EB2 to EB3 downgrade gurinchi alochinche vallu - I140 inventory data here

[kichikamukavu]

5 hours ago, Iriswest said:

Guru garu the biggest unknown here is how much spillover will we get from the actual 140K this FY. If ROW demand is less who are concurrent filing then 2015 is more than possible in Oct 2021.

We can estimate using data from perm applications. And 140 applications

Perm data will give you number by country

But 140 applications will give you total .

By looking at those numbers it did not change anything from last quarter . So I am assuming at least 100k-120k will be used 

[salim]

5 minutes ago, dal123 said:

nee notloaa chakkera posthaanu raa naayanaa... nuvuu challa gaa vundaali..

2011, 2012 PD eb2 or eb3 pedda difference vundadhu vayya  

[kichikamukavu]

2 hours ago, LungiLingaraju said:

Uncles .. 2012 December wait or port .. I don’t want to clog eb3 ... 

Tough question . Wait untill Nov visa bulletin comes out usually it arrives on Oct 20 Worst case oct25 .

1 ) if it retrogress then apply in eb3 ( you have 5 to 10 days to apply. if money is not a concern then prepare your documentation as early as possible . )

2 if it does not retrogress you have 40 more days to decide .

 

[MDowellMurthy]

When this spillover come to eb2? My pd is mid 2012 not able to decide to downgrade or not.

[RunRaajaRun123]

2018 PD reading discussions like

[Iriswest]

42 minutes ago, k2s said:

unkul idi 09/2019 data no... one year old.. one year lo estimation Eb2 60k to 85k perigindi antava ?

old data aina no. of filings per year maaradu swamy. EB1 data kuda unto bagundedi until Sep2020.

[Iriswest]

1 hour ago, kichikamukavu said:

Those row usage Assumptions are wrong .if you look at perm filings they are lot this year .Spill over from FB also first applied to row . 

Anything that is not used by row will get to India . I am assuming eb3 will get about 10-15 k gc(includes family of principal) for India but eb2 will get a lot from eb1 and eb4 and eb5 . I am assuming about 40-60k. Best case eb3 and eb2 FAD will stay at 2012 .

Bro EB2 were all current except for China and India in September bulletin. So that spillover is fixed. EB3 and EB1 are little shaky as no one knows how much demand will be there this FY. As I said go with 10-15% variance.

 

1 hour ago, kichikamukavu said:

We can estimate using data from perm applications. And 140 applications

Perm data will give you number by country

But 140 applications will give you total .

By looking at those numbers it did not change anything from last quarter . So I am assuming at least 100k-120k will be used 

Perm Data pls

[kichikamukavu]

21 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Bro EB2 were all current except for China and India in September bulletin. So that spillover is fixed. EB3 and EB1 are little shaky as no one knows how much demand will be there this FY. As I said go with 10-15% variance.

 

Perm Data pls

Current does not mean they don't apply . It meas they are applying rate at which gc is always available . 

 

Prem data .

https://www.dol.gov/agencies/eta/foreign-labor/performance

Use disclosure data tab  . Data is available by year  in excel formate .

filters to use : status in certified and certified-expired . country of birth : other than India .

Check 2019 and current yr data . Perm and 140 will take 1-2 yrs to get approved . So 70-80% of labor approved in 2019 and 2020 will take gc number and multiplayer of 2.1 for family . 

 

[virtueOfMotion]

my pd is July 2012 and not sure I should wait or downgrade. Any educated suggestions are greatly appreciated.

[Sid_05]

7 hours ago, Iriswest said:

EB1 spillover might be little less than expected. So 10-15% variance in the final number possible. This calculation doesn’t count the FY2021 spillover from ROW yet. So  spillover from 140K is a big unknown right now.

China 7% and India 93% logic koncham explain cheyyi brother?

[beerboy17]

Bro na PD Aug 2013 EB2 . Downgrade cheyalo vada koncham suggestions ivandi ..

My employer gadu sodhi cheptunnadu he is saying till now in 10 yrs he didn't do downgrade and not sure how USCIS will 

adjudicate the case. He says the risks is mine in case the 140 - EB3 is rejected.

 

 

 

[mettastar]

2 hours ago, virtueOfMotion said:

my pd is July 2012 and not sure I should wait or downgrade. Any educated suggestions are greatly appreciated.

Downgrade

[Spartan]

1 hour ago, beerboy17 said:

Bro na PD Aug 2013 EB2 . Downgrade cheyalo vada koncham suggestions ivandi ..

My employer gadu sodhi cheptunnadu he is saying till now in 10 yrs he didn't do downgrade and not sure how USCIS will 

adjudicate the case. He says the risks is mine in case the 140 - EB3 is rejected.

 

EB2 revoke cheyakapote it will be valid in that case. if anything happens to downgrade.

[ARYA]

8 hours ago, Iriswest said:

Support your theory with evidence 

SalemFakus ignore them

[beerboy17]

Bhaiyaa oka doubt AOS interview apudu vadu EB2 nunchi EB3 enduku vellavu ani adigthey , appudu ela defend chestaru meeru ?