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Housing market good analysis..


Peruthopaniemundhi

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

Thokka...constructions are happening at record levels. Multi family supply will increase exponentially which will reduce rents and this will put pressure on home prices.

Population isn't increasing.

Lot of investor homes which they will dump when companies like Opendoor go bankrupt.

Layoffs are happening.

Return to office/layoffs leading to second jobs loss.

People took out debt and invested in stockmarket which is down now.

Chinese investors liquidating due to new rules.

Majority of homes are being held by senior citizens and they are moving to nursery homes since covid has gone back down.

Inka reasons kavala?

Loud aloo reasons most of them

new constructions record levels@3$%

multifamily supple rent decrease OK

Population not increasing— waiting population increasing @3$%

layoffs ok

investor dump no idea

debt for stocks ratio is 0.00001 of total population with mortgage houses@3$%

second job income tho house buying again 0.00000001 @3$%

chinese investors @3$%not everywhere — there concentration is specific in handful of cities

senior citizens bucket thanne vaallu kuda count cheppu@3$%

inka loud aaloo reasons cheppu comedy ki

 

 

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Dallas, Austin, Phoenix, Florida ilanti sun belt states and cities lo...... 25%-50% of Single family homes are  owned by institutional investors currently. 

This is also one of the main reasons for price rise and hype. up until 2018 back.....they mostly invested in apartments, multifamily units and commercial. 

 

 

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

Thokka...constructions are happening at record levels. Multi family supply will increase exponentially which will reduce rents and this will put pressure on home prices.

Population isn't increasing.

Lot of investor homes which they will dump when companies like Opendoor go bankrupt.

Layoffs are happening.

Return to office/layoffs leading to second jobs loss.

People took out debt and invested in stockmarket which is down now.

Chinese investors liquidating due to new rules.

Majority of homes are being held by senior citizens and they are moving to nursery homes since covid has gone back down.

Inka reasons kavala?

Bro, aae vuuru  manadhi, Adavi loo vuntunnava??Krishna Rama ani bhatukutunnava? Come out and see the trending pulse in each community in decent areas from last 2 months. Builders are selling/releasing 8-10 lot’s every month and they are going like hot cakes. Record level loo Construction jarigina it won’t meet the current demand atleast for the next few years. Population nuvvu aaputhunnava?? Why it won’t go up?? There are record number of buyers who are waiting in lines for buying a home. They are just waiting for any incentives , not at all worried with the interest rates. Old Thinking and Old School rules do not apply for these kind of new buyers!! Life is short, just chill and enjoy is the goal.

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

I have seen this 100s of times.

People get excited on a dead cat bounce.....bunch of bakras.

Long term trend from here is down.

People are still in the mindset of easy money during low interest rates, it takes couple years for the effect to wear off.

 

Population is decreasing.....average age of American and fertility rate google cheyyi. People are not getting married, not having kids....it's a big hassle now. US, Europe,China,Japan and Korea are in this crisis now if you are living under a rock.

 

Also urbanization rate is pretty low now in USA as rural America is almost empty. Immigration won’t get fixed.....where will homebuyers come from in future.

 

This isn't Hyderabad for property values to keep going up. Don't apply that thinking here.

India still has growing population, want bigger houses, has high urbanization rates, decent fertility rates etc....this was US 20-30 years back.

 

Update avvandi...smartphone use chestuu inka thinking 1990s laga unte etla bhai.

Finally couple of valid points — jaya hoo — 

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

I have seen this 100s of times.

People get excited on a dead cat bounce.....bunch of bakras.

Long term trend from here is down.

People are still in the mindset of easy money during low interest rates, it takes couple years for the effect to wear off.

 

Population is decreasing.....average age of American and fertility rate google cheyyi. People are not getting married, not having kids....it's a big hassle now. US, Europe,China,Japan and Korea are in this crisis now if you are living under a rock.

 

Also urbanization rate is pretty low now in USA as rural America is almost empty. Immigration won’t get fixed.....where will homebuyers come from in future.

 

This isn't Hyderabad for property values to keep going up. Don't apply that thinking here.

India still has growing population, want bigger houses, has high urbanization rates, decent fertility rates etc....this was US 20-30 years back.

 

Update avvandi...smartphone use chestuu inka thinking 1990s laga unte etla bhai.

Nu cheppinavi very valid points but eeh angles lo that too intha deep ga enta mandi think chestaru ?. Repu oka builder lots available ana gaane poloo mani potaru. Ppl need properties not looking to understand dynamics or logics . Urbanization meaning kooda telvad masth mandiki....

