Don't worry EB2 2015 folks

[no01]

20 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said:

They have approved 13456 for FB at consulates for June 2022.

That means total ga 119228 aaprove chesaru until June 2022 varaki.

Let calculate now .

119228 - 226000 by DOS  = 106772

FB ki USCIS ( DOS and USCIS seperate ga issue chethayi )  lo 20K varaku estharu every year and they are on track as well so = 106772 - 20,000 = 86772

June tarvatha migilindi 3 months at consulates for DOS and USCIS max 20K ne so just calculate at consulates.

As per trend and based on last years data I mean pre covid last Q lo baagne estharu DOS vaallu so lat 3 months lo oka 14k vesukundham every month ki that means total 42K estharu

 

86772-42000 = 44,772  Spillover ?

 

may be...ade annaru kada paina video lo. Spillover could be between 40K - 75K...it all depends how fast they process next 3 months.....entha fast ga chesina, around 40K varaku spill avvochu and most likely this will be the case anukunta.

Congress nundi baaga push antunnaru kada so may be baane speed up chestharu inka....oka 50K+ ala unte bagundedhi..chudam em avthundo

[BacklogBadham]

Just now, no01 said:

may be...ade annaru kada paina video lo. Spillover could be between 40K - 75K...it all depends how fast they process next 3 months.....entha fast ga chesina, around 40K varaku spill avvochu and most likely this will be the case anukunta.

Congress nundi baaga push antunnaru kada so may be baane speed up chestharu inka....oka 50K+ ala unte bagundedhi..chudam em avthundo

We need to see USCIS FB based approvals. Some saying morethan 20K undochu ani but no one have any data. Adi ekkuva unte nuber will be low and usually DOS vallu last 3 months min 45k estharu beacuse they will get an idea by that time country caps etc. Will see. I am expecting 44K in best case 30K in worst case.

[argadorn]

Don’t worry aney word chusthene enka worry avvali anipidthundhi … please change the title … adhi rakapothay enka worry avvali 

[familyman]

Last year eb2 ki enni GCs icharo ela telustundi ?

[KothaKurrodu]

Feb 2015 ravocha next bulletin lo or ayleast by october

[familyman]

On 7/9/2022 at 2:00 PM, BacklogBadham said:

Don't read it too much. It will mess up your daily routine. Always be in reality and enjoy daily routine life. Do not drag yourself into GC mess up. Avasaram ayyithe thappa do not join in telegram and trackitt. It will take you into big disappointment. My analysis and advice. You can ignore it as well. 

1. As per USCIS Q&A 2022 May 31 varaku 150K EB GC's issues so they are on track to utilize all available numbers. After May 31st ante enkoka 4 months undi e FY ki. Worst case lo ayyina 1230-130K easy ga target kodatharu. Last year last quarter lo 100K kottaru. So no worries e year kuda min 100K ekkadiki podhu. 

So 150+120 vesukunna easy ga 270K ante almost Anni use chrsinattte. 

 

2. Consulates lo speed thaggindhi both FB and EB approval lo. Max 12K kuda approve cheyyalekapothunnaru. Expecting spillover 60-80K. Adi just minimum. 

 

3. Sep kuda EB2 inch kuda move avvadu. Enduku ante enough application vunnai so they won't move further e FY .

 

Ee 3 points meedha naa analysis. 

1. EB2 will move very fast at least will clear 2015 by end of 2023. Don't expect miracles immediately dudes like Oct 2022 Ala. They will calculate spillover and other aspects like ROW demand until Feb. Just look at this year pattern & you will have an idea. 

2. Oct lo move avvochu avvakapovachu because they won't get good inventory until Jan and Feb so Oct lo move avvaledu enka avvadhu ani disappointment ki asale povadhu especially 2015 EB2 folks just wait 2023 motham ayye varaku. You will get your turn after Q2. 

3. EB3 kuda Manchi movement untundhi pakka since consulates lo not issuing many EB visas so Avanni spill avvuthayi. Dhani Kosam kuda wait until Q2 anthe Kani 1 or 2 months move avvaledu ani lolli aapandi. 

4. EB1 is current so Spillover ye konchem vachina e year Nundi EB2I will get most for sure ga. Nobody got any idea entha vasthayi anedi including visa lekka lu vese saaru ki kuda no idea until he sees inventory and spill from FB. So stop panic avvatam. 

