dasari4kntr Posted October 30, 2022 Report Posted October 30, 2022 Key-points from this report and my analysis.. https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf Overall Summary of Q3 The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Formula GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) Where: • C – Private consumption • I – Gross investment • G – Government investment • X – Exports • M – Imports …According to this formula…based on above report numbers... C - 1.4 I - -8.5 G - 2.4 X - 14.4 M - -6.9 This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...) What All Increased Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4) Goods (Q2 15.5 - Q3 17.2) • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) • Nonautomotive capital goods Services (Q2 4.6 - Q3 2.8) • Travel • Financial Services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9) Goods (Q2 -0.4 Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6 Q3 2.3) Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే... specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4) non durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.5 - Q3 -1.4) - purchase once in atleast 3 years..etc durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.8 - Q3 -0.8) - purchase and used everyday items https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155472 Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1 - Q3 -8.5) non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1 Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories. but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8 Q3-26.4) - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581 Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 - Q3 2.4) • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 - Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 - Q3 2.3). • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782 What all Decreased Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions. Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers) Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). National Income Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth) Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income) Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B) on a side note... the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478 Quote
jalsa01 Posted October 30, 2022 Report Posted October 30, 2022 1 minute ago, megadheera said: Matter in 1 line plz +1 Quote
dasari4kntr Posted October 30, 2022 Author Report Posted October 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, megadheera said: Matter in 1 line plz 5 minutes ago, jalsa01 said: +1 The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased gdp increase is good sign but that is increased because of war related geo political reasons…not organic growth… more over personal savings rate is going bottom all the time low which is bad sign… Quote
dasari4kntr Posted November 2, 2022 Author Report Posted November 2, 2022 On 10/30/2022 at 3:58 PM, dasari4kntr said: The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased gdp increase is good sign but that is increased because of war related geo political reasons…not organic growth…more over personal savings rate is going bottom all the time low which is bad sign… Strong consumer.... Quote
Gorantlamdhav Posted November 2, 2022 Report Posted November 2, 2022 On 10/30/2022 at 3:34 PM, dasari4kntr said: Key-points from this report and my analysis.. https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf Overall Summary of Q3 The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Formula GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) Where: • C – Private consumption • I – Gross investment • G – Government investment • X – Exports • M – Imports …According to this formula…based on above report numbers... C - 1.4 I - -8.5 G - 2.4 X - 14.4 M - -6.9 This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...) What All Increased Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4) Goods (Q2 15.5 - Q3 17.2) • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) • Nonautomotive capital goods Services (Q2 4.6 - Q3 2.8) • Travel • Financial Services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9) Goods (Q2 -0.4 Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6 Q3 2.3) Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే... specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4) non durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.5 - Q3 -1.4) - purchase once in atleast 3 years..etc durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.8 - Q3 -0.8) - purchase and used everyday items https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155472 Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1 - Q3 -8.5) non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1 Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories. but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8 Q3-26.4) - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581 Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 - Q3 2.4) • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 - Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 - Q3 2.3). • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782 What all Decreased Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions. Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers) Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). National Income Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth) Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income) Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B) on a side note... the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478 Orey intha khaliga vunnava? that was due to home sales closed which is 25% of gdp and travel etc.. Quote
Picheshwar Posted November 2, 2022 Report Posted November 2, 2022 1 minute ago, Gorantlamdhav said: Orey intha khaliga vunnava? that was due to home sales closed which is 25% of gdp and travel etc.. Quote
dasari4kntr Posted November 2, 2022 Author Report Posted November 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gorantlamdhav said: Orey intha khaliga vunnava? that was due to home sales closed which is 25% of gdp and travel etc.. neeku naaku orey ani pilichu kunentha chanvu ledhu… sakram gaa reply ivvagaligithe maatladhu…lekunte lite teesuko…quote cheyyaku… naa time management gurinchi comment chesantha vishyam neeku ledhu…go side and play… Quote
Telugodura456 Posted November 2, 2022 Report Posted November 2, 2022 On 10/30/2022 at 3:34 PM, dasari4kntr said: Key-points from this report and my analysis.. https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf Overall Summary of Q3 The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Formula GDP = C + I + G + (X-M) Where: • C – Private consumption • I – Gross investment • G – Government investment • X – Exports • M – Imports …According to this formula…based on above report numbers... C - 1.4 I - -8.5 G - 2.4 X - 14.4 M - -6.9 This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...) What All Increased Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4) Goods (Q2 15.5 - Q3 17.2) • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) • Nonautomotive capital goods Services (Q2 4.6 - Q3 2.8) • Travel • Financial Services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9) Goods (Q2 -0.4 Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6 Q3 2.3) Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే... specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022 Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4) non durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.5 - Q3 -1.4) - purchase once in atleast 3 years..etc durable goods consumption/purchase (Q2 -2.8 - Q3 -0.8) - purchase and used everyday items https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155472 Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1 - Q3 -8.5) non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1 Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories. but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8 Q3-26.4) - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581 Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 - Q3 2.4) • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 - Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 - Q3 2.3). • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782 What all Decreased Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions. Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers) Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). National Income Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth) Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income) Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B) on a side note... the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals... https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478 Is this adjusted for inflation ? Quote
dasari4kntr Posted November 2, 2022 Author Report Posted November 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Telugodura456 said: Is this adjusted for inflation ? yes..real gdp advanced estimate... https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-2022-advance-estimate Quote
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