Telangana Elections

[Jinthatha_Rajshekar]

31 minutes ago, manadonga said:

Yes like madhu yashki goud 

i am surprised why bjp is loosing in tg intentionally

Because they know they can't win and if they dont support BRS the vote share will go to Congress. It will never come to BJP. Rem Congress has lot of local leaders and aspirants and BJP dont have such leaders in TG.

[Jinthatha_Rajshekar]

37 minutes ago, venkappa said:

I want BRS to lose but unfortunately Congress is making poor candidate selection. 

Congress will keep having dogfights until last minute. TG congress is a virus infected zone. Very very ugly morale in in the leadership.

[manadonga]

14 minutes ago, Jinthatha_Rajshekar said:

Congress will keep having dogfights until last minute. TG congress is a virus infected zone. Very very ugly morale in in the leadership.

Congress used to liek that still they won 1989. And 2014 

 

[dealmaster]

1 hour ago, veerigadu said:

Dhora will win. Between 65-70 vasthayiii. Congress oka 35-45 range lo untadhiii anukuntunna…

Whoever wins other party ll become empty .

[Jinthatha_Rajshekar]

9 minutes ago, manadonga said:

Congress used to liek that still they won 1989. And 2014 

 

Miracles dont happen all the time. Its ok they wish. But in reality. What they got to offer? Are people so dumb not to know the difference between organized leadership/party vs unorganized? Things changed a lot and even KA congress situation is playing out very bad thats why they are not bringing up that victory in election campaigns. Rem. during initial days TG congress spoke about KA cong victory a lot. So you are right. Miracle may happen but logically there is no chance. Unfortuantely TG has to be stuck with BRS.

[Raja_Returns]

E one month mistakes lekunda ipudunna flow continue chesthe congi win ayye chance undi ani ninna BRS & BJP & MIM party laki veerabhimani ayena ma roommate gadu antunde 

ame avuddo mari.

[cool_boy]

Congi rakapoyena parvaledu

bjp migatha party mla’s ni patti gov form chesina okay gani brs how le gallu ayete win avoddhu

[Jinthatha_Rajshekar]

7 minutes ago, cool_boy said:

Congi rakapoyena parvaledu

bjp migatha party mla’s ni patti gov form chesina okay gani brs how le gallu ayete win avoddhu

understand ur frustration. But its not possible. unless BJP and Congress form alliance.  LOL!!!

[venkappa]

1 hour ago, manadonga said:

Congress used to liek that still they won 1989. And 2014 

 

Congress had lots of strong leaders back in 1989 who could attract votes in their own region. Like Chenna, Janardhan, Kotla, YSR, Jalagam, etc. 

Who does TG Congress have? Revanth might be a net loss in votes because of his attitude. Mallu Bhatti seems good but TG Congress nayakulu wont tolerate a low caste as CM.

[hyperbole]

Congress first list and second list choosi pakka win ayye okka 10 seats ikkada eyyandi, taruvata discuss cheddamu (pakka ante >10% margin tho win ayye seats), 20 tickets 2 months mundu join ayyinavallaku ichindru, ee 20 seats aaya ram gaya ram gallu and local cadre lite tesukuntaru (BRS is capable enough to leverage the situation), 2-4 communists, okka 5-10 recommendation seats (like Pawan Khera gani wife, half ticket mynampalli gadu etc), 7 MIM, 20-25 BRS strongholds, 3-5 BJP strongholds, hence  tough fight ichevi okka 50 seats untayi motham kalipi. That said Congress may fare better in SC/ST reserved constituencies than general.