5.  Last and most imp every day e rochu Gola aapesi please concentrate on skills and family. 35 plus lo GC vasthe chesehem ledu best example nene. Andariki vasthadi but late avochu. This is pure luck anthe kaani kaaya kashtam chesthe echedhi kaadu that means dates move ayyithe apply chesi circus chudatame. Example nene. 2012 current avvagane apply chesa did nothing and followed nothing. Adhe vachindi 3 months lo. Enkoka co employer same 2012 did humgama like trackitt telegram groups calling agents etc. What he got ? Depression. So neneu cheppedhi just dates vachaka apply cheyyandi anthe kaani we do not special skills for approval. Best example downgrades and interfile batch. Naa opinion vaalle Sagam penta chesindi last year. USCIS entha thappundho manolladhi anthe thappundhi e mess up lo. Anyway 2015 EB2 folks get ready with docs. Monnati varaku dates rapid movement chusi hungama chesaru ninna Aug bulletin chusi lolli start chesaru country cap enka move avvadu 2015 new 2012 etc sollu. Go with the flow and and check your lottery. Anthe. 

Post konchem peddhadhe but depression ayyina vaallaki especially Mee hands lo leni dhaniki Meeku meere depression trigger point nokkukovatam chusi Vesa e post. Good luck all. 

 

Motham 2021 + 2022 kalipi oka 150k GCs ista how will it move beyond 2013. ?

[Iriswest]

@BacklogBadham

 

[BacklogBadham]

On 7/31/2022 at 12:34 AM, Iriswest said:

@BacklogBadham

 

I am here sis. What happened.

[Iriswest]

6 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said:

I am here sis. What happened.

Kompalu antukunnai ante em aindi antav? TG lo hadavidi chusava?

[BacklogBadham]

3 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

Kompalu antukunnai ante em aindi antav? TG lo hadavidi chusava?

Malli em pattukocharu manollu. Deleted TG groups. So news idea ledu. So what happened?

[BacklogBadham]

1 hour ago, Iriswest said:

Kompalu antukunnai ante em aindi antav? TG lo hadavidi chusava?

Send me those TG links. Will see sis

[perugu_vada]

15 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said:

Send me those TG links. Will see sis

we seriously need your komati setti lekkalu ..  .. 2014 dhaaka osthaay ani evo kodi lekkalu vesi cheppaav .. ani nigga dheesi aduguthunna @SUbba LIngam @Dippam @Spartan @Tofuuncles

[BacklogBadham]

4 hours ago, perugu_vada said:

we seriously need your komati setti lekkalu ..  .. 2014 dhaaka osthaay ani evo kodi lekkalu vesi cheppaav .. ani nigga dheesi aduguthunna @SUbba LIngam @Dippam @Spartan @Tofuuncles

haha nenu cheppedi emundi le bro alane vasthunnayi ga. Edaina ee hadavidi max next Q3 varake le. Tarvatha nuvvu nenu silent avvutham after 2015 batch ni IV gaadu edho oka bill cheppi dabbulu laaguthadu vallu ekkada lolli theddu vesi hungama chestharu edhigo thoka adhigo puli la. Malla pandemic lantidhi or desham munigipoye recession vasthe thappa aa dates move avvavu. Anyway manam ayyithe safe kada bro aa setti lekka lu veskoni

[beerboy17]

21 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said:

haha nenu cheppedi emundi le bro alane vasthunnayi ga. Edaina ee hadavidi max next Q3 varake le. Tarvatha nuvvu nenu silent avvutham after 2015 batch ni IV gaadu edho oka bill cheppi dabbulu laaguthadu vallu ekkada lolli theddu vesi hungama chestharu edhigo thoka adhigo puli la. Malla pandemic lantidhi or desham munigipoye recession vasthe thappa aa dates move avvavu. Anyway manam ayyithe safe kada bro aa setti lekka lu veskoni

Bro inka 2009 pattukoni kondaru kurchunnaru.. I doubt it can finish 2015 completely mid varaku best guess bro ..hope I am wrong 

[BacklogBadham]

7 minutes ago, beerboy17 said:

Bro inka 2009 pattukoni kondaru kurchunnaru.. I doubt it can finish 2015 completely mid varaku best guess bro ..hope I am wrong 

e 2 moths lo motham clear avvuthundi bro 2014 Dec varaku. No doubt in that.  SO lo 45K varaku ravachu . Let's see asalu ela calculate chestharo. Depends on many things bro.