How Facebook Can Become Bigger In Five Years Than Google Is Today!!!!!!!

[krldr871]

[img]http://tctechcrunch.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/pacbook.jpg[/img]


Remember three years ago, when Microsoft paid a quarter-billion dollars for 1.6% of Facebook and the exclusive right to run banner ads across Facebook.com? Tell the truth, how many of you thought that was a killer business decision? I can’t say I did at the time. But as that deal is about to expire in 2011, Facebook’s status as a revenue juggernaut is rarely questioned any more.

In fact, I have been mulling over data from both companies, and I’m ready to declare in public my belief that Facebook will be bigger in five years than Google is right now, barring some drastic action or accident. Futhermore, Facebook will grow without needing to cut into Google’s core business of text ads, which are still 99% of Google’s profits. Even if every single Facebook user performs just as many searches with Google as ever—including Google Instant, mobile search, and YouTube—Facebook will inexorably grow as big as Google is today and maybe bigger, because Madison Avenue’s brands are less interested in targeting than they are in broadcasting to vast mother-loving buckets of demographically correct eyeballs, and Facebook has become the perfect platform for that.

What do I mean by bigger? Facebook already has more page views than Google. People already spend more time spent on Facebook than Google. I’m referring to the life blood of any business: revenues.

Google’s 2010 revenues will be $28 billion, give or take a billion. The goal of this writeup is to illustrate the ways that Facebook’s annual revenues could grow from $2 billion to more than $30 billion in five years a diverse set of revenue streams that have one thing in common: people. Facebook’s future revenue streams, like their applications, are naturally social, and engage consumers with social intent, not just a widgetor “social layer.” We repeat: social is not a layer you add; it is core to monetization.



Facebook has figured out its business model, and wants to keep it out of the public eye as long as possible. Facebook’s alleged revenue has grown from $275 million in 2008 to $635 million in 2009 to a rumored $2
billion this year, which is much higher than the also-impressive $1.2 billion number circulating earlier this year. Let’s pause and reflect for a moment. Facebook is allegedly already earning double the
revenues Google reported when it filed to go public.

When we do the archaeological dig of Google’s actual revenues during its private years, we discover similar pattern to Facebook’s: $86 million in 2001, $440 million in 2002, and $1.4 billion in 2003 . . . and so on. Note, however, this divergence:  Google Web Sites earned more than twice the revenue in 2009 as the gross evenue brought in through Google Network Web Sites, even though in 2004 they were roughly the same. The value of properties Google owns has been much greater and faster growing than all of the external Web sites with whom Google shares revenue. This will almost certainly be even more true of Facebook, given the private nature of much of its content. For many consumers, Facebook is the Web.

As 2010 draws to a close, only a movie and an open source project (Diaspora) have the chutzpah to call themselves a social network. The future of social networking may very well depend on those of us without resources to invent an alternative to Facebook, to create more choice for consumers. Does anyone have the brains, the heart, and the courage to travel down this yellow brick road? Maybe this article ill offer a smart but scrappy entrepreneurial engineer in a garage somewhere the inspiration she or he needs to build a better social network. I just gave you thirty billion reasons why I believe this market is the market to go after if you want to make a fortune, have fun, and change the world. And I will do anything in my power to help you. I know a venture capitalist ready and eager to put $25 million to work to get this party started. And heck, I might even consider coming out of retirement for this opportunity. Call me. Or better yet, Google Me.

Editor’s note: Guest author Adam Rifkin is a Silicon Valley veteran who organizes a networking group for entrepreneurial engineers called 106 Miles. His last guest post was about his frustrations with Gmail.

[bhrami]

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[krldr871]

[quote author=ChittiNaidu link=topic=104876.msg1113990#msg1113990 date=1286067186]
aa google ni last lo pedite aipotadi anukunta.... sCo_hmmthink sCo_hmmthink
[/quote]
google mingestundi FB ni chustu undu

[krldr871]

[quote author=ChittiNaidu link=topic=104876.msg1114003#msg1114003 date=1286067326]
[img]http://i44.tinypic.com/b3q3qc.gif[/img]  mari bomma lo teda ga unde...reverse ga...
[/quote]
geesinavadu FB fan ankunta  sSc_hiding2 sSc_hiding2

[mastikaraja]

google tried to buy facebook but it was turned out. Google is now in a financial crisis shares eppudu lenta darunam ga unnayi anta .

[bhrami]

[quote author=Leader871 link=topic=104876.msg1113999#msg1113999 date=1286067278]
google mingestundi FB ni chustu undu
[/quote]
sHa_clap4 sHa_clap4 sHa_clap4

[rakesh.raju]

[quote author=mastikaraja link=topic=104876.msg1114020#msg1114020 date=1286067498]
google tried to buy facebook but it was turned out. Google is now in a financial crisis shares eppudu lenta darunam ga unnayi anta .
[/quote][img]http://www.bewarsetalk.net/discus/movieanimated4/appum.gif[/img]

[Nellore Pedda reddy]

*=: *=: *=: *=: you rock