Covid daily cases below 50,000 in India.

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

24 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Ippatiki test chesthunnaru isolate chesthunnaru aney chepthunna so adhi reason kaakpothey ento reason cheppamantunna endhuku thaggayi numbers ani anukuntunnavu ani . So adhi cheppadam manesi failed theory wrong approach antaavu enti. Just straight forward answer cheyi what is the reason for decrease in numbers?

When India hit 50,000 cases, about two and half months back...There were still lockdown rules and travel was suspended, business were shut, crowd control and lot of stingent rules to check gathering of people.

and we went from 50k to almost one lakh cases per day...inspite if having such rules in place. 
 

Right now, everything is opened up and no one following rules, public gatherings are as usual, places getting crowd as usual for the last month and cases are going down. How did it happen ?

It is what, per day 1 lakh people ni test chesi isolate chesinanduku ivala just 46,000 cases ae vachinaya ? Emi islolate saamy ? Evadu vunnadu isolation la ?

[tom bhayya]

6 minutes ago, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

When India hit 50,000 cases, about two and half months back...There were still lockdown rules and travel was suspended, business were shut, crowd control and lot of stingent rules to check gathering of people.

and we went from 50k to almost one lakh cases per day...inspite if having such rules in place. 
 

Right now, everything is opened up and no one following rules, public gatherings are as usual, places getting crowd as usual for the last month and cases are going down. How did it happen ?

It is what, per day 1 lakh people ni test chesi isolate chesinanduku ivala just 46,000 cases ae vachinaya ? Emi islolate saamy ? Evadu vunnadu isolation la ?

Follow healt bulletin from government right now in TG state 19 k people are in home isolation. Same is the case for every state. They haven’t stopped testing or sending people to isolation it helps breaking the spread chain that is the only way to suppress the virus right now. 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

12 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Follow healt bulletin from government right now in TG state 19 k people are in home isolation. Same is the case for every state. They haven’t stopped testing or sending people to isolation it helps breaking the spread chain that is the only way to suppress the virus right now. 

Hehe..

Enjaaayyy. but some insights...Might be helpful to you.

The number of positive test cases being detected form small part of the actual number. Say, about 3-5% of positive cases are being detected. 
 

Ante, for every positive test case...there could be at least 30-40 cases that are being undetected, I’m very generous and so I put up the number between 30-40. Actual number could be as high as 50.

Now coming to your claim, take the data of past 15 days as any case beyond it is not worth talking about.

Average ga 60k case ante, last 15 days lo 9 lakh cases were tested positive and home quarantined.

Now for 9 lakh cases, there might be at least 2-3 crore cases undetected. Now, Do you claim that because of these 9 lakh cases tested and isolated that numbers are coming down ? But the other 2-3 crore cases are pretty much doing everything that they used to be and quite normal and actively spreading...Mari ie vishayam emiti ?

Emi kaka ? Reality ki intha dooram ga vunte etla ? I think you start seriously to move to Telugu Pradesh where things appear far away from reality.

 

[tom bhayya]

Just now, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

Hehe..

Enjaaayyy. but some insights...Might be helpful to you.

The number of positive test cases being detected form small part of the actual number. Say, about 3-5% of positive cases are being detected. 
 

Ante, for every positive test case...there could be at least 30-40 cases that are being undetected, I’m very generous and so I put up the number between 30-40. Actual number could be as high as 50.

Now coming to your claim, take the data of past 15 days as any case beyond it is not worth talking about.

Average ga 60k case ante, last 15 days lo 9 lakh cases were tested positive and home quarantined.

Now for 9 lakh cases, there might be at least 2-3 crore cases undetected. Now, Do you claim that because of these 9 lakh cases tested and isolated that numbers are coming down ? But the other 2-3 crore cases are pretty much doing everything that they used to be and quite normal and actively spreading...Mari ie vishayam emiti ?

Emi kaka ? Reality ki intha dooram ga vunte etla ? I think you start seriously to move to Telugu Pradesh where things appear far away from reality.

 

Ok my theory is wrong first nundi okatey question asking , number thaggadaniki reason enti ani nuvvu anukuntunnavu? 

[tom bhayya]

7 minutes ago, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

Hehe..

Enjaaayyy. but some insights...Might be helpful to you.

The number of positive test cases being detected form small part of the actual number. Say, about 3-5% of positive cases are being detected. 
 

Ante, for every positive test case...there could be at least 30-40 cases that are being undetected, I’m very generous and so I put up the number between 30-40. Actual number could be as high as 50.

Now coming to your claim, take the data of past 15 days as any case beyond it is not worth talking about.

Average ga 60k case ante, last 15 days lo 9 lakh cases were tested positive and home quarantined.

Now for 9 lakh cases, there might be at least 2-3 crore cases undetected. Now, Do you claim that because of these 9 lakh cases tested and isolated that numbers are coming down ? But the other 2-3 crore cases are pretty much doing everything that they used to be and quite normal and actively spreading...Mari ie vishayam emiti ?

Emi kaka ? Reality ki intha dooram ga vunte etla ? I think you start seriously to move to Telugu Pradesh where things appear far away from reality.