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

I have seen this 100s of times.

People get excited on a dead cat bounce.....bunch of bakras.

Long term trend from here is down.

People are still in the mindset of easy money during low interest rates, it takes couple years for the effect to wear off.

 

Population is decreasing.....average age of American and fertility rate google cheyyi. People are not getting married, not having kids....it's a big hassle now. US, Europe,China,Japan and Korea are in this crisis now if you are living under a rock.

 

Also urbanization rate is pretty low now in USA as rural America is almost empty. Immigration won’t get fixed.....where will homebuyers come from in future.

 

This isn't Hyderabad for property values to keep going up. Don't apply that thinking here.

India still has growing population, want bigger houses, has high urbanization rates, decent fertility rates etc....this was US 20-30 years back.

 

Update avvandi...smartphone use chestuu inka thinking 1990s laga unte etla bhai.

Bhayya, let’s talk about ‘Population decline’ as you are concerned more about that. America itself is called a country of Immigrants. Immigration will mainly drive the population growth currently or going forward.  In this aspect, Immigration policies will play a huge role if it comes to that extent. Currently US is still the 3rd largest populated country and it remains the same as 50 years back if you look at the stats below. Now coming back to where the population is declining in America, Its declining only in Midwest and North East, not in the south and west, So it depends on where most of the buyers are buying currently. 

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1 minute ago, Bears said:

Bhayya, let’s talk about ‘Population decline’ as you are concerned more about that. America itself is called a country of Immigrants. Immigration will mainly drive the population growth currently or going forward.  In this aspect, Immigration policies will play a huge role if it comes to that extent. Currently US is still the 3rd largest populated country and it remains the same as 50 years back if you look at the stats below. Now coming back to where the population is declining in America, Its declining only in Midwest and North East, not in the south and west, So it depends on where most of the buyers are buying currently. 

By 2100, five of the world’s 10 largest countries are projected to be in Africa

FT_19.07.05_WorldPopulation-1.png?w=640

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1 hour ago, krishnaaa said:

I have seen this 100s of times.

People get excited on a dead cat bounce.....bunch of bakras.

Long term trend from here is down.

People are still in the mindset of easy money during low interest rates, it takes couple years for the effect to wear off.

 

Population is decreasing.....average age of American and fertility rate google cheyyi. People are not getting married, not having kids....it's a big hassle now. US, Europe,China,Japan and Korea are in this crisis now if you are living under a rock.

 

Also urbanization rate is pretty low now in USA as rural America is almost empty. Immigration won’t get fixed.....where will homebuyers come from in future.

 

This isn't Hyderabad for property values to keep going up. Don't apply that thinking here.

India still has growing population, want bigger houses, has high urbanization rates, decent fertility rates etc....this was US 20-30 years back.

 

Update avvandi...smartphone use chestuu inka thinking 1990s laga unte etla bhai.

Also look at this:

 

https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/us-intends-to-issue-100-000-visas-every-month-to-indian-applicants-122111001259_1.html

 

US intends to issue 100,000 visas every month to Indian applicants

 
 
So, mana gorrelu digutane untau. Illu kontoone untaru. Immigration fix chese thought ledu just keep importing desi gorrelu to keep the housing economy up and running. 
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53 minutes ago, *Prince Charming said:

Nu cheppinavi very valid points but eeh angles lo that too intha deep ga enta mandi think chestaru ?. Repu oka builder lots available ana gaane poloo mani potaru. Ppl need properties not looking to understand dynamics or logics . Urbanization meaning kooda telvad masth mandiki....

Agree....and they will get burnt. If we follow that sheep, we will end up like them as well.

I am just trying to spread awareness.

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50 minutes ago, *Prince Charming said:

Also look at this:

 

https://www.business-standard.com/article/current-affairs/us-intends-to-issue-100-000-visas-every-month-to-indian-applicants-122111001259_1.html

 

US intends to issue 100,000 visas every month to Indian applicants

 
 
So, mana gorrelu digutane untau. Illu kontoone untaru. Immigration fix chese thought ledu just keep importing desi gorrelu to keep the housing economy up and running. 

Housing cannot sustain too long just on Visa immigration.

One main point you are missing is that you are thinking India will remain the same in future as well.

India will keep on improving and people no longer need to go to US with visa hassles.

With EVs pollution will go down and amount spent on importing crude will reduce. We will have better infra. Already salaries have improved quite a bit.

IMHO, only fools would buy real estate in a declining country like US with such high cost. Smart people would invest in India.

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