YSRCP vs TDP Win - Post Poll Reasons observed

[Undilaemanchikalam]

9 minutes ago, Naaperushiva said:

babu schemes kanna sagam ki sagam jagan self goals helped the cause kaka...

working class not happy with the development(roads bad) and too many freebies( even more than needed)

3 capitals ane term back fire ayyindhi okka place kooda kattalekapoyaadu

and valla leaders kooda chaala mandhi vaadi kompa munchaaru...Inka final dagger vacchi land titling act

BTW idhi naa abhiprayam maathrame 

 

Evaru enni anna, hard fact is AP lo ‘Kulam’ plays major role.

Reddy, SC, ST, Muslim, and Christian are major vote bank for YSRCP, which is 38.7% 

TDP was a BC party but over the decade it is losing its BC voter for example, Yadav, padmashali, and Gouds shifted towards Ysrcp. Which add 13.3% of vote share. YSRCP now has about 51% vote percentage.

rest of the voters vote for TDP which is 36%+ 13% of kapu’s. 
 

here is the winning factor. 
 

if Kapus are 100% voting to TDP+JSP then it’s a definite win, if not it is going to be a marginal win for YSRCP. 

Lesson for TDP: either they loose or win marginally. never loose your vote bank, it should clean up its image as a part of Kammas.. see below for Guntur and Krishna. Social polarization between YSRCP and TDP. 

https://www.eenadu.net/politics/ap-assembly-elections-candidates-list-2024/4

https://www.eenadu.net/politics/ap-assembly-elections-candidates-list-2024/713

reddy - 8.5% ,

Kamma - 8%,

Raju - 1.75 %,

Arya Vysa - 2.5%,

Brahmin - 2.25%

Kapu/Naidu - 4.5 % , Telaga - 2.5%, Balija Naidu - 3 % - Total OC Kapu 10% (Toatal Kapu population including BC Turpu Kapu is 13 %)

Hindu BC are 35% of population major castes among bc’s are

Yadav/Kuruba - 7%,

Settibalija/Goud - 3.25%,

Valmiki/Boya - 3%,

padmashali - 3%,

Turpu Kapu - 3%,

Velama ( In AP they come under BC) - 2.5% 

Agni kula kshtriya - 2.5%.

Rajaka/Chakalli/Dhobi - 2.25 %

viswakarma - - 2 %

vaddaraju/Vaddera - 1.75 %

All other bc castes have minor populations around 1 % or less of the population.

SC are around 17.2 % of population -( Around 80% are Converted christian but officailly listed as hindu)

Mala - 9.5 %,

Madiga - 7%

remaining percentage is other sc castes like relli, Adi dravida etc.

Religious minorities are officially 9.5 % of population

Muslim - 8.2 %

Christian - 2.5 %- ( The majority of SC’s in Coastal Andhra are Converted Christians but are officially listed as Hindus to be eligible for reservation benefits. So the real christian population is between 15 to 16%)

ST population 5.3 % and made up of bunch of different tribes like yerukala, Yanadi, Banjara, Konda dhora, Bagata, Koya etc. Of these the yanadi are the largest and makeup around 1.25 percentage of State population.