 

Simple logic missing in your the more you test and isolate the undetected also will reduce you are breaking the chain and reducing the spread. Neeku aa chinna logic endhuku ardham avvadam ledhu emanna antey para paralu raasthaavu jntu exams ki raasinattu 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

50 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Ok my theory is wrong first nundi okatey question asking , number thaggadaniki reason enti ani nuvvu anukuntunnavu? 

1000’s of reasons..

First reason, just because the numbers are decreasing that does not mean Corona spread is slowing down. Numbers might speak a lot but in India, magnitude of numbers should be considered but not just numbers.

Second, more and more Indians are getting back to work and minor symptoms will not be visible and only major and severe symptoms people are getting tested, that too only a fraction of them and negligence towards Corona will be more in the days to come. It’s more like social discrimination now and very few will report especially in rural and tribal India, which constitute 80% of the population or about 90 crores.

Third main reason, Developing immunity in the rise, may be start of herd immunity. 

[tom bhayya]

2 minutes ago, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

1000’s of reasons..

First reason, just because the numbers are decreasing that does not mean Corona spread is slowing down. Numbers might speak a lot but in India, magnitude of numbers should be considered but not just numbers.

Second, more and more Indians are getting back to work and minor symptoms will not be visible and only major and severe symptoms people are getting tested, that too only a fraction of them and negligence towards Corona will be more in the days to come. It’s more like social discrimination now and very few will report especially in rural and tribal India, which constitute 80% of the population or about 90 crores.

Third main reason, Developing immunity in the rise, may be start of herd immunity. 

Very reasonable and scientific 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

48 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Simple logic missing in your the more you test and isolate the undetected also will reduce you are breaking the chain and reducing the spread. Neeku aa chinna logic endhuku ardham avvadam ledhu emanna antey para paralu raasthaavu jntu exams ki raasinattu 

Hehe ..nuvu nee Logic.

More you test and isolate the undetected uh? Detect ae kakapothey test edikelli sestav, etla isolate seataru vaa ?

Look at demographics man, 130 crore Indians ni test cheyanik enni rojulu padtadi ? 
 

What is this spreading logic and breaking the chain logic ? Picha funny ga vundi...how can you stop the spreading when it is already spread every where ?

almost an year into the pandemic and virus is every where....ipudu test chesi, trace chesi isolate chesi emi sestav vaa when it is spread every where ? 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

Just now, tom bhayya said:

Very reasonable and scientific 

Not at all scientific, not even logically correct...common observation based on Indian Demographics matrame

[tom bhayya]

3 minutes ago, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

Hehe ..nuvu nee Logic.

More you test and isolate the undetected uh? Detect ae kakapothey test edikelli sestav, etla isolate seataru vaa ?

Look at demographics man, 130 crore Indians ni test cheyanik enni rojulu padtadi ? 
 

What is this spreading logic and breaking the chain logic ? Picha funny ga vundi...how can you stop the spreading when it is already spread every where ?

almost an year into the pandemic and virus is every where....ipudu test chesi, trace chesi isolate chesi emi sestav vaa when it is spread every where ? 

Spreading logic enta? India lo puttindha virus? Test chesi vaadu inko 10 mandhi ki spread cheyakunda chesthavu its basic common sense. I am stupid and I already heard your reasonable and scientific reasoning 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

1 minute ago, tom bhayya said:

Spreading logic enta? India lo puttindha virus? Test chesi vaadu inko 10 mandhi ki spread cheyakunda chesthavu its basic common sense. I am stupid and I already heard your reasonable and scientific reasoning 

It has been spreading for an year and various surveys suggested that already 30-40% of the population has already been infected with Virus. It itself is a clear indication that Virus spread is massive and more and more reports suggest it is air borne, with another survey suggesting 50% of the population might get infected with Virus by Feb 2021. 50% ante almost 65 crores population. And you talk about testing for smaller set of people and say it’s effective in containing ?

What is that you want to stop the spread when it is spread every where ? 

[tom bhayya]

Just now, Pappu_Packitmaar said:

It has been spreading for an year and various surveys suggested that already 30-40% of the population has already been infected with Virus. It itself is a clear indication that Virus spread is massive and more and more reports suggest it is air borne, with another survey suggesting 50% of the population might get infected with Virus by Feb 2021. 50% ante almost 65 crores population. And you talk about testing for smaller set of people and say it’s effective in containing ?

What is that you want to stop the spread when it is spread every where ? 

Hey bhagavan then stop testing let it spread 100% why wasting time and resources people all over the world do you think they are all stupid???

[tom bhayya]

There is no point I arguing anymore, god bless everyone 

[Pappu_Packitmaar]

4 minutes ago, tom bhayya said:

Hey bhagavan then stop testing let it spread 100% why wasting time and resources people all over the world do you think they are all stupid???

Nuv chepedi etlundi ante, chatak bata thoti quintal odlu kolisetattu vundi...

Comimg to stupid, yeah some what..! Wait for another 6month-year, you will see more and more such acts, can be termed on or with being a stupid.

Let it spread 100% endi, test chesthe spread taggutadi anedi .....