Will Tatha repeat 2016 election shock???

[Gaali_Gottam_Govinda]

 

All Pollsters will lose credibility and Dukhan bandh cheskovalsinde....... Biden gaadi polling lead kooda same difference nadustundi currently.......

[xano917]

yes it will be same. .. thatha will win with a bang 

[Sreeven]

Clinton last minute fbi email scam valla vodipoindi leka pothe easy win..last 10 days lo game changed..

[r2d2]

yes.. these polls don’t mean anything.. last time  he was ‘new’.. he is the incumbent now and only time will tell how much of his presidency will have an impact on the election.. Supreme Court appointments will likely tilt it in his favor..

[CherryGaru]

The picture you posted is useless. It is national poll.

There are couple of swing states, which matter. In 2016 , the lead by Clinton in those swing states was not more than 2-3 points.

The swing states are Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada and North Carolina.. That is why both Biden and Trump are concentrating their campaign in these states. Biden has only marginal lead in these states now like Clinton in 2016. 

So, anything can happen like 2016.

[Gaali_Gottam_Govinda]

2 minutes ago, Sreeven said:

Clinton last minute fbi email scam valla vodipoindi leka pothe easy win..last 10 days lo game changed..

In 2016 Tatha is just a presidential candidate with no power under Obama who's Democratic President.

 

Now Tatha is the freaking President....... FBI, Intelligence, Nuke Codes motham Tatha left pocket lo untayi.

 

What makes you think he'll not do a last min surprise hitjob on Biden Ukraine and corruption dealings??? Biden gaadiki 35 years political history undi............ chaala untayi negatives  tavvithe.

[KadapaKingg]

I think Biden will win this time. The swing states are tilting towards Biden mostly

[CherryGaru]

For better understanding.. Check this link:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Currently Biden is projected to win.

[Gaali_Gottam_Govinda]

3 minutes ago, CherryGaru said:

For better understanding.. Check this link:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-election-forecast/

Currently Biden is projected to win.

........ Here is their 2016 forecast.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

[KadapaKingg]

Just now, Gaali_Gottam_Govinda said:

Here is their 2016 forecast.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

I know last time was a miracle but miracles don't happen every time..The death of the supreme court justice energized a lot of dems. I think Biden will win this time. 

[Sreeven]

12 minutes ago, Gaali_Gottam_Govinda said:

In 2016 Tatha is just a presidential candidate with no power under Obama who's Democratic President.

 

Now Tatha is the freaking President....... FBI, Intelligence, Nuke Codes motham Tatha left pocket lo untayi.

 

What makes you think he'll not do a last min surprise hitjob on Biden Ukraine and corruption dealings??? Biden gaadiki 35 years political history undi............ chaala untayi negatives  tavvithe.

Bloomberg is spending 500 millions in florida..enduko e sari Florida democrats di..florida lo gelichina party vallu president avutaru..

[ARYA]

lol FAKE NEWS

[CherryGaru]

13 minutes ago, Gaali_Gottam_Govinda said:

........ Here is their 2016 forecast.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

 

 

Here is the analysis on what went wrong.. What happened in 2016 would be rectified in 2020..

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

So what’s the source of all the uncertainty? And why does the same model1 that gave Mitt Romney only a 9 percent chance of winning the Electoral College on the eve of the 2012 election put Trump’s chances about three times higher — 28 percent — this year? It basically comes down to three things:

First, Clinton’s overall lead over Trump — while her gains over the past day or two have helped — is still within the range where a fairly ordinary polling error could eliminate it.

Second, the number of undecided and third-party voters is much higher than in recent elections, which contributes to uncertainty.

Third, Clinton’s coalition — which relies increasingly on college-educated whites and Hispanics — is somewhat inefficiently configured for the Electoral College, because these voters are less likely to live in swing states. If the popular vote turns out to be a few percentage points closer than polls project it, Clinton will be an Electoral College underdog.

[tom bhayya]

Voting percentage batti untundhi I feel lady avvadam valla last time vote veyyadaaniki kuda raledhu ani but I may be wrong 

[CherryGaru]

10 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Voting percentage batti untundhi I feel lady avvadam valla last time vote veyyadaaniki kuda raledhu ani but I may be wrong 

You are right, there were lot more undecided when polls were taken uptill last week of October. I am thinking this year, most have already decided who to vote.

There are far more undecided voters in 2016

	FINAL NATIONAL POLLING AVERAGE
YEAR	DEM CANDIDATE		GOP CANDIDATE		UNDECIDED/OTHER
2000	Gore	43.6%	Bush	46.8%	Undecided/other	9.6%
2004	Kerry	47.4	Bush	48.9	Undecided/other	3.7
2008	Obama	52.1	McCain	44.5	Undecided/other	3.4
2012	Obama	48.8	Romney	48.1	Undecided/other	3.1
2016	Clinton	45.7	Trump	41.8	Undecided/other	12.5

SOURCE: REALCLEARPOLITICS (2000-2012), FIVETHIRTYEIGHT POLLS-ONLY MODEL (2016)