Naidu can't bring TDP to power: Kesineni

[Android_Halwa]

35 minutes ago, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

Those Christian/SC and Reddies votes were already there in 2019 when they got 50% vote share. Maximum schemes ki kuda beneficiaries SC valley. TDP ki 40% and JSP ki 5%. 2.5% shift is enough to lose popular vote if TDP and JSP combines which may translate to more than 50% of MLA seats with strategic contesting. I've met people regretting their vote but not the other way around. 

40%+5%=45%
 

Inkoka 2.5% swing aithe TDP power loki vachestundi. Numbers tell everything..but logic anedi kuda okati vuntadi. 

But the fact 5% kosam TDP’s 40% is at stake. SC/ST’s who have voted for TDP may not vote for TDP this time. If the enimity between SC/ST’s and Kapus intensify, Polarisation happens and favours YCP. Ie vishayalu kuda kastha consider cheyali kada…

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

5 minutes ago, Captain_nd_Coke said:

As usual, godzillas ppl will decide who it is gonna be, for me, it sure is jagga with 120+ for sure unless he makes a terrible mistake but don't think he is going to be. 

GodZilla is as good as gone for ysrcp. Ambekar Konaseema controversy appudu it's not just  Kapus or BCs who protested but every non SC caste including Reddies. Jaggireddy, a very popular MLA had to leave for Vijayawada when a video came out with him doing palu abhishekam to an Ambekar statue. Poni SC vote bank secure ante tarvata penta ayindi between some SCs and a Reddy restaurant owner where they put an atrocity case on him for a petty reason and they in turn put 16 of them in prison under anti communal laws which went viral as well.

West Godavari lo RRR was the main funder who turned a rebel now. Rajus ekkuva akkada and caste feeling kuda ekkuvey with Prabhas and Alluri flexis everywhere, chala messy aypendi situation with both RRR and YSRCP losing a lot of supporters

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

14 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

40%+5%=45%
 

Inkoka 2.5% swing aithe TDP power loki vachestundi. Numbers tell everything..but logic anedi kuda okati vuntadi. 

But the fact 5% kosam TDP’s 40% is at stake. SC/ST’s who have voted for TDP may not vote for TDP this time. If the enimity between SC/ST’s and Kapus intensify, Polarisation happens and favours YCP. Ie vishayalu kuda kastha consider cheyali kada…

SC/ST nunchi TDP antaga padavu. Most of them have converted. There will be people crossing over from one side to another but IMO 2.5%+ more people switching from YSRCP seems likely going by the local talk. A lot of people both fans and haters still thibk YSRCP will come again which may be true but "ne local constituency lo evaru win avtaru" ani adgute, they're saying "not this MLA again" 

[Android_Halwa]

10 minutes ago, Trump_is_a_moron9 said:

SC/ST nunchi TDP antaga padavu. Most of them have converted. There will be people crossing over from one side to another but IMO 2.5%+ more people switching from YSRCP seems likely going by the local talk. A lot of people both fans and haters still thibk YSRCP will come again which may be true but "ne local constituency lo evaru win avtaru" ani adgute, they're saying "not this MLA again" 

Of all the reasons, main factor is the case compatibility. Kapu unity entha strong aithe polarization anthe ekuvaga vuntadi. 
 

Konaseema dist example ga teesuko. Do you think SC/ST’s will vote for JSP/TDP combination ? 

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

10 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

Of all the reasons, main factor is the case compatibility. Kapu unity entha strong aithe polarization anthe ekuvaga vuntadi. 
 

Konaseema dist example ga teesuko. Do you think SC/ST’s will vote for JSP/TDP combination ? 

Vallu 2019 lo kuda vote veyyaledu Kada bro so no swing there. GodZillas lo almost all SCs are all converted many years back. Ante it's not exactly as simple as that, they have some infighting just like Kapus but the overall trend can be generalised. If TDP and JSP fight separately, it's over for both. If they join, they'll synergize because they have a lot of common vote bank (kapus). BCs vs Kapus kuda undi but against SCs, they ll team up again. There are so many dynamics going on but it can be simplified to some extent. Reddies lo kuda dissatisfaction is high for some reasons like contractors getting screwed. It doesn't mean they'll vote TDP but some of them may not bother to vote. Overall chuste, I think YSRCP will lose a lot of ground but not sure if they will lose overall