***** TG elections on Dec-7******

[CricPokChic]

2 minutes ago, tables said:

no senior leader this time can go and campaign for others... trs kuda strong players ne field chesindi... komati, dk aruna, revant, jana, uttam - veelake chala tough fight untadi.

TRS sitting valalne pettindiga malli mostly..and last time KCR hype ekkuva undesariki gelisaru ...chala amndiki valla local MLA evaro kuda teliyadu...just car symbol ki guddaru ....isari ala jaragadu ani na peeling....

[reality]

7 minutes ago, CricPokChic said:

cool but mahakutami vallu gattiga pracharam cheste will the equation change?

rahul campaigning and sabhalu

sonia campaigning

CBN campaigning

revanth reddy speeches

all senior congress leaders spending huge

Gaddar to contest in gajwal

kodandaram Telangana battles 

osmania students 

bandla intense comedy

 

 

Cheppanu kada...hardcore base...Rahul...Lallu unkul ...Jaya aunty...evaru em peekaleru...

But, Bandla gadi intense comedy may turn the tables... 😏 

[tables]

1 minute ago, CricPokChic said:

TRS sitting valalne pettindiga malli mostly..and last time KCR hype ekkuva undesariki gelisaru ...chala amndiki valla local MLA evaro kuda teliyadu...just car symbol ki guddaru ....isari ala jaragadu ani na peeling....

except for siddipet,sircilla and MIM 7 seats , no other seat is one sided. 

[Paidithalli]

53 minutes ago, tables said:

except for siddipet,sircilla and MIM 7 seats , no other seat is one sided. 

no.. huzurabad , korutla, choppadhandi one sided.. kukka ni nilabettina trs e gelusthadhi. 

[Paidithalli]

TRS ki one sided unnavi easy ga oka 20-30 untayi.. etu povu aa seats

[CricPokChic]

4 minutes ago, Paidithalli said:

no.. huzurabad , korutla, choppadhandi one sided.. kukka ni nilabettina trs e gelusthadhi. 

evaru TRS  candidates andulo??

[saregamapa]

TRS esari easy ga 65 to 75 gelustadi anukuntuna..

2014 lo state bifurcate ayindi anna kopam tho settlers TDP ki vesaru , kani esari situation ala untadu anukuntuna , Hyderabad lo kuda TRS 2 to 3 seats gelavochu..

[tables]

13 minutes ago, saregamapa said:

TRS esari easy ga 65 to 75 gelustadi anukuntuna..

2014 lo state bifurcate ayindi anna kopam tho settlers TDP ki vesaru , kani esari situation ala untadu anukuntuna , Hyderabad lo kuda TRS 2 to 3 seats gelavochu..

naakenduko ee sari maheshwaram, rajendranagar tappa GHMC lo anni TRS +MIM sweep chestadi anukuntunna .

[saregamapa]

1 minute ago, tables said:

naakenduko ee sari maheshwaram, rajendranagar tappa GHMC lo anni TRS +MIM sweep chestadi anukuntunna .

maheshwaram sabitha ki echaru adi pakka gelusthadi , rajendra nagar inka evariki confirm cheyaledu anukunta.

may be sweep cheyakuna majority seats ravochu , last time full majority tho gelichina valu andaru TRS lone unnaru epudu and TRS meda ekuva negativity ledu public lo.

[reality]

2 minutes ago, saregamapa said:

maheshwaram sabitha ki echaru adi pakka gelusthadi , rajendra nagar inka evariki confirm cheyaledu anukunta.

may be sweep cheyakuna majority seats ravochu , last time full majority tho gelichina valu andaru TRS lone unnaru epudu and TRS meda ekuva negativity ledu public lo.

🤓repost

2 hours ago, reality said:

TRS - 70 to 81 SEATS 

If you look at 2014 results, thats pure hardcore TRS voter base which got them 63 seats. Look at the majority margins, more than 85% of those are won with above 10,000 majority (unlike Congi or TDP seats). Many of them are with above 30,000 votes (Harish Rao 97,000).

Here is my calculation:

1. TRS Hardcore Base: 63 Seats

2. TRS has done nothing too bad to hurt majority of hardcore base, if even something is there, lets say -3 seats. (63-3)

3. Factors impacting results in remaining 56 seats as follows:

a. Neutrals to TRS conversion: +15%

b. Overall anti-incumbency: -4%

c. Vote conversion due to alliance: -3%

So here is the formuala:

(63-3) + 119* (15-4-3)%

= 60+119*8%

= 69.52

~ 70 Seats

If it performs well in Hyderabad (based on ghmc results) and Kammam, Mahabubnagar and Nalgonda.., it will fetch another 10 seats. So ~ 80 Seats.

Conclusion: TRS range 70-81 seats.

 

[saregamapa]

TRS max 75 daniki minchi cross avadu anukunta bhayya.. 

[CricPokChic]

40 minutes ago, saregamapa said:

TRS esari easy ga 65 to 75 gelustadi anukuntuna..

2014 lo state bifurcate ayindi anna kopam tho settlers TDP ki vesaru , kani esari situation ala untadu anukuntuna , Hyderabad lo kuda TRS 2 to 3 seats gelavochu..

TRS em chesindi ani vestaru ....last time KCR valla bifurcate ayyindananna hype lo guddaru telangana lo mottam...isari situation different kada....

[CricPokChic]

25 minutes ago, saregamapa said:

maheshwaram sabitha ki echaru adi pakka gelusthadi , rajendra nagar inka evariki confirm cheyaledu anukunta.

may be sweep cheyakuna majority seats ravochu , last time full majority tho gelichina valu andaru TRS lone unnaru epudu and TRS meda ekuva negativity ledu public lo.

public lo bane negativity undi kada isari.....

[saregamapa]

1 minute ago, CricPokChic said:

public lo bane negativity undi kada isari.....

i dont think so , vadu prathi middle class and lowe middle calss family ne touch chesadu with his scheme like raithu bandhu , KCR kit , mission bhageeratha, kalyana lakshmi.

max middle class people edo oka rakanga benifit ponaru from govt.

YSR gadu unnapudu kuda ede chesadu pranthi intiki cylinder prices thaginchi anduke apudu vadu malli gelichadu.

[saregamapa]

7 minutes ago, CricPokChic said:

TRS em chesindi ani vestaru ....last time KCR valla bifurcate ayyindananna hype lo guddaru telangana lo mottam...isari situation different kada....

vadu emi chjeyaledu kani nastam kuda cheyaledu edo oka benifit pondaru public like govt employees ki salary, pensions for old age.