చాపకింద నీరులా ప్రచ్ఛన్న యుద్ధం…

[dasari4kntr]

34 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

Some obvious consequences which Russia/Putin is well aware of before starting this special military operations.

1. Western financial sanctions and blocking Russia from world trade.
2. Embargo on Oil trade, Sanctions on Russian allies.
3. Isolating Russia on world stage and neutralising its dialogue on world affairs.
4. Russian economy taking a hit because of war. 
5. Multinational corporations leaving Russia, followed by macroeconomic situations in the country like inflation, food shortages, shortage of goods and services etc.

Knowing all these things will happen, RUSSIA still went ahead with its special operations. Either Putin is too stupid not to think of these consequences or he might have a different plan or goal to deal with such a scenario.

 

western countries also not strong at this time…all dealing with inflation and energy crisis…few months …everyone discussing will there be recission or not..now that tone has changed to how bad the rescission will be…most of the people admitted there will be recission…

Winter will clear some answers for this..

Btw today news headlines…

Danish Power Outage Raises Concern About Infrastructure Security

Paris Cuts the Lights to Save Energy. Will It Help?

U.K. Housing Market Heads for Mortgage-Rate Shock

[jalsa01]

I think Russia time begins with this winter.. West cheyalsinadanta chesindi except direct attack.. remving thm from swift is big mistake, now there is no bargain points for West. e winter and nxt couple of month Russia ki edge untadi..

[Sucker]

1 hour ago, dasari4kntr said:

western countries also not strong at this time…all dealing with inflation and energy crisis…few months …everyone discussing will there be recission or not..now that tone has changed to how bad the rescission will be…most of the people admitted there will be recission…

Winter will clear some answers for this..

Btw today news headlines…

Danish Power Outage Raises Concern About Infrastructure Security

Paris Cuts the Lights to Save Energy. Will It Help?

U.K. Housing Market Heads for Mortgage-Rate Shock

Pakkana country kosam sontha country naakinchadam yedaithe vundho. 

[Sucker]

@dasari4kntr anna monna yedo ee war doc vesav kada link vey ikkada. Bore kottinappudu chusi yevaridhi thappo decide chestha. 

[dasari4kntr]

6 minutes ago, Sucker said:

@dasari4kntr anna monna yedo ee war doc vesav kada link vey ikkada. Bore kottinappudu chusi yevaridhi thappo decide chestha. 

Edi…nord stream.. YouTube video..?

[dasari4kntr]

9 minutes ago, Sucker said:

Pakkana country kosam sontha country naakinchadam yedaithe vundho. 

Artham kaale…

pakka country? Sontha country..?

which countries you are referring…

[Android_Halwa]

The reasons why I feel Russia might have an edge at later stages...They are bleeding now, their military hardware is depleting fast, very few allies and deserted from international trade and sanctions but the question here is whether the world need Russia or Russia needs the world? Sanctions are nothing new as they have been subjected to various sanctions for the last 20-30 years.

1. 10-15% of world oil reserves in the Russian far east, why do they want to supply to Europe when they can supply to North Korea, South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, China, Philippines and South East? Lucrative customers and always energy hungry in comparison to ailing Europe who side with US and Nato and are of least dependable.
2. Huge mineral wealth of Russia...they can dug up the earth and feed the entire world with its minerals and with China in proximity, why do they need to supply to Europe?
3. They are now attempting a closed border economy which might pay off in the longer term, making them less dependent on the world's financial stress but at the same time it's risky.
4. Is there a new power block in the making? Looks like it if. East Asian power block or Asian power block, which has 60% of the world's young population and future of world's growth is dependent on this region, Will Russia having a major say in a block that is going to be dominated by China? May be yes....
5. Oil/OPEC/OPEC+: Will Russia provide security to middle east? Can they match what Americans did to stabilize this region? May be no and not at all but after accumulating wealth, Saudi is now in a situation to spend big on defense purchases and become a regional player...but I suspect, Russia may offer its nukes to be put up in Saudi for its security if US steps back. Peace between Iran and Saudi will make OPEC+ a formidable player in the game and much provide stability in the region.
6. When US was growing in 50-60's, its allies also grew financially along with it and were part of the economic beneficiary. It may repeat with Asian Block players too. 

