If Jagan Looses this election. Negligence towards Nellore, Prakasham and Palnadu areas will be the main reason

[Sam480]

1) Sharmila denting some YCP votes in Rayalseema region

2)Took Nellore, Prakasham  and Palnadu. areas lightly, More specifically he should have accommodated vemireddy and his wife, he is now doing what ponguleti did to BRS in Khammam

YCP can win this election only if they can win atleast 12  seats in both Nellore and prakasham districts combined and majority of the seats in palnadu area

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

[ARYA]

Sharmila??? lol

[Sam480]

2 minutes ago, ARYA said:

Sharmila??? lol

yes bro she might grab atleast 1% ycp votes  from rayalseema region

[ARYA]

6 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

yes bro she might grab atleast 1% ycp votes  from rayalseema region

No comments

[Saivuncle]

30 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

1) Sharmila denting some YCP votes in Rayalseema region

2)Took Nellore, Prakasham  and Palnadu. areas lightly, More specifically he should have accommodated vemireddy and his wife, he is now doing what ponguleti did to BRS in Khammam

YCP can win this election only if they can win atleast 12  seats in both Nellore and prakasham districts combined and majority of the seats in palnadu area

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

Sharmila ni pulka gallu tappa evadaina dekutunnada vayya

[JUST444FUN]

1 hour ago, Sam480 said:

yes bro she might grab atleast 1% ycp votes  from rayalseema region

YCP vote does not go anywhere . What ever she grabs it’s anti govt vote.

Jagan anti vote split between opposition like how it did it 2019

[Sucker]

1 hour ago, Sam480 said:

1) Sharmila denting some YCP votes in Rayalseema region

2)Took Nellore, Prakasham  and Palnadu. areas lightly, More specifically he should have accommodated vemireddy and his wife, he is now doing what ponguleti did to BRS in Khammam

YCP can win this election only if they can win atleast 12  seats in both Nellore and prakasham districts combined and majority of the seats in palnadu area

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

Shaemilakka ki vote vese vallu kuda vunnara anna. Anyway Ycheap assam light theesko anna 

[CoolGuy10]

Ycp is loosing badly

[pizzaaddict]

Evariki confidence ledhu ee elections 

Jagga meedha polavaram & roads negative ayitey undhi 

Welfare vs Negatives and edhi dominate chestado choodam 

[pizzaaddict]

Emi agenda leni opportunist tdp batch ,edhina cheptaru . Gelichaka who is shah , who is pk ani antaru and vallu light 

Tdp batch kooda welfare schemes and valla cover drives for welfare schemes : wealth generation antaru 

[andhra_jp]

11 hours ago, Sam480 said:

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

 

Who cares for Kamma(5% of A.P population) and Reddy(8% of A.P population) voters Bro when we know both combined are less than 15% of A.P population ?

[CanadianMalodu]

11 hours ago, Sam480 said:

1) Sharmila denting some YCP votes in Rayalseema region

2)Took Nellore, Prakasham  and Palnadu. areas lightly, More specifically he should have accommodated vemireddy and his wife, he is now doing what ponguleti did to BRS in Khammam

YCP can win this election only if they can win atleast 12  seats in both Nellore and prakasham districts combined and majority of the seats in palnadu area

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

Sharmila's impact is negligible at best. Any voter with common sense knows that she is not going to win anyway forget forming government. Why would anyone waste their vote on her, while her only talking point, is mudslinging her brother. 

Except for few constituencies both Reddies and Kammas don't have much influence on the electoral prospects. In a game of numbers it's always been Kapus, SCs , BCs and Moslems. In Andhra most of the Christians either are from SCs and some BCs with little presence in Reddies, Kammas, Kapus and Rajus and Brahmins but the numbers are far and few so not worth mentioning electorally speaking.

Jagan is likely to win at least 45 in Rayalseema + Nellore + prakaram conservatively and about 15-20 in erstwhile West and East Godavaris bringing the tally close to 60. Rest of all districts out together he can pull 35+. The only case he loses is when West and East give a complete sweep to Kootami. But that's unlikely the case. 

 

 

 

 

[Hinduism5]

3 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Sharmila's impact is negligible at best. Any voter with common sense knows that she is not going to win anyway forget forming government. Why would anyone waste their vote on her, while her only talking point, is mudslinging her brother. 

Except for few constituencies both Reddies and Kammas don't have much influence on the electoral prospects. In a game of numbers it's always been Kapus, SCs , BCs and Moslems. In Andhra most of the Christians either are from SCs and some BCs with little presence in Reddies, Kammas, Kapus and Rajus and Brahmins but the numbers are far and few so not worth mentioning electorally speaking.

Jagan is likely to win at least 45 in Rayalseema + Nellore conservatively and about 15-20 in erstwhile West and East Godavaris bringing the tally close to 60. Rest of all districts out together he can pull 35+. The only case he loses is when West and East give a complete sweep to Kootami. But that's unlikely the case. 

 

 

 

 

>Jagan is likely to win at least 45 in Rayalseema + Nellore conservatively

This is a big IF, nothing conservative about it

[CanadianMalodu]

15 minutes ago, Hinduism5 said:

>Jagan is likely to win at least 45 in Rayalseema + Nellore conservatively

This is a big IF, nothing conservative about it

Forgot to add prakaram in there fixed it. There is no 'if's. Jagan took 42 seats in 2014 election 67 seats in 2019 in the same region. He's likely to pull off 45 conservatively this time. It will boil down to EG &WG which decide his fate, where he took 27 seats last time and consolidated his majority. So, this time averaging at 15 seats will still secure him victory. But I think he may win up to 20-22 out of 34 here. 

[Teluguredu]

11 hours ago, Sam480 said:

1) Sharmila denting some YCP votes in Rayalseema region

2)Took Nellore, Prakasham  and Palnadu. areas lightly, More specifically he should have accommodated vemireddy and his wife, he is now doing what ponguleti did to BRS in Khammam

YCP can win this election only if they can win atleast 12  seats in both Nellore and prakasham districts combined and majority of the seats in palnadu area

3 )In 2019 around 75% of the kammas voted tdp and around 75 % of reddy's voted Ycp. But for 2024 90% of kammas will vote for tdp but only 2/3rd's of reddy's will vote for yscrp , he took the reddy vote for granted

 

Accomodating vemireddy means changing contestants to his will ,that won't happen with jagan.he isn't even a seasoned politician just some random businessman.at most he will provide additional funding ,as I said before ,TDP can only fight in Nellore if it has a wave going for it.jagan doesn't like people who dictate terms to him ,that's one of the reasons why jc family and many other senior leaders are not in ycp.jc divakar reddy openly raised his voice against CBN on stage,it will never happen with jagan.

Kamma and reddies have single digit voting ,reddy voting doesn't matter outside of rayalaseema/nellore and kamma voting doesn't matter outside of k g and W.G.These distrcits anyway would be giving majority of seats to a single party and are not tightly contested.