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Posted

Pillalni kanna vallu parigetthukuni velli Dr, cheppadu, cheppindhi ani reasonable thought ivvakunda soodhulu podipinchkandi. 

Give it a thought. For e.g. Hep B vaccine healthy mom unna pillalki why? They won't be sexually active for a long time. Appudu choosukovachu. Already near elimination, or very low prevalence lo unna infections ki why? 

Don't overburden your child's immune system. Tappadu podustha ante see if the ingredients of the vaccine. "Aluminium salts (hydroxide, Phosphate etc.)" ni vadinavi podipinchamakandi. 

  • Upvote 1
Posted
19 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:
 

Aak is pak pak is aak..... correlation of increase in vaccines overtime and increase in cases on autism. Yay! We found America. Flash news: Correlation ≠ Causation

Posted
25 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:
 

1 in 31 aa . It used be 1 among 1000 couple of decades back? Naku telsi next generation oche sariki 1 in every 10 kids ki unadi . last 7 years lo ne it went from 1 in 44 to 1 in 31. There is something serious going on 

As late as the early 1990s, only 1 in 10,000 children were diagnosed with autism. Around that time, the term became a shorthand for a group of milder, related conditions known as ″autism spectrum disorders,” and the number of kids labeled as having some form of autism began to balloon.

In the first decade of this century, the estimate rose to 1 in 150. In 2018, it was 1 in 44. In 2020, it was up to 1 in 36.

 
Posted
15 minutes ago, 11MohanRedddy said:

Aak is pak pak is aak..... correlation of increase in vaccines overtime and increase in cases on autism. Yay! We found America. Flash news: Correlation ≠ Causation

kE1pUeU.png

Huh? Correlation doesn't  mean causation. But it doesn't mean you rule out causation.

Here in this page the specific pathway is mapped.

There is a detailed data analysis consolidated from multiple studies both cross sectional and restrictive to identify the relative risk. You can't have a prospective study in cases like this especially when subjects are children. They simply can't consent to such trials, and even then the ethics factors doesn't allow a trial like that, because those conditions are almost irreversible.

 

Posted
4 minutes ago, Sam480 said:

1 in 31 aa . It used be 1 among 1000 couple of decades back? Naku telsi next generation oche sariki 1 in every 10 kids ki unadi . last 7 years lo ne it went from 1 in 44 to 1 in 31. There is something serious going on 

As late as the early 1990s, only 1 in 10,000 children were diagnosed with autism. Around that time, the term became a shorthand for a group of milder, related conditions known as ″autism spectrum disorders,” and the number of kids labeled as having some form of autism began to balloon.

In the first decade of this century, the estimate rose to 1 in 150. In 2018, it was 1 in 44. In 2020, it was up to 1 in 36.

 

The easiest way is NOT to overwhelm child's immune system. Don't cluster vaccines just because the vax schedule given say so. Be choosy about even what's being given. As I already said, infections with low prevalence and those with sexual transmission need to be given to children right away. These simple steps will remove "overburdening" immune system of a child. Stay from Vax with "Aluminium salt" based adjuvants.

Posted
4 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

kE1pUeU.png

Huh? Correlation doesn't  mean causation. But it doesn't mean you rule out causation.

Here in this page the specific pathway is mapped.

There is a detailed data analysis consolidated from multiple studies both cross sectional and restrictive to identify the relative risk. 

 

So reduced measles cases is causing lower marriage rate. 

corrCause4-1024x749.png

 

This is not how scientific research is conducted. If you want to prove that vaccination causes autism, you need to have a cohort that did not receive vaccination and the same number of cohort that receives vaccinations and prove that there is a higher rate of autism in the group that received vaccination. Whatever you posted is basically saying blah blah blah is saying aluminum adjuvants triggering cytokine cascade blah blah blah means nothing unless you do a study by giving with and without the adjuvant and show that rate of autism is different. So, no we are not going to solve autism by September as Kennedy oh so proudly declared. 

Posted

Yeah, too many vaccinations. growing up kids, vallaki anni vaccinations avasarama ? Naa degara emi scientific studies and conclusions emi levu kani at every stage, look at the list of vaccinations. Human Body tendency motham kill chesthe inkemi pani chestadi ? 

School enrollment ki compulsory vaccines kavalanata...at least choice aina iyandra ayya...

  • Upvote 1
Posted
15 minutes ago, 11MohanRedddy said:

So reduced measles cases is causing lower marriage rate. 

corrCause4-1024x749.png

 

This is not how scientific research is conducted. If you want to prove that vaccination causes autism, you need to have a cohort that did not receive vaccination and the same number of cohort that receives vaccinations and prove that there is a higher rate of autism in the group that received vaccination. Whatever you posted is basically saying blah blah blah is saying aluminum adjuvants triggering cytokine cascade blah blah blah means nothing unless you do a study by giving with and without the adjuvant and show that rate of autism is different. So, no we are not going to solve autism by September as Kennedy oh so proudly declared. 

I already wrote that part above. There are two issues if you want a prospective trial especially when your end point is the measure of ASD. One, the subject's consent, which you cannot get because of them being children. Second part being  Ethics. Because the end point (primary or surrogate) will cause irreparable damage, that won't be allowed. 

Now, when crunching data, prospective trial is not the only way. Cross sectional studies and retrospective data analysis will still account for the delta in number of subjects,  through normalization. 

In your trivial example of US marriage rate vs measles cases, neither of them have the same baseline. That alone will rule out any correlation and further dissection of that data, making it "null". This is when data are discarded for not  having any relationship. Whereas in here, the baseline is defined. 

 

Posted
2 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Cross sectional studies and retrospective data analysis will still account for the delta in number of subjects,  through normalization. 

In your trivial example of US marriage vs measles cases, neither of them have the same baseline. That alone will rule out any correlation and further dissection of that data, making it "null".

What is the baseline here? As we have more understanding of what autism is, we identified more cases of autism now than in the past. It doesn't mean autism is increasing. In fact autism is a spectrum enough that most people have some level of autism without even realizing it. 

  • Upvote 1
Posted

Correlation Does Not Imply Causation: 5 Real-World Examples


The phrase “correlation does not imply causation” is often used in statistics to point out that correlation between two variables does not necessarily mean that one variable causes the other to occur.

To better understand this phrase, consider the following real-world examples.

Example 1: Ice Cream Sales & Shark Attacks

If we collect data for monthly ice cream sales and monthly shark attacks around the United States each year, we would find that the two variables are highly correlated.

corrCause1.png

Does this mean that consuming ice cream causes shark attacks?

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