 

IMO, Russia is struggling at the moment but I think they are having a head start in the new race for balance of power. 

[Sucker]

7 minutes ago, dasari4kntr said:

Edi…nord stream.. YouTube video..?

Yeh 

[dasari4kntr]

3 minutes ago, Sucker said:

Yeh 

 

[telugu_fan]

2 hours ago, dasari4kntr said:

Still I don’t understand…educate me…

if china has 2T bonds..then it can decide what currency OPEC should allow?

OPEC is a cartle…they do dictate terms based on their needs…not because china holding 2T bonds…

 

చిన్న ఉదాహరణ…బంగారం కి ఎందుకంత విలువ? ఎందుకంటే అది విలువైనది అని మనం నమ్మాం కాబట్టి…

అలానే డాలర్ అయినా ఏ కరెన్సీ అయినా …మనం నమ్మినంత వరకే అది డబ్బు …లేకపోతే చిత్తుకాగితమే…

If opec goes that extreme decision…2T bonds doesn’t worth that much…

and these kind of decisions are contagious…thats why i mentioned …high inflation and energy crisis are crucial for తటస్త దేశాలు..not how great the dollar is…

actually it is not just 2T in reserves, though the actual number is much lesser than that it looks like as China started reducing them from quite a while ago.

The main worry could be if the oil- dollar buying is broken, in the future every other country doesn't need to depend on dollar for international trade, they can use some formula that may come up in these transactions to do their trade and that will affect dollar primacy in world markets.

Right now US can print trillions with minimal impact to local economy, this same thing affects all the other countries in the world when they print local currency, is because there is huge demand for dollars on account of trade and its requirement as a pole currency.

The world today trades on dollar and if that is affected US will be just like any other country with strong military power. So all steps will be used to maintain dollar supremacy.

[dasari4kntr]

1 minute ago, telugu_fan said:

actually it is not just 2T in reserves, though the actual number is much lesser than that it looks like as China started reducing them from quite a while ago.

The main worry could be if the oil- dollar buying is broken, in the future every other country doesn't need to depend on dollar for international trade, they can use some formula that may come up in these transactions to do their trade and that will affect dollar primacy in world markets.

Right now US can print trillions with minimal impact to local economy, this same thing affects all the other countries in the world when they print local currency, is because there is huge demand for dollars on account of trade and its requirement as a pole currency.

The world today trades on dollar and if that is affected US will be just like any other country with strong military power. So all steps will be used to maintain dollar supremacy.

Yup that’s what I am saying…

Holding 2T less or more bonds is nothing …it’s like you are holding the fan speed regulator and assume we are in control…but OPEC has pulling plug kind of power…

[dasari4kntr]

 

[dasari4kntr]

 

[pakeer_saab]

On 10/10/2022 at 10:28 AM, dasari4kntr said:

You mean puppet here is ukrain…?

whats the india 80 situation you are referring..?

JP Narayan/Indira Gandhi/Morarji Desai - there is enough material to showcase that our emergency was infact #arabspring like event to change regimes 1975-1983 was a trial period from external forces

[pakeer_saab]

On 10/10/2022 at 3:05 PM, telugu_fan said:

actually it is not just 2T in reserves, though the actual number is much lesser than that it looks like as China started reducing them from quite a while ago.

The main worry could be if the oil- dollar buying is broken, in the future every other country doesn't need to depend on dollar for international trade, they can use some formula that may come up in these transactions to do their trade and that will affect dollar primacy in world markets.

Right now US can print trillions with minimal impact to local economy, this same thing affects all the other countries in the world when they print local currency, is because there is huge demand for dollars on account of trade and its requirement as a pole currency.

The world today trades on dollar and if that is affected US will be just like any other country with strong military power. So all steps will be used to maintain dollar supremacy.

with the way US has weaponized dollar/swift against R, every other country is trying to move away from dollar to safeguard their reserves

I think US pressed a self destruct button than enemy destruction button, rise is dollar is only a temp sign