A month of lockdown: Covid growth falls from 22% to 8%

[Spartan]

When PM Modi announced a total lockdown of the country exactly a month ago, there were around 500 Covid-19 cases in India. But there were clear signs that the numbers were going to shoot up. The average daily growth in cases was 21.6% on March 24, which since dropped to 8.1%. Had we continued to grow at that rate, the number of cases would have crossed 2 lakh by now.
But a growth rate of 8.1% three days into the fifth week of lockdown is still higher than what the worst-hit countries achieved after locking down for the same period. While Germany brought down the growth rate to 2%, the US was at 4.8%.

 

If India continues to grow at the current rate, we will have close to 40,000 cases by the end of next week, which would swell to almost 70,000 in a fortnight, and near 2.5 lakh by the end of May.
But given how some states have managed to lower their growth rate (Kerala is growing at 1.8%, lower than Germany), the average growth rate could well fall in the coming days.

Even a small drop makes a huge difference to the total numbers. For instance, if India manages to bring down its growth rate to 6%, a month later, we would have to deal with about 1.3 lakh cases; at 5%, the total number won’t even cross one lakh.

[JambaKrantu]

Akkada adequate testing ledu man, lot of people are still untested. Just in AP around 10000 samples are waiting for test results. 

[Somedude]

7 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Akkada adequate testing ledu man, lot of people are still untested. Just in AP around 10000 samples are waiting for test results. 

 @JambaKrantu  nee stocks situation enti? How much down?

[JambaKrantu]

3 minutes ago, Somedude said:

 @JambaKrantu  nee stocks situation enti? How much down?

+1670 as of today evening..

[Somedude]

6 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

+1670 as of today evening..

Congrats!! Keep it up.

[VictoryTDP]

India's numbers are not correct

[k2s]

32 minutes ago, Spartan said:

When PM Modi announced a total lockdown of the country exactly a month ago, there were around 500 Covid-19 cases in India. But there were clear signs that the numbers were going to shoot up. The average daily growth in cases was 21.6% on March 24, which since dropped to 8.1%. Had we continued to grow at that rate, the number of cases would have crossed 2 lakh by now.
But a growth rate of 8.1% three days into the fifth week of lockdown is still higher than what the worst-hit countries achieved after locking down for the same period. While Germany brought down the growth rate to 2%, the US was at 4.8%.

 

If India continues to grow at the current rate, we will have close to 40,000 cases by the end of next week, which would swell to almost 70,000 in a fortnight, and near 2.5 lakh by the end of May.
But given how some states have managed to lower their growth rate (Kerala is growing at 1.8%, lower than Germany), the average growth rate could well fall in the coming days.

Even a small drop makes a huge difference to the total numbers. For instance, if India manages to bring down its growth rate to 6%, a month later, we would have to deal with about 1.3 lakh cases; at 5%, the total number won’t even cross one lakh.

K

[Deadp0ol2]

I don't trust these numbers but locking down helped not spreading more.

Ippud tersina tarvaata em aithado adi soodale

[hyperbole]

15 minutes ago, Deadp0ol2 said:

I don't trust these numbers but locking down helped not spreading more.

Ippud tersina tarvaata em aithado adi soodale

Ippudu terustunnaru ani evaru chesindru? june 1st mostly. mumbai and delhi looking too dangerous now. Partial open chestaru..no inter state transportation like railways or aeroplanes until june 1 st is my guess 

[dewarist]

51 minutes ago, Spartan said:

When PM Modi announced a total lockdown of the country exactly a month ago, there were around 500 Covid-19 cases in India. But there were clear signs that the numbers were going to shoot up. The average daily growth in cases was 21.6% on March 24, which since dropped to 8.1%. Had we continued to grow at that rate, the number of cases would have crossed 2 lakh by now.
But a growth rate of 8.1% three days into the fifth week of lockdown is still higher than what the worst-hit countries achieved after locking down for the same period. While Germany brought down the growth rate to 2%, the US was at 4.8%.

 

If India continues to grow at the current rate, we will have close to 40,000 cases by the end of next week, which would swell to almost 70,000 in a fortnight, and near 2.5 lakh by the end of May.
But given how some states have managed to lower their growth rate (Kerala is growing at 1.8%, lower than Germany), the average growth rate could well fall in the coming days.

Even a small drop makes a huge difference to the total numbers. For instance, if India manages to bring down its growth rate to 6%, a month later, we would have to deal with about 1.3 lakh cases; at 5%, the total number won’t even cross one lakh.

Good job by govt and the people who are cooperating for the lockdown

 

[manadonga]

8 minutes ago, dewarist said:

Good job by govt and the people who are cooperating for the lockdown

 

Govt didn’t nt prepare people for lockdown

so many people are lack of food in india 

more people died lack of food or mandu 

[Gentle_Boy]

1 hour ago, JambaKrantu said:

Akkada adequate testing ledu man, lot of people are still untested. Just in AP around 10000 samples are waiting for test results. 

Thats 100% right

[Deadp0ol2]

22 minutes ago, hyperbole said:

Ippudu terustunnaru ani evaru chesindru? june 1st mostly. mumbai and delhi looking too dangerous now. Partial open chestaru..no inter state transportation like railways or aeroplanes until june 1 st is my guess 

It's like a time bomb oka side virus one side daily wage people .....june 1st ante they will suffer I m sure many are suffering now 😕

[quickgun_murugun]

2 hours ago, JambaKrantu said:

Akkada adequate testing ledu man, lot of people are still untested. Just in AP around 10000 samples are waiting for test results.