Early voting trends show Democrats falling short in 3 of 4 battlegrounds

[ismartganesh]

Polling indicates Joe Biden and the Democrats will win big. However, Democrats are falling short of the edge they need in early voting to offset the Republicans' anticipated big edge in election day voting in three of four battleground states where data is available.

If pollsters adjusted to fix 2016 mistakes, the RealClearPolitics average in each state shows Biden winning 341-197 and Democrats taking control of the Senate. This grid shows a middle scenario, that state polling averages are just as far off as in 2016, that would add Wisconsin, Iowa and North Carolina to the Trump column, still leaving Trump short 310-228, but likely meaning the GOP held the Senate 51-49. The third scenario is that the fact that most poll respondents believe their neighbors are supporting Trump indicates he is actually going to win but people are scared to give their true opinion.

However, if people are simply scared to give their opinion to pollsters, another option is to look at the breakdown of who has actually voted.

Forbes polling indicates that roughly half of all voters plan to vote early, with 62 percent of Democrats planning to vote early while 72 percent of Republicans plan to wait and vote on election day. If that happened and independents split evenly (last time Trump won them), then Democrats would need to win early voting at least 70-30 to be on pace to barely overcome a 31-69 disadvantage in partisan election day votes.

[MiryalgudaMaruthiRao]

@r2d2 and @Sucker please confirm

[dasara_bullodu1]

Most battleground states are already rep leaning kada

 

GA NC FL AZ ..

[MiryalgudaMaruthiRao]

ok

[afacc123]

fact is ye desham lo aina deshanni sarva nashanam chese vadne ennukuntar

 

paiga ee vishayam aa nashanam avutunte kooda choostu em cheyyaleni sthithi

[tacobell fan]

 

 

[dasara_bullodu1]

36 minutes ago, tacobell fan said:

 

 

Eeniki kacchitam ga appati nunde edo psychological disorder undi ... world antha veeniki nacchinattu undali anukuntunnadu