vulnerable locations.

 

 

“We predict… that the number of Covid-19 cases will increase exponentially in India to approximately 13,000 cases by 15 April 2020 and to more than 1,50,000 cases by the first week of May 2020,” said a report prepared by a research team at IIM-Rohtak.

“This rapid increase in cases is a result of the Tablighi Jamaat event and we propose that any such event in the future will be severely detrimental for the health of the people and may pose a serious threat to the growth and well-being of the nation,” the report stated.

 

The research team, led by IIM Director Dheeraj Sharma, had professors Dr Amol Singh and Dr Abhay Pant and a research scholar as members.

“This study takes into account the fact that the lockdown would be removed on April 14 2020,” Sharma told ThePrint.

“The government should play a proactive role to condemn any such congregation and should mandatorily lock down such places to avoid proliferation of Covid-19 cases,” the report said.

 

The team analysed data using a mathematical forecasting model involving two exponential functions. Such models have been used recently to predict disease spread in a given region.

“Using the data from covid19india.org website and employing a regression model, it was proffered that the coronavirus cases have multiplied approximately three times post the Tablighi Jamaat event,” said the report, which was accessed by this author. 

 

“The detailed forecast post the Tablighi Jamaat event of Covid-19 cases across India are presented in Table 1 below… The predicted cases have been compared with the actual cases and the analysis showed approx. 93% accuracy on an average for all the data.”

 

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5 hours ago, mustang302 said:

Chala choosam ituvanti models antunna Fauci tatha..!

 

5 hours ago, r2d2 said:

these days we need to take  IIM studies with a pinch of salt...

 

5 hours ago, Kool_SRG said:

We shall LTT this thread by Mid may...Seriously doubt this.

 

5 hours ago, kathanayaka said:

edo run chestaru lera stats models ee faltoo gallu..bcoz IIM manam edo matter undani vinalsi vastadi...

 

5 hours ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

IIM valla talent chuddam in a month

 

5 hours ago, reality said:

Also build a model for candle light gatherings and Ghanta bhajana gatherings... 

Such a morons.

 

1 minute ago, Picheshwar said:

+1

 

bookmark and set reminder