Coming to BJP, the stronger BJP is, is good for BRS and not the other way round, if opposition vote consolidates in one opposition party BRS has more losing chances in some seats than winning. That’s what had happened in bi-elections, GHMC, opposition votes consolidated in BJP as congress was a no show. To begin with, BJP was never in the fray as it lacked rural vote bank and it’s only chance was if the heavy weights from congress and BRS joined them, their growth was momentum driven from dubbaka and then GHMC and then huzurabad and tried to take that momentum to the next level with bi-election in Munugode but they fell flat on their face, with congress winning in KA and them losing in KA and munugodu all their hopes fizzed out and then it created a leadership crisis locally. But BJP is one party where they try to make the most of the worst situation, If you observe the statements made by BJP esp Modi in his last visit “KCR tried to be part of the NDA government”, that statement is basically to drive away the minority voters away from BRS into Congress faction, why does he want to help out Congress? he has no special love for congress but for the fact he knows BRS is coming back and he wanted to create a level playing field by tilting the balance of power even if there will be a remote  chance where KCR might need BJP support. BJP will decide the fortune of 15-20 seats who will win or lose in a 3 way contest, a 3-5% vote transfer will impact BRS. BJP giving an indication that it will give Jena Sena a dozen seats is a clear indication of that.

In Telangana there is a pro BRS/KCR vote and anti KCR vote, with 45% vote share for BRS(in all elections happened over the course of last 8 years) and then about same percentage of anti KCR vote shared among major opposition parties and remaining 5-10% floating among other parties , anti KCR vote is shared between both national parties, those voters sway between these parties and there is no political ideology between congress and BJP voters in Telangana (except 3-5% BJP kattar voters) and their only agenda is bring KCR down, it is proven in general elections, bi-elections, GHMC anti KCR vote can consolidate. Last time 67 seats lo BRS ki more than 50% votes vachinayi . So 52-54 seats BRS can manage at any cost and that is what is required to form the government in the worst case scenario.

my prediction is BRS 75-85. INC 25-35, BJP 3-7, MIM 6-7

Meanwhile congress never got more than 33% vote share or won more than 50 seats in the last 40 years(even during peak YSR charisma), given the circumstances winning more than 50 seats is next to impossible task against a pro welfare and a strong incumbent government.

 

[cool_boy]

4 hours ago, Jinthatha_Rajshekar said:

understand ur frustration. But its not possible. unless BJP and Congress form alliance.  LOL!!!

Na frustration Sare power lo 10years undi ame pekado chepakunda inka tg & andhra ani chepe vadilo neku ame nachindo

[MysoreJackson]

2 hours ago, hyperbole said:

Congress first list and second list choosi pakka win ayye okka 10 seats ikkada eyyandi, taruvata discuss cheddamu (pakka ante >10% margin tho win ayye seats), 20 tickets 2 months mundu join ayyinavallaku ichindru, ee 20 seats aaya ram gaya ram gallu and local cadre lite tesukuntaru (BRS is capable enough to leverage the situation), 2-4 communists, okka 5-10 recommendation seats (like Pawan Khera gani wife, half ticket mynampalli gadu etc), 7 MIM,   tough fight ichevi okka 50 seats untayi motham kalipi 

Stronger BJP is good for BRS and not the other way round, if opposition vote consolidates in one opposition party, BRS has more losing chances in some seats than winning. That’s what had happened in bi-elections, GHMC, opposition votes consolidated in BJP as congress was a no show or people lost confidence in Congress during those elections.

In Telangana there is a pro BRS/KCR vote and anti KCR vote, anti KCR vote is shared between both national parties, those voters sway between these parties and there is no political ideology between congress and BJP(except 5% kattar voters) voters in Telangana and their only agenda is bring KCR down, it is proven in general elections, bi-elections, GHMC anti KCR vote can consolidate. Last time 60 seats lo BRS ki more than 50% votes vachinayi . So 52-54 seats BRS can manage at any cost and that is what is required to form the government in the worst case scenario.

my prediction is BRS 75-85. INC 25-35, BJP 3-7, MIM 6-7

Meanwhile congress never got more than 33% vote share or won more than 50 seats in the last 40 years(even during peak YSR charisma)

Good analysis …. 

[Android_Halwa]

Enduko ie sari muslim voters flip avutaremo anipistundi….

[jalsa01]

My mind says brs will with 60-70 seats but local lo evarni touch chesina congress antunnaru.. most of my batch r it batch

[Sam480]

4 hours ago, jalsa01 said:

My mind says brs will with 60-70 seats but local lo evarni touch chesina congress antunnaru.. most of my batch r it batch

This is true. most of my friends who worked for TRS Last election and wanted bjp to win last year now shifted to congress. people below 35 years age mostly against